302 Grand Ave · Huntsville, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A 2-bedroom, 2-bath home on approximately 1/2 Acre lot. Solid home with a detached 2 car garage. Home is selling ''as is''.
Key facts
- 0.53 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1998
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,200; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Chain link fencing; Shed on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Storm windows; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#235 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Westran R-I (rural): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #81 of 324 in MO (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Westran Elem. (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #347 of 1,115 statewide, top 35%, 298 students, 58% FRL); Westran Middle (math 47% / reading 52%, grade C, #74 of 391 statewide, top 20%, 134 students, 60% FRL); Westran High (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #247 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 178 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Randolph County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.54%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $119,511
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -17.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 Heether St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,339 (+12%) | 5mo | $242,500 | $181 | 48 |
| 417 S Main St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 1,344 (+12%) | 18mo | $79,000 | $59 | 47 |
| 333 N Main St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,274 (+6%) | 10mo | $115,975 | $91 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-6,427
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $6,775
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65259
- Home prices YoY
- -4.9%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,018 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,112/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $151
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $207 | -5% $179 | +0% $151 | +5% $123 | +10% $95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $71 | -5% $111 | +0% $151 | +5% $191 | +10% $231 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $201 | -0.5pp $176 | base $151 | +0.5pp $125 | +1.0pp $99 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-07$99,000 Active 123-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,112 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,112 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,214
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,112
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$977
- − Management
- −$977
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $228
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$55
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,758/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westran R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2931860
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,041
- Composite
- 39.1/100
- National rank
- #4041
- State rank
- #81 of 324 in MO
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #235
- US rank
- #11490
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntsville, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,867
Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,596 people
- By 2030
- 24,213 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 23,184 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 22,081 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 18,994 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 15,070 · -38.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randolph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.2) · D 23.3% · R 75.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.9pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -52.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.2 2020: R+51.5 2016: R+50.9 2012: R+36.6 2008: R+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -11.41%
- Current HPI
- 220.8558
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — RCBR
- 2026-05-07 Listed $99,000 RCBR
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,112 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…