18282 Stout St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,450
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom, 1 bathroom frame home located on Detroit's west side off 7 Mile between Lahser and Evergreen Home needs cosmetic work. Would make for a great rental.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1940
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential, Single Family Residence
- Financial info: No investment or income/expense details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Block foundation; Built with aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Asphalt roof
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance list provided
- Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: No washer/dryer information provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $384 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $55k implies a 226% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.49%
- DSCR
- 2.58
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $51,543
- List price
- $55,450
- Delta
- 7.58%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17743 Trinity St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 662 (+5%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $128 | 72 |
| 18927 Westmoreland Rd | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 666 (+6%) | 22mo | $55,000 | $83 | 50 |
| 19350 Westbrook St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 648 (+3%) | 14mo | $84,000 | $130 | 48 |
| 18691 Shaftsbury Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 692 (+10%) | 13mo | $46,000 | $66 | 43 |
| 18723 Warwick St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+11%) | 8mo | $54,500 | $78 | 42 |
| 18627 Shaftsbury Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 693 (+10%) | 23mo | $93,000 | $134 | 35 |
| 18291 Warwick St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 723 (+15%) | 17mo | $108,000 | $149 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $25,913
- Equity at exit
- $8,268
- IRR
- 45.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.54×
- Total profit
- $85,939
- Equity at exit
- $4,794
Cash invested: $15,526 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48219
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 308
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,066 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$291
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $832/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $459
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $498 | -5% $478 | +0% $459 | +5% $440 | +10% $421 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $375 | -5% $417 | +0% $459 | +5% $501 | +10% $543 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $487 | -0.5pp $473 | base $459 | +0.5pp $445 | +1.0pp $430 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,862
- Closing costs
- $1,664
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 17d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 17270 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $838 | $1.20 | 25d | 2 | 0.67mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 2 | 0.67mi |
| 17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 17d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 18350 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 18400 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $950 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 18450 Lahser Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $820 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 17644 Lahser Rd Unit 7 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $995 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 18045 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $960 | $1.43 | 5d | 2 | 0.82mi |
| 19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 733 | $1,050 | $1.43 | 16d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 16854 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $885 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 16885 Lahser Rd Unit 1A Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 16885 Lahser Rd Apt 3A Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $750 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 20068 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,175 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $55,450 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,450 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,450 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,450 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,450 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,450 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,450 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,450 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,450 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $55,450 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,450 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,450 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,450 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,450 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04$55,450 Active 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bathroom frame home located on Detroit's west side off 7 Mile between Lahser and Evergreen Home needs cosmetic work. Would make for a great rental.
-
2026-05-04$55,450 Active 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
2 bedroom, 1 bathroom frame home located on Detroit's west side off 7 Mile between Lahser and Evergreen Home needs cosmetic work. Would make for a great rental.
-
2022-02-11price $900
-
2021-02-11$17,000
-
2021-02-11historical
-
2021-02-11soldstatus $17,000 Sold
-
2021-02-11$17,000
-
2020-08-26historical
-
2020-08-26historical
-
2020-08-18price $22,000
-
2020-08-18price $22,000
-
2020-08-07$19,000 Active
-
2020-08-07$19,000 Active
-
2003-04-14soldstatus $15,000
-
2003-04-14soldstatus $15,000
-
2003-01-13historical
-
2002-06-20$18,000
-
2002-06-20$18,000
-
2001-04-17historical
-
2001-02-28$45,000
-
1996-10-15soldstatus $16,450
-
1996-10-04soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,796
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,106
- − Property taxes
- −$832
- − Insurance
- −$277
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,024
- − Management
- −$1,024
- − Depreciation
- −$1,613
- Taxable income
- $4,921
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,181
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,330/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,208
- Household income
- $43,655
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3584.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.06%
- Current HPI
- 563.3263
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.04%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+84.8% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $55,450 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Listed $55,450 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-02-11 Price Changed $900 RENT.
- 2021-02-11 Listed $17,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-02-11 Sold (MLS) $17,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-02-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-02-11 Listed $17,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-08-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2020-08-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-08-18 Price Changed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-08-18 Price Changed $22,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-08-07 Listed $19,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-08-07 Listed $19,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-04-14 Sold (MLS) $15,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-04-14 Sold (MLS) $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-01-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-06-20 Listed $18,000 REALCOMP
- 2002-06-20 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-04-17 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2001-02-28 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 1996-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $16,450 Public Records
- 1996-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,974 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…