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412 E Hays St 14-Plex
B Composite 71.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0

$660,000

412 E Hays St · Hollandale, MS 38748
42 bd · 28.0 ba · 2,188 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 107 Days on market
Built 2008 4.30 ac lot ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 14 units. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Investment opportunity with excellent income potential. These 7 duplexes totaling 14 units consist of 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms in each unit. Open concept den and kitchen. There is potential 100% occupancy with one unit at this time vacant. Each unit is equipped with an oven and refrigerator. There is also a laundry room for your washer an dryer. This property is 4.30 acres to add additional units to for further income potential. Section 8 is available. Rent rolls are available upon request.

Key facts

  • Income potential
  • Laundry room
  • 4.30 acres

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYINCOME POTENTIALOPEN CONCEPT DEN AND KITCHENLAUNDRY ROOM4.30 ACRES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 14 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $660k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($59k/yr) — positive. Per door: $354/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $660k).
  • Recommended offer: $601k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#202 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hollandale School District (town): math 5% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #116 of 130 in MS (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $185k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($601k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $600,600 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.83%
Cap rate
15.31%
Cash-on-cash
32.19%
DSCR
2.43
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.9%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$315,260
Equity at exit
$211,466
10-year hold
IRR
36.6%
Equity multiple
5.28×
Total profit
$790,029
Equity at exit
$270,606

Cash invested: $184,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38748

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
63.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$12,049 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,461
Tax est. 1.5%
$825 /mo · $9,900/yr
Insurance
$275
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,530
Net cashflow
$4,958

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,774
Max offer price $660,000
Occupancy floor 54%

14-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (14 units) $12,049

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$165,000
Closing costs
$19,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $660,000 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $660,000 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $660,000 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $660,000 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $660,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-02-18
    status Pending
  7. 2026-01-18
    status Active
  8. 2025-08-08
    status Pending
  9. 2025-07-09
    price $660,000
  10. 2025-05-26
    listed $675,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$144,588
− Mortgage interest
−$36,970
− Property taxes
−$9,900
− Insurance
−$3,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$11,567
− Management
−$11,567
− Depreciation
−$19,200
Taxable income
$52,084
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$12,500
After-tax cash flow
$46,991/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hollandale School District
NCES district ID
2801890
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$26,801
Composite
7.78/100
National rank
#9935
State rank
#116 of 130 in MS

Livability — Hollandale

Score
61/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#18250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hollandale, MS
Population (ZIP)
3,047

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,424 people
By 2030
38,061 · -8.1%
By 2040
31,752 · -23.3%
By 2050
26,394 · -36.3%
By 2075
17,180 · -58.5%
By 2100
12,936 · -68.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 24%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid D (+35.0) · D 67.0% · R 32.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 35.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+35.0 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+36.4 2012: D+42.7 2008: D+34.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.59%
Current HPI
56.0958
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-2.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-18 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-01-18 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-08-08 Pending MLSU
  • 2025-07-09 Price Changed $660,000 MLSU
  • 2025-05-26 Listed $675,000 MLSU

Property tax history

-31.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $158 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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