1224 Sunset Dr · Robinson, PA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +1.6/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$48,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your dream home! Nestled in a serene neighborhood, this stunning Beacon Prestige 2024 manufactured home offers the perfect blend of modern style and ultimate convenience. With its sleek lines and contemporary design, this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom abode is not just a place to live, but a lifestyle to embrace. Convenience is paramount in this home, as it features energy-efficient systems and low-maintenance materials, allowing you to spend more time enjoying life and less time on upkeep.
Key facts
- Contemporary design
- Built 2024
- Listed 94 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-189 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $22k (55.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($854 rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (55.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,651 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools F.
- Fort Cherry SD (rural): math 34% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #213 of 539 in PA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($338 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 62% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 56% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- -16.53%
- DSCR
- 0.26
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-4,241
- Equity at exit
- $23,631
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $338
- Equity at exit
- $37,751
Cash invested: $13,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15019
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $854 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$256
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$61 /mo · $734/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$525
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$179
- Net cashflow
- $-189
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,225
- Closing costs
- $1,467
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $525 · $6,300/yr
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $48,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $48,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $48,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $48,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $48,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $48,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $48,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $48,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $48,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $48,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $48,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-03-16$48,900 Active 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Welcome to your dream home! Nestled in a serene neighborhood, this stunning Beacon Prestige 2024 manufactured home offers the perfect blend of modern style and ultimate convenience. With its sleek lines and contemporary design, this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom abode is not just a place to live, but a lifestyle to embrace. Convenience is paramount in this home, as it features energy-efficient systems and low-maintenance materials, allowing you to spend more time enjoying life and less time on upkeep.
-
2025-05-11historical $1,315
-
2025-03-22$1,315
-
2025-03-11price $48,900 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Presenting a newly built 2024 Beacon Prestige manufactured home, featuring a spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom layout with 780 sq ft of living space. Located in the sought-after Hidden Valley Estates, this home offers a thoughtfully designed floor plan with plenty of cabinetry and storage options. Sold unfurnished, it provides a perfect opportunity to personalize the space and make it your own. Take advantage of this fantastic chance for comfortable, modern living in a vibrant and welcoming community!
-
2024-12-08price $56,900 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Presenting a newly built 2024 Beacon Prestige manufactured home, featuring a spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom layout with 780 sq ft of living space. Located in the sought-after Hidden Valley Estates, this home offers a thoughtfully designed floor plan with plenty of cabinetry and storage options. Sold unfurnished, it provides a perfect opportunity to personalize the space and make it your own. Take advantage of this fantastic chance for comfortable, modern living in a vibrant and welcoming community!
-
2024-12-02$61,900 Active 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Presenting a newly built 2024 Beacon Prestige manufactured home, featuring a spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom layout with 780 sq ft of living space. Located in the sought-after Hidden Valley Estates, this home offers a thoughtfully designed floor plan with plenty of cabinetry and storage options. Sold unfurnished, it provides a perfect opportunity to personalize the space and make it your own. Take advantage of this fantastic chance for comfortable, modern living in a vibrant and welcoming community!
-
2024-05-31$70,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,243
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,739
- − Property taxes
- −$734
- − Insurance
- −$244
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$819
- − Management
- −$819
- − HOA
- −$6,300
- − Depreciation
- −$1,423
- Taxable loss
- −$2,836
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$681
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,583/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This Beacon Prestige 2024 manufactured home is in good condition with modern updates and a good curb appeal, making it a solid investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Cherry SD
- NCES district ID
- 4209960
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,129
- Composite
- 41.12/100
- National rank
- #3564
- State rank
- #213 of 539 in PA
Livability — Robinson
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1651
- US rank
- #22918
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 727
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,236
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Danish 6% Romanian 5% Serbian 3%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.59%
- Current HPI
- 175.8946
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-31.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Listed $48,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-05-11 Rental Removed $1,315 Avail
- 2025-03-22 Listed for Rent $1,315 Avail
- 2025-03-11 Price Changed $48,900 West Penn MLS
- 2024-12-08 Price Changed $56,900 West Penn MLS
- 2024-12-02 Listed $61,900 West Penn MLS
- 2024-05-31 Listed $70,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…