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4346 Knox Ave N
C+ Composite 63.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

4346 Knox Ave N · Minneapolis, MN 55412
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1937 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investors, first time buyers good starter. Updated kutchen & bath but could use a little finishing work here and there. Two sheds on property, Add a deck to the south side slider for those summer evening. Seller willing to work out the 2-3 items on the TISH needed to complete.

Key facts

  • Outdoor recreation
  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1937

Tags

EXPANSIVE GREEN SPACEOUTDOOR RECREATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; One story; Entry level: Main
  • Construction: Shingle/asphalt pitched roof (8 years old or newer); Block foundation; Built on foundation area of about 440
  • Exterior features: Metal exterior; Chain link fencing; Public transit within ~6 blocks; Light tree coverage; City street with curbs, paved streets and sidewalks; Lot roughly 50 x 86.5

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen window
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom (Main level) — approximately 10 x 10
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (Main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen window; Living/Dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.40%
Cash-on-cash
11.11%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$4,684
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$45,556
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
34 Tenant-Leaning
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City Minneapolis
34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
Tenant Opportunity to Purchase; renter's protections.

ZIP-level market 55412

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
168
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,247 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,422/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $902
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $332 -5% $302 +0% $272 +5% $243 +10% $213
Rent -10% $174 -5% $223 +0% $272 +5% $322 +10% $371
Rate -1.0pp $325 -0.5pp $299 base $272 +0.5pp $245 +1.0pp $217

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-01
    listed $105,000 Active 635-char remark
  16. 2018-08-23
    soldstatus $103,300
  17. 2018-08-10
    soldstatus $103,200 Sold 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Investors, first time buyers good starter. Updated kutchen & bath but could use a little finishing work here and there. Two sheds on property, Add a deck to the south side slider for those summer evening. Seller willing to work out the 2-3 items on the TISH needed to complete.

  18. 2018-07-26
    status Pending 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Investors, first time buyers good starter. Updated kutchen & bath but could use a little finishing work here and there. Two sheds on property, Add a deck to the south side slider for those summer evening. Seller willing to work out the 2-3 items on the TISH needed to complete.

  19. 2018-07-03
    historical 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Investors, first time buyers good starter. Updated kutchen & bath but could use a little finishing work here and there. Two sheds on property, Add a deck to the south side slider for those summer evening. Seller willing to work out the 2-3 items on the TISH needed to complete.

  20. 2018-06-05
    listed $125,900 Active 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Investors, first time buyers good starter. Updated kutchen & bath but could use a little finishing work here and there. Two sheds on property, Add a deck to the south side slider for those summer evening. Seller willing to work out the 2-3 items on the TISH needed to complete.

  21. 2000-10-31
    soldstatus $59,900
  22. 2000-10-04
    historical
  23. 2000-09-16
    listed $59,900
  24. 1998-05-18
    soldstatus $38,000
  25. 1998-04-17
    soldstatus $38,000
  26. 1998-03-15
    historical
  27. 1997-11-24
    listed $36,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,422 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,422 · $119/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,965
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,422
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,197
− Management
−$1,197
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$1,687
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$405
After-tax cash flow
$2,863/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Minneapolis Public School District
NCES district ID
2721240
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$50,521
Composite
34.92/100
National rank
#5067
State rank
#217 of 301 in MN

Livability — Minneapolis

Score
78/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#2525

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minneapolis, MN
County
Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
City population
417,555
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
24,460
Household income
$68,682
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
913.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,405,227 people
By 2030
1,492,650 · +6.2%
By 2040
1,660,157 · +18.1%
By 2050
1,823,498 · +29.8%
By 2075
2,221,283 · +58.1%
By 2100
2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 8% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.98%
Current HPI
298.1414
Rent YoY
▲ 6.35%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+184.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $105,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $103,300 Public Records
  • 2018-08-10 Sold (MLS) $103,200 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-26 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-03 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-05 Listed $125,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-10-31 Sold (MLS) $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-10-04 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-09-16 Listed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 1998-04-17 Sold (MLS) $38,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-03-15 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-11-24 Listed $36,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,422 · -24.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…