104 Smith St · Robersonville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This affordable property in the center of town of Robersonville offers both space and potential! There are 3 bedrooms and 2 baths with over 1400 sq ft of living space. Seller conveying property as-is and will make no repairs. Great potential for renting, flipping, or making it your own! See you in Robersonville!!
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 76 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Unpaved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected; Electric service (for heating and appliances)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story (entry level 1)
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding with frame construction; Metal roof; Crawl space/none basement
- Exterior features: Level lot; No patio or porch; No pool; No fencing; Paved road access; See remarks for frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Accessible approach with ramp; Electric water heater; Has view
- Laundry & utility: Utilities connected (water and sewer)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#190 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Martin County Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #150 of 178 in NC (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: South Creek Elementary (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,410 statewide, top 90%, 316 students, 99% FRL); South Creek Middle (204 students, 98% FRL); Riverside High (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #459 of 535 statewide, top 87%, 447 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Martin County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $45k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.88%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $170,586
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 W Third St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,368 (-6%) | 9mo | $139,900 | $102 | 63 |
| 1076 Shepherd Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,402 (-4%) | 12mo | $179,500 | $128 | 49 |
| 404 W Green St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,534 (+5%) | 6mo | $73,000 | $48 | 47 |
| 106 W Nelson St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,253 (-14%) | 6mo | $219,816 | $175 | 40 |
| 201 S Roberson St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,639 (+12%) | 6mo | $191,900 | $117 | 40 |
| 24134 Nc 903 | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,264 (-13%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $44 | 38 |
| 501 Park St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,246 (-14%) | 11mo | $112,000 | $90 | 29 |
| 802 E Green St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,251 (-14%) | 21mo | $158,900 | $127 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $43,483
- Equity at exit
- $29,227
- IRR
- 42.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.77×
- Total profit
- $104,925
- Equity at exit
- $45,042
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27871
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,197/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $559
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $596 | -5% $578 | +0% $559 | +5% $541 | +10% $522 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $457 | -5% $508 | +0% $559 | +5% $611 | +10% $662 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $592 | -0.5pp $576 | base $559 | +0.5pp $542 | +1.0pp $525 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 W Green St Robersonville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1688 | $1,300 | $0.77 | 22d | 1 | 0.42mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-04-05$65,000 Active
-
2017-03-20soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,197 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,197 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,197
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,248
- − Management
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $6,050
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,452
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,260/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702880
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,403
- Composite
- 23.94/100
- National rank
- #7781
- State rank
- #150 of 178 in NC
Livability — Robersonville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #190
- US rank
- #9464
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Robersonville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,559
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,018 people
- By 2030
- 19,693 · -6.3%
- By 2040
- 16,793 · -20.1%
- By 2050
- 14,171 · -32.6%
- By 2075
- 9,804 · -53.4%
- By 2100
- 6,894 · -67.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 45% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- R (+10.3) · D 44.6% · R 54.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -10.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.3 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+44.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-05 Listed $65,000 Hive MLS
- 2017-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,197 · +39.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…