1776 Maryland Ave E #106 · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable modern condo. South facing unit brings that extra dose of joy all season. 9' ceilings offer additional size and possibilities. In-unit laundry is so convenient! Wheelchair Accessible. Heated parking. Concrete ceiling & floors for additional privacy. Pet friendly, secure building, central location. Get in ahead of the spring market!
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 2006
- Listed 48 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot listed with acreage (0.913 acres) and dimensions
- HOA & community: Northwoods Servicing HOA; Association fee $465 (includes hazard insurance, lawn care, grounds maintenance, parking, professional management, shared amenities, snow removal, water)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached underground garage; 1 garage space (19 total garage stalls in building)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential attached property; One level
- Construction: Foundation area listed (780)
- Exterior features: Stone, stucco and other exterior finish; Accessible elevator installed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level) — 13 x 9
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: All living facilities on one level; Main floor primary suite; Main floor bedroom; Main floor laundry; Eat-in kitchen / kitchen-dining room; Indoor sprinklers; Kitchen center island; Walk-in closet
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer/Dryer hookup; Main floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-174 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.21%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-26,211
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-18,313
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55106
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,208 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,478/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
- −$326
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $-174
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-106 | -5% $-140 | +0% $-174 | +5% $-208 | +10% $-242 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-269 | -5% $-222 | +0% $-174 | +5% $-126 | +10% $-78 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-113 | -0.5pp $-143 | base $-174 | +0.5pp $-205 | +1.0pp $-237 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $119,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-01$124,900 Active 456-char remark
-
2026-04-29historical $124,900 456-char remark
-
2024-03-06soldstatus $114,900
-
2024-02-27soldstatus $114,900 Sold 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Affordable modern condo. South facing unit brings that extra dose of joy all season. 9' ceilings offer additional size and possibilities. In-unit laundry is so convenient! Wheelchair Accessible. Heated parking. Concrete ceiling & floors for additional privacy. Pet friendly, secure building, central location. Get in ahead of the spring market!
-
2024-01-17status Pending 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Affordable modern condo. South facing unit brings that extra dose of joy all season. 9' ceilings offer additional size and possibilities. In-unit laundry is so convenient! Wheelchair Accessible. Heated parking. Concrete ceiling & floors for additional privacy. Pet friendly, secure building, central location. Get in ahead of the spring market!
-
2024-01-08$114,900 Active 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Affordable modern condo. South facing unit brings that extra dose of joy all season. 9' ceilings offer additional size and possibilities. In-unit laundry is so convenient! Wheelchair Accessible. Heated parking. Concrete ceiling & floors for additional privacy. Pet friendly, secure building, central location. Get in ahead of the spring market!
-
2024-01-05historical $114,900 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Affordable modern condo. South facing unit brings that extra dose of joy all season. 9' ceilings offer additional size and possibilities. In-unit laundry is so convenient! Wheelchair Accessible. Heated parking. Concrete ceiling & floors for additional privacy. Pet friendly, secure building, central location. Get in ahead of the spring market!
-
2017-10-09historical
-
2017-10-06price $79,900
-
2017-09-21price $82,500
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2017-09-13status Active
-
2017-08-21status Pending
-
2017-08-07historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2017-07-25price $84,900
-
2017-07-14price $87,500
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2017-07-05price $89,900
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2017-06-24price $92,500
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2017-06-13price $94,900
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2017-04-25price $99,900
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2017-04-01price $109,900
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2017-03-31price $104,900
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2017-03-24$109,900 Active
-
2017-03-16soldstatus $59,000
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2017-03-14status Pending
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2017-03-13$44,000 Active
-
2017-03-13status Pending
-
2017-03-10soldstatus $59,000 Sold
-
2017-03-10soldstatus $59,000 Sold
-
2016-11-11price $44,000
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2016-11-10historical Contingent - Third Party Approval
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2016-10-11price $69,900
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2016-09-06status Active
-
2016-09-02historical
-
2016-07-27status Active
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2016-07-27$79,900 Active
-
2016-07-27historical
-
2007-05-11soldstatus $134,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,478 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,478 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,491
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,478
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,159
- − Management
- −$1,159
- − HOA
- −$3,912
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable loss
- −$4,021
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$965
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,121/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 280,599
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,708
- Household income
- $70,187
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2046.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 34% White 32% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 27% Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -239.48%
- Current HPI
- 288.7205
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.26%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
-7.7% since first listed41 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $119,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $124,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Coming Soon $124,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $114,900 Public Records
- 2024-02-27 Sold (MLS) $114,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-17 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-08 Listed $114,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-05 Coming Soon $114,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-09 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-06 Price Changed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-21 Price Changed $82,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-13 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-21 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-07 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-25 Price Changed $84,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-14 Price Changed $87,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-05 Price Changed $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-24 Price Changed $92,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-13 Price Changed $94,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-25 Price Changed $99,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-01 Price Changed $109,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-31 Price Changed $104,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-24 Listed $109,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2017-03-14 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-13 Listed $44,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-13 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-10 Sold (MLS) $59,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-10 Sold (MLS) $59,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-11 Price Changed $44,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-10 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-11 Price Changed $69,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-06 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-02 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-27 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-27 Listed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-27 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-11 Sold (MLS) $134,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-11 Sold (MLS) $134,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-07 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-07 Listed $129,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,478 · -18.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…