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218 S Mellon Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 83.09
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$44,900

218 S Mellon Ave · Donora, PA 15033
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1907 4,399 sqft lot Est $60k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention Investors! Check out this large 3 bedroom home two story home in Donora. Long time month to month tenant occupied. Large kitchen and interior is in good condition. 3 generous sized bedrooms on top floor. Small side yard and private back yard. Covered front porch. Low taxes!! Add this property to your portfolio.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Private back yard
  • Large kitchen

Tags

LARGE KITCHENPRIVATE BACK YARDCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $44,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$59,904) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $560 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,198 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Ringgold SD (suburban): math 19% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #452 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($310 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $44,226 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.49%
Cap rate
21.27%
Cash-on-cash
53.48%
DSCR
3.38
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$59,904
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
832 Walnut St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,107 (-4%) 9mo $162,000 $146 66
85 Castner Ave 0.35mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,163 (+1%) 15mo $8,700 $7 63
37 Watkins Ave 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,176 (+2%) 23mo $57,000 $48 62
127 Cherry Way 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,092 (-5%) 8mo $66,250 $61 61
329 3rd St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,211 (+5%) 9mo $8,500 $7 54
30 Manor Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,230 (+7%) 10mo $190,000 $154 44
401 Short St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,264 (+10%) 10mo $19,900 $16 44
400 Waddell Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (-3%) 21mo $89,000 $79 43
425 4th St 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (+9%) 23mo $65,000 $52 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.03% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
60.9%
Equity multiple
4.67×
Total profit
$46,134
Equity at exit
$25,523
10-year hold
IRR
58.6%
Equity multiple
9.64×
Total profit
$108,630
Equity at exit
$44,116

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15033

Home prices YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,116 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$235
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $809/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$560

Break-even live

Break-even rent $407
Max offer price $44,900
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,225
Closing costs
$1,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
404 1st St Unit 404 Donora, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 1d 1 0.38mi
641 3rd St Donora, PA 2.0 1.5 950 $1,000 $1.05 43d 1 0.55mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-10
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-03
    price $44,900
  3. 2026-03-15
    listed $49,900 Active
  4. 2014-09-18
    soldstatus $164,990

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$809 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$809 · $67/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,396
− Mortgage interest
−$2,515
− Property taxes
−$809
− Insurance
−$224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,072
− Management
−$1,072
− Depreciation
−$1,306
Taxable income
$6,398
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,536
After-tax cash flow
$5,188/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ringgold SD
NCES district ID
4220400
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$46,754
Composite
23.75/100
National rank
#7819
State rank
#452 of 539 in PA

Livability — Donora

Score
64/100
State rank
#1198
US rank
#14079

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Donora, PA
County
Washington County · 106,469 people
City population
4,572
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
4,572
Household income
$39,921
Rent vs Own
46.4% rent · 53.6% own
Severe rent burden
363.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
208,060 people
By 2030
207,168 · -0.4%
By 2040
202,738 · -2.6%
By 2050
195,269 · -6.1%
By 2075
175,588 · -15.6%
By 2100
145,827 · -29.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 16% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 5% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.03%
Current HPI
110.5976
Rent YoY
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-72.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $44,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-15 Listed $49,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2014-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $164,990 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $809 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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