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2259 Cannonball Dr
B- Composite 69.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

2259 Cannonball Dr · Montgomery, AL 36116
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,145 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1984 0.30 ac lot Est $268k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Entered for comp purposes only.

Key facts

  • Large corner lot
  • Extra-large den
  • Backyard pool

Tags

BACKYARD POOLLARGE CORNER LOTEXTRA-LARGE DEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Parking pad (3 pads)
  • Security: Fire alarm
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Utilities: Unknown
  • Home design: One-story home; Brick construction; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Built according to public records
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard with privacy fencing; Covered porch; Covered patio; Porch; Patio; Storage structure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Plumbed for ice maker; Smooth cooktop; Breakfast bar
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the first floor
  • Flooring: Carpet; Plank flooring; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Double vanity; Separate shower; Garden/roman tub; Jetted tub
  • Interior features: Wet bar; Tray ceilings; Double vanity; Garden/roman tub; Jetted tub; Linen closet; Separate shower; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Breakfast bar; Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $170k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.66%
Cash-on-cash
12.02%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$268,125
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2259 Cannonball Dr 0.00mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,145 (0%) 1mo $60,000 $28 94
2219 Walbash Dr 0.06mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,182 (+2%) 6mo $255,000 $117 84
2030 Short Line Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 2,006 (-6%) 1mo $253,800 $127 82
3317 Knotts Dr 0.35mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,256 (+5%) 1mo $334,400 $148 67
3936 Claiborne Cir 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,169 (+1%) 2mo $285,000 $131 66
3143 Leo Ln 0.36mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,256 (+5%) 7mo $331,400 $147 62
2131 Walbash Dr 0.15mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,466 (+15%) 3mo $269,500 $109 61
7105 Fair Oaks Ct 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,952 (-9%) 4mo $229,900 $118 58
3712 Claiborne Cir 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,924 (-10%) 2mo $264,000 $137 54
6413 Patrick Ct 0.62mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,365 (+10%) 2mo $295,500 $125 45
2316 Haddington Rd 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,850 (-14%) 4mo $198,000 $107 42
2725 W Aberdeen Dr 0.75mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,894 (-12%) 4mo $202,000 $107 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$8,062
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$68,845
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36116

Home prices YoY
-9.7%
Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
293
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,934 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,078/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$406
Net cashflow
$476

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,331
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7104 Fair Oaks Ct Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1656 $1,881 $1.14 43d 1 0.34mi
7406 Mill Ridge Ct Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1785 $2,250 $1.26 44d 1 0.45mi
3712 Claiborne Cir Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1924 $2,100 $1.09 43d 1 0.58mi
2224 W Aberdeen Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1994 $1,600 $0.80 21d 1 0.69mi
2420 Haddington Rd Unit 1519890P Montgomery, AL 4.0 1.0 1679 $4,483 $2.67 13d 1 0.69mi
1530 Laurelwood Ln Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2274 $2,295 $1.01 13d 1 1.03mi
5540 Ash Grove Cir Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1904 $2,200 $1.16 21d 1 1.06mi
1944 Woodrun Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1689 $1,595 $0.94 13d 1 1.17mi
8318 Chadburn Way Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.5 2621 $3,100 $1.18 43d 1 1.33mi
8636 Harvest Ridge Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2216 $2,100 $0.95 13d 1 1.36mi
8636 Harvest Ridge Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2216 $2,200 $0.99 21d 1 1.36mi
8706 Twelve Oaks Ln Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2050 $2,100 $1.02 21d 1 1.41mi
2140 Rexford Rd Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.5 1428 $1,275 $0.89 43d 1 1.43mi
2229 Halcyon Downs Loop Unit 1525028P Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1571 $5,675 $3.61 13d 1 1.47mi
1857 Still Oaks Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1791 $1,850 $1.03 21d 1 1.48mi
2066 Rexford Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.5 1632 $1,250 $0.77 21d 1 1.48mi
2060 Rexford Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.5 1566 $925 $0.59 21d 1 1.49mi
4647 Broadwick St Unit 4647 Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.5 1750 $2,400 $1.37 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-05-27
    listed $169,900 Active
  7. 2026-05-20
    soldstatus $60,000 Closed 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    Entered for comp purposes only.

  8. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    Entered for comp purposes only.

  9. 2026-05-04
    listed Contingent 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    Entered for comp purposes only.

  10. 2026-05-04
    listed $100,000 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    Entered for comp purposes only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,078 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,078 · $90/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,211
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,078
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,857
− Management
−$1,857
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$3,110
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$746
After-tax cash flow
$4,971/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
45,250
Household income
$55,160
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
2786.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 80% White 12% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.31%
Current HPI
151.8598
Rent YoY
▲ 5.65%
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+69.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $169,900 MAAR
  • 2026-05-20 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MAAR
  • 2026-05-16 Pending MAAR
  • 2026-05-04 Listed MAAR
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $100,000 MAAR

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,078 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…