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307 E State St
B- Composite 69.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

307 E State St · Brady, MI 49097
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1900 8,233 sqft lot Est $185k · 30% under ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Situated a great lot in the Village of Vicksburg, this charming 1,260 sq. ft. two-story home offers plenty of potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for their next renovation project. Features include a newer roof, vinyl siding, central air conditioning, a spacious living room, formal dining room, and convenient main-floor laundry. A large storage shed provides additional space for tools and equipment. Located within walking distance of downtown Vicksburg, local shops, restaurants, the Farmers Market, and Vicksburg schools. The electrical system has been recently updated, though this handyman special still requires significant repairs and updating and is being sold as-is. Cash or renovation financing may be best suited for this property. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special!

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Vinyl siding
  • Main-floor laundry

Tags

NEWER ROOFVINYL SIDINGCENTRAL AIR CONDITIONINGMAIN-FLOOR LAUNDRYLARGE STORAGE SHEDWALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential — Single family residence; Lot size about 0.19 acres
  • Financial info: Financial details not specified
  • HOA & community: HOA information not specified

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not specified
  • Security: Security details not specified
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity available
  • Home design: Traditional style single-family residence; Built in 1900
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space / Michigan basement
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Shed(s); Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms not specified
  • Flooring: Flooring not specified
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has central cooling
  • Interior features: Ramped entrance; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Vicksburg Community Schools (suburban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #100 of 540 in MI (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.55%
Cash-on-cash
11.65%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,220
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
327 Prairie St 0.07mi 3/1.5 1,286 (+2%) 15mo $191,000 $149 79
307 E State St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,440 (+14%) 9mo $120,000 $83 69
426 E Division St 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,400 (+11%) 9mo $195,000 $139 68
108 S Michigan Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,356 (+8%) 1mo $98,000 $72 68
614 State St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,192 (-5%) 13mo $165,000 $138 67
419 E Vine St 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,408 (+12%) 5mo $225,000 $160 66
304 N Wilson St 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,152 (-9%) 7mo $208,000 $181 66
107 E Maple St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,170 (-7%) 13mo $186,000 $159 64
432 E Vine St 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,448 (+15%) 3mo $247,000 $171 60
621 State St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,428 (+13%) 8mo $210,000 $147 58
734 Best St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,300 (+3%) 13mo $180,000 $138 52
327 Mckain St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,350 (+7%) 7mo $85,000 $63 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,448
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$30,270
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49097

Active inventory
141
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,564 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$147 /mo · $1,769/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$328
Net cashflow
$353

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,117
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $129,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,769 · $147/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,885 · $157/mo
Expected delta
+$116/yr (+$10/mo · 6.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,771
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,769
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,502
− Management
−$1,502
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$2,294
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$550
After-tax cash flow
$3,686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vicksburg Community Schools
NCES district ID
2634950
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$59,299
Composite
42.79/100
National rank
#3146
State rank
#100 of 540 in MI

Livability — Brady

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Vicksburg, MI
County
Kalamazoo County · 224,317 people
Metro
Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
Population (ZIP)
11,754
Household income
$88,208
Rent vs Own
14.8% rent · 85.2% own
Severe rent burden
110.0

Population outlook (Kalamazoo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
280,982 people
By 2030
292,068 · +3.9%
By 2040
312,191 · +11.1%
By 2050
331,196 · +17.9%
By 2075
379,021 · +34.9%
By 2100
396,579 · +41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 9% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kalamazoo

2024 margin
D (+17.7) · D 58.0% · R 40.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-1.8pp toward R · 2008: 19.5pp · 2024: 17.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.7 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+19.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -136.53%
Current HPI
196.1338
Rent YoY
Metro
Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.4% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $129,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2025-09-26 Sold (MLS) $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-26 Sold (MLS) $120,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-09-26 Sold (MLS) $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-26 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-26 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-26 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-08-22 Price Changed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Price Changed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-21 Price Changed $125,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-07-29 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-29 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-29 Listed $145,000 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,769 · +224.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…