124 W College Ave Unit A & B · Monticello, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity in the heart of town! This property includes two separate 1BR/1BA tiny homes, each designed for low-maintenance living and steady rental income. Both units are currently tenant-occupied, providing immediate cash flow. Convenient in-town location and an easy, hands-off setup for any investor.
Key facts
- Immediate cash flow
- Tenant occupied
- Steady rental income
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a condo listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-553 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate -2.0% vs local median 2.9% in Monticello — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#72 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Monticello School District (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #161 of 238 in AR (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Drew County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Drew County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- -2.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -29.62%
- DSCR
- -0.32
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -87.0%
- Equity multiple
- -1.15×
- Total profit
- $-48,176
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -2.90×
- Total profit
- $-87,292
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71655
- Home prices YoY
- -10.8%
- Active inventory
- 114
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $0 none
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$0
- Net cashflow
- $-553
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-498 | -5% $-525 | +0% $-553 | +5% $-581 | +10% $-608 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-553 | -5% $-553 | +0% $-553 | +5% $-553 | +10% $-553 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-513 | -0.5pp $-533 | base $-553 | +0.5pp $-574 | +1.0pp $-595 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $80,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $80,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $80,000 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Great investment opportunity in the heart of town! This property includes two separate 1BR/1BA tiny homes, each designed for low-maintenance living and steady rental income. Both units are currently tenant-occupied, providing immediate cash flow. Convenient in-town location and an easy, hands-off setup for any investor.
-
2025-11-14$105,000 Active 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Great investment opportunity in the heart of town! This property includes two separate 1BR/1BA tiny homes, each designed for low-maintenance living and steady rental income. Both units are currently tenant-occupied, providing immediate cash flow. Convenient in-town location and an easy, hands-off setup for any investor.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $0
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$0
- − Management
- −$0
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable loss
- −$8,409
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,018
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,616/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This multi-family property requires moderate renovations to improve its curb appeal and functionality, increasing its rental and resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exterior siding — Exposed metal siding
- Major Windows — Old, possibly single-pane windows
- Major HVAC units — Older units, possibly inefficient
- Major Exterior vegetation — Overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improved appearance attracts more tenants
- Rental HVAC units — Efficient units reduce utility costs
- Resale Exterior siding and windows — Modernized exterior enhances curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Exposed metal siding | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Windows · Old, possibly single-pane windows | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC units · Older units, possibly inefficient | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior vegetation · Overgrown vegetation | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improved appearance attracts more tenants ↑
- Rental HVAC units — Efficient units reduce utility costs ↑
- Resale Exterior siding and windows — Modernized exterior enhances curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monticello School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509840
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,146
- Composite
- 24.19/100
- National rank
- #7732
- State rank
- #161 of 238 in AR
Livability — Monticello
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #8686
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Monticello, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,892
Population outlook (Drew County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,483 people
- By 2030
- 18,278 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 17,712 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 17,015 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 15,815 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 14,335 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 28% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Drew
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.2% · R 66.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.7pp toward R · 2008: -19.1pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+27.8 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+18.9 2008: R+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.27%
- Current HPI
- 218.1414
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-23.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $80,000 HSBOR
- 2025-11-14 Listed $105,000 HSBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…