CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
71 Hitch Pond Cir
B+ Composite 75.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

71 Hitch Pond Cir · Laurel, DE 19973
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 192 Days on market
Built 2000 94 ac lot $73/sqft · 48% below area Est $135k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming double-wide home located in the gated community of Village of Cool Branch. This property offers a great opportunity for someone looking to customize or invest. Enjoy the peaceful setting and all the community amenities, including a pool, playground, and walking trails. Perfect for buyers seeking an affordable home in a well-kept, secure neighborhood close to shopping, dining, and Delaware beaches. Please note: buyers must apply for and obtain park approval from Village of Cool Branch prior to settlement in order to reside in the community.

Key facts

  • 94.36 acre lot
  • Community pool
  • Built 2000

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $864 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 3.9% in Laurel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#57 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Seaford School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #15 of 26 in DE (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 215 active listings in the ZIP; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
21.10%
Cash-on-cash
52.90%
DSCR
3.35
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,147
List price
$70,000
Delta
-48.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.9%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$43,672
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
56.3%
Equity multiple
6.55×
Total profit
$108,839
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19973

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Active inventory
215
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,633 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $357/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$864

Break-even live

Break-even rent $539
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-08
    price $70,000 570-char remark
    Show marketing remark (570 chars)

    Welcome to this charming double-wide home located in the gated community of Village of Cool Branch. This property offers a great opportunity for someone looking to customize or invest. Enjoy the peaceful setting and all the community amenities, including a pool, playground, and walking trails. Perfect for buyers seeking an affordable home in a well-kept, secure neighborhood close to shopping, dining, and Delaware beaches. Please note: buyers must apply for and obtain park approval from Village of Cool Branch prior to settlement in order to reside in the community.

  2. 2025-11-17
    listed $85,000 Active 570-char remark
    Show marketing remark (570 chars)

    Welcome to this charming double-wide home located in the gated community of Village of Cool Branch. This property offers a great opportunity for someone looking to customize or invest. Enjoy the peaceful setting and all the community amenities, including a pool, playground, and walking trails. Perfect for buyers seeking an affordable home in a well-kept, secure neighborhood close to shopping, dining, and Delaware beaches. Please note: buyers must apply for and obtain park approval from Village of Cool Branch prior to settlement in order to reside in the community.

  3. 2025-11-11
    historical $85,000 570-char remark
    Show marketing remark (570 chars)

    Welcome to this charming double-wide home located in the gated community of Village of Cool Branch. This property offers a great opportunity for someone looking to customize or invest. Enjoy the peaceful setting and all the community amenities, including a pool, playground, and walking trails. Perfect for buyers seeking an affordable home in a well-kept, secure neighborhood close to shopping, dining, and Delaware beaches. Please note: buyers must apply for and obtain park approval from Village of Cool Branch prior to settlement in order to reside in the community.

  4. 2002-11-30
    historical
  5. 2002-05-06
    listed $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$357 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$382 · $32/mo
Expected delta
+$24/yr (+$2/mo · 6.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,595
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$357
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,568
− Management
−$1,568
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$9,795
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,351
After-tax cash flow
$8,017/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seaford School District
NCES district ID
1001530
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$48,427
Composite
28.07/100
National rank
#6835
State rank
#15 of 26 in DE

Livability — Laurel

Score
63/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#15428

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
25,786

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
264,464 · +6.3%
By 2040
290,980 · +16.9%
By 2050
311,259 · +25.1%
By 2075
352,488 · +41.6%
By 2100
367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 20% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.40%
Current HPI
288.5652
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+75.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-17 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-11 Coming Soon $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-11-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-05-06 Listed $40,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $357 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…