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104 Smith St
B Composite 73.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$65,000

104 Smith St · Robersonville, NC 27871
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,458 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1960 8,712 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This affordable property in the center of town of Robersonville offers both space and potential! There are 3 bedrooms and 2 baths with over 1400 sq ft of living space. Seller conveying property as-is and will make no repairs. Great potential for renting, flipping, or making it your own! See you in Robersonville!!

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 76 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected; Electric service (for heating and appliances)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story (entry level 1)
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding with frame construction; Metal roof; Crawl space/none basement
  • Exterior features: Level lot; No patio or porch; No pool; No fencing; Paved road access; See remarks for frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Accessible approach with ramp; Electric water heater; Has view
  • Laundry & utility: Utilities connected (water and sewer)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#190 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Martin County Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #150 of 178 in NC (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: South Creek Elementary (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,410 statewide, top 90%, 316 students, 99% FRL); South Creek Middle (204 students, 98% FRL); Riverside High (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #459 of 535 statewide, top 87%, 447 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Martin County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $45k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.00%
Cap rate
16.62%
Cash-on-cash
36.88%
DSCR
2.64
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,586
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
107 W Third St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,368 (-6%) 9mo $139,900 $102 63
1076 Shepherd Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,402 (-4%) 12mo $179,500 $128 49
404 W Green St 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,534 (+5%) 6mo $73,000 $48 47
106 W Nelson St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,253 (-14%) 6mo $219,816 $175 40
201 S Roberson St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,639 (+12%) 6mo $191,900 $117 40
24134 Nc 903 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,264 (-13%) 6mo $55,000 $44 38
501 Park St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,246 (-14%) 11mo $112,000 $90 29
802 E Green St 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,251 (-14%) 21mo $158,900 $127 19

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.5%
Equity multiple
3.39×
Total profit
$43,483
Equity at exit
$29,227
10-year hold
IRR
42.3%
Equity multiple
6.77×
Total profit
$104,925
Equity at exit
$45,042

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27871

Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,197/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$559

Break-even live

Break-even rent $592
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $596 -5% $578 +0% $559 +5% $541 +10% $522
Rent -10% $457 -5% $508 +0% $559 +5% $611 +10% $662
Rate -1.0pp $592 -0.5pp $576 base $559 +0.5pp $542 +1.0pp $525

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
205 W Green St Robersonville, NC 3.0 1.0 1688 $1,300 $0.77 22d 1 0.42mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 65 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 64 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 59 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 58 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 57 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 56 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 55 DOM
  17. 2026-04-05
    listed $65,000 Active
  18. 2017-03-20
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,197 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,197 · $100/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,600
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,197
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$6,050
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,452
After-tax cash flow
$5,260/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Martin County Schools
NCES district ID
3702880
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$35,403
Composite
23.94/100
National rank
#7781
State rank
#150 of 178 in NC

Livability — Robersonville

Score
68/100
State rank
#190
US rank
#9464

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Robersonville, NC
Population (ZIP)
3,559

Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,018 people
By 2030
19,693 · -6.3%
By 2040
16,793 · -20.1%
By 2050
14,171 · -32.6%
By 2075
9,804 · -53.4%
By 2100
6,894 · -67.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 45% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Martin

2024 margin
R (+10.3) · D 44.6% · R 54.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -10.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.3 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+44.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-05 Listed $65,000 Hive MLS
  • 2017-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,197 · +39.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…