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302 Grand Ave
C+ Composite 61.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

302 Grand Ave · Huntsville, MO 65259
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1998 0.53 ac lot $82/sqft · 17% below area Est $120k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

A 2-bedroom, 2-bath home on approximately 1/2 Acre lot. Solid home with a detached 2 car garage. Home is selling ''as is''.

Key facts

  • 0.53 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1998

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,200; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Chain link fencing; Shed on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Storm windows; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#235 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Westran R-I (rural): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #81 of 324 in MO (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Westran Elem. (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #347 of 1,115 statewide, top 35%, 298 students, 58% FRL); Westran Middle (math 47% / reading 52%, grade C, #74 of 391 statewide, top 20%, 134 students, 60% FRL); Westran High (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #247 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 178 students, 47% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randolph County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.12%
Cash-on-cash
6.54%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$119,511
List price
$99,000
Delta
-17.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
810 Heether St 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,339 (+12%) 5mo $242,500 $181 48
417 S Main St 0.34mi 2/1.0 1,344 (+12%) 18mo $79,000 $59 47
333 N Main St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,274 (+6%) 10mo $115,975 $91 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-6,427
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$6,775
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65259

Home prices YoY
-4.9%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,018 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,112/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$151

Break-even live

Break-even rent $827
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $207 -5% $179 +0% $151 +5% $123 +10% $95
Rent -10% $71 -5% $111 +0% $151 +5% $191 +10% $231
Rate -1.0pp $201 -0.5pp $176 base $151 +0.5pp $125 +1.0pp $99

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    listed $99,000 Active 123-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,112 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,112 · $93/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,214
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,112
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$977
− Management
−$977
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$228
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$55
After-tax cash flow
$1,758/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westran R-I
NCES district ID
2931860
Math proficiency
43% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$42,041
Composite
39.1/100
National rank
#4041
State rank
#81 of 324 in MO

Livability — Huntsville

Score
66/100
State rank
#235
US rank
#11490

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntsville, MO
Population (ZIP)
2,867

Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,596 people
By 2030
24,213 · -1.6%
By 2040
23,184 · -5.7%
By 2050
22,081 · -10.2%
By 2075
18,994 · -22.8%
By 2100
15,070 · -38.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randolph

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.2) · D 23.3% · R 75.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-28.9pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -52.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.2 2020: R+51.5 2016: R+50.9 2012: R+36.6 2008: R+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -11.41%
Current HPI
220.8558
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending RCBR
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $99,000 RCBR

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,112 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…