16300 SW Indianwood Cir · Indiantown, FL 34956

$44,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,078 sqft · Condo public records · 80 Days on market

Built 1990 $42/sqft · 133% above area ↓ 24% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• Appreciation +8.3/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

This home offers cool coastal vibes and a beautiful nature view. Recent updates include a new metal roof (3/25), carport (10/23), lanai screens (2/25), skirting and vents (2023), fresh exterior paint (3/24), all new pipes and shut-off valves in the bathrooms and kitchen, plus new taps on all sinks, bathtub, and shower. The kitchen was updated in 2018/2019, and the main bedroom suite features new French doors. Berber carpet only 7 years old, + an electric fireplace for cozy evenings. Bosch dryer to get things done. The property backs up to a private natural area with no homes behind. Community perks include a pool, dog park, recreation center, fitness room, tennis courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball & pickleball. Nearby amenities feature a public golf course, pro shop & restaurant w/ indoor/outdoor seating, full liquor license & views of the course and lake. Pet-friendly 55+ community. Land lease $1,354.00 month: lawn, trash, Internet, TV, common areas, taxes, mgt, recreational facilities.

Key facts

• 5,227 sq ft lot
• 2 parking spots
• Community pool

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $45k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
• Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#829 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Warfield Elementary School (math 22% / reading 19%, grade F, #2,094 of 2,144 statewide, top 98%, 686 students, 79% FRL); Indiantown Middle School (math 42% / reading 29%, grade F, #414 of 571 statewide, top 73%, 646 students, 75% FRL); South Fork High School (math 36% / reading 48%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 1,810 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 41% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Martin average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($310 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
• Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $42,206 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 5.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 45.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 140.07%
• DSCR: 7.23
• GRM: 1.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $20,000
• List price: $44,900
• Delta: 124.50%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 16 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

6.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 9.61×
• Total profit: $108,258
• Equity at exit: $30,094

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 20.49×
• Total profit: $245,012
• Equity at exit: $56,265

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34956

• Home prices YoY: 1.2%
• Active inventory: 136
• Price-to-rent: 1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,335 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$235
• Tax from tax record: −$123 /mo · $1,478/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$490
• Net cashflow: $1,467

Break-even live

Break-even rent $478

Max offer price $44,900

Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,493	-5% $1,480	+0% $1,467	+5% $1,455	+10% $1,442
Rent	-10% $1,283	-5% $1,375	+0% $1,467	+5% $1,560	+10% $1,652
Rate	-1.0pp $1,490	-0.5pp $1,479	base $1,467	+0.5pp $1,456	+1.0pp $1,444

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,225
• Closing costs: $1,347
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
15817 SW Winter Rd Indiantown, FL	3.0	2.5	1428	$2,300	$1.61	16d	1	0.72mi
15760 SW Hammock Way Indiantown, FL	3.0–4.0	2.0–3.5	1918	$2,420	$1.26	0d	40	1.28mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Likely covers: trashelectricinternetpool
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 27 events

1. 2026-06-23
   days on market $44,900 Active 80 DOM
2. 2026-06-21
   days on market $44,900 Active 79 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $44,900 Active 76 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $44,900 Active 75 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $44,900 Active 74 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $44,900 Active 73 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $44,900 Active 71 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $44,900 Active 70 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $44,900 Active 68 DOM
10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $44,900 Active 67 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $44,900 Active 66 DOM
12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,900 Active 65 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $44,900 Active 61 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $44,900 Active 60 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $44,900 Active 59 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,900 Active 58 DOM
17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,900 Active 57 DOM
18. 2026-04-03
    price $44,900 1018-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1018 chars)

    This home offers cool coastal vibes and a beautiful nature view. Recent updates include a new metal roof (3/25), carport (10/23), lanai screens (2/25), skirting and vents (2023), fresh exterior paint (3/24), all new pipes and shut-off valves in the bathrooms and kitchen, plus new taps on all sinks, bathtub, and shower. The kitchen was updated in 2018/2019, and the main bedroom suite features new French doors. Berber carpet only 7 years old, + an electric fireplace for cozy evenings. Bosch dryer to get things done. The property backs up to a private natural area with no homes behind. Community perks include a pool, dog park, recreation center, fitness room, tennis courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball & pickleball. Nearby amenities feature a public golf course, pro shop & restaurant w/ indoor/outdoor seating, full liquor license & views of the course and lake. Pet-friendly 55+ community. Land lease $1,354.00 month: lawn, trash, Internet, TV, common areas, taxes, mgt, recreational facilities.

19. 2026-04-03
    listed $49,800 Active 1018-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1018 chars)

    This home offers cool coastal vibes and a beautiful nature view. Recent updates include a new metal roof (3/25), carport (10/23), lanai screens (2/25), skirting and vents (2023), fresh exterior paint (3/24), all new pipes and shut-off valves in the bathrooms and kitchen, plus new taps on all sinks, bathtub, and shower. The kitchen was updated in 2018/2019, and the main bedroom suite features new French doors. Berber carpet only 7 years old, + an electric fireplace for cozy evenings. Bosch dryer to get things done. The property backs up to a private natural area with no homes behind. Community perks include a pool, dog park, recreation center, fitness room, tennis courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball & pickleball. Nearby amenities feature a public golf course, pro shop & restaurant w/ indoor/outdoor seating, full liquor license & views of the course and lake. Pet-friendly 55+ community. Land lease $1,354.00 month: lawn, trash, Internet, TV, common areas, taxes, mgt, recreational facilities.

20. 2026-04-01
    historical
21. 2026-01-22
    listed $49,800 Active
22. 2025-04-02
    listed $54,800 Active
23. 2017-04-05
    price $42,000
24. 2017-03-06
    soldstatus $42,000 Sold
25. 2017-02-04
    status Pending
26. 2017-02-04
    price $59,000
27. 2016-11-11
    listed $59,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,478 · $123/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,478 · $123/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,022
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,515
• − Property taxes: −$1,478
• − Insurance: −$224
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,242
• − Management: −$2,242
• − Depreciation: −$1,306
• Taxable income: $18,014
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$4,323
• After-tax cash flow: $13,286/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Martin
• NCES district ID: 1201290
• Math proficiency: 52% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $52,482
• Composite: 45.1/100
• National rank: #2690
• State rank: #24 of 73 in FL

Livability — Indiantown

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #829
• US rank: #20298

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Indiantown, FL
• Population (ZIP): 9,639

Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 172,383 people
• By 2030: 180,192 · +4.5%
• By 2040: 194,114 · +12.6%
• By 2050: 204,992 · +18.9%
• By 2075: 229,641 · +33.2%
• By 2100: 232,146 · +34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 49% Black 24% White 24% Two or more races 16% Native American 5% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 22% · Canada
• Languages at home: 55% English-only · Spanish 42%

Political lean MEDSL · Martin

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 6.65%
• Current HPI: 561.896
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-23.9% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-03 Price Changed $44,900 MCRTC
• 2026-04-03 Listed $49,800 MCRTC
• 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — MCRTC
• 2026-01-22 Listed $49,800 MCRTC
• 2025-04-02 Listed $54,800 MCRTC
• 2017-04-05 Price Changed $42,000 MCRTC
• 2017-03-06 Sold (MLS) $42,000 MCRTC
• 2017-02-04 Pending — MCRTC
• 2017-02-04 Price Changed $59,000 MCRTC
• 2016-11-11 Listed $59,000 MCRTC

Property tax history

+11.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,478 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.