4514 Vermaas Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-bedroom home with a basement, newer flooring, and fresh paint throughout. Features an eat-in kitchen, detached garage, and a nicely sized yard with plenty of outdoor space. A great opportunity for a first-time buyer or an investor looking to add to their portfolio.
Key facts
- 5,700 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1948
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($947 rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.96%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $96,471
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -6.81%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 539 Sunset Blvd | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 824 (+6%) | 5mo | $114,000 | $138 | 80 |
| 4139 Caroline Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 786 (+1%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $95 | 78 |
| 318 Sunset Blvd | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 758 (-3%) | 2mo | $98,000 | $129 | 76 |
| 504 Eleanor Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 844 (+8%) | 4mo | $83,500 | $99 | 74 |
| 713 W Capistrano Ave | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (+3%) | 2mo | $133,615 | $167 | 74 |
| 520 Waggoner Blvd | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+15%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $123 | 66 |
| 4139 Walker Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 868 (+11%) | 0mo | $73,000 | $84 | 63 |
| 334 Waggoner Blvd | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 3mo | $112,000 | $167 | 58 |
| 331 W Crawford Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 702 (-10%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $128 | 58 |
| 326 Waggoner Blvd | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $149 | 56 |
| 218 Waggoner Blvd | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 2mo | $99,000 | $147 | 53 |
| 1202 Cribb St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 1mo | $106,000 | $158 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,307
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $22,872
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43612
- Home prices YoY
- -17.5%
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $947 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,113/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$199
- Net cashflow
- $146
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $197 | -5% $172 | +0% $146 | +5% $121 | +10% $95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $71 | -5% $109 | +0% $146 | +5% $183 | +10% $221 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $191 | -0.5pp $169 | base $146 | +0.5pp $123 | +1.0pp $99 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4412 Packard Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $900 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 4220 Caroline Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,095 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4039 Vermaas Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4039 Vermaas Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $675 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 244 Sunset Blvd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,045 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4013 Caroline Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $800 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4158 Mayfield Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $850 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3950 Woodhaven Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $745 | $0.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 823 Custer Dr Unit Upstairs Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $925 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1338 Crestwood Rd Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5207 Bennett Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1109 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3805 Berkeley Unit 3 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $735 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3812 Drexel Dr Apt 2 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $773 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3915 Willys Pkwy Unit 3915 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $800 | $0.74 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3615 Berkeley Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 927 W Northgate Pkwy Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,100 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3541 Willys Pkwy Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3901 Leybourn Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,150 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5527 Lewis Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 654 | $622 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1489 Berdan Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,250 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3817 Burton Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $1,015 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4435 Jackman Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $922 | $1.27 | 15d | 3 | 1.35mi |
| 5311 N Detroit Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $665 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5311 N Detroit Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $665 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3940 Jackman Rd Unit B Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3801 Torrance Dr Unit 3801 4 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $600 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-04-19$99,900 Active 276-char remark
Show marketing remark (276 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom home with a basement, newer flooring, and fresh paint throughout. Features an eat-in kitchen, detached garage, and a nicely sized yard with plenty of outdoor space. A great opportunity for a first-time buyer or an investor looking to add to their portfolio.
-
2026-04-15historical $99,900 276-char remark
Show marketing remark (276 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom home with a basement, newer flooring, and fresh paint throughout. Features an eat-in kitchen, detached garage, and a nicely sized yard with plenty of outdoor space. A great opportunity for a first-time buyer or an investor looking to add to their portfolio.
-
2025-10-14price $74,000 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
Cute bungalow with fenced yard and 1 car garage. Fresh paint and new carpet. New roof on house, new gas hot heater. Kitchen appliances stay.
-
2023-11-30soldstatus $80,000
-
2023-11-17soldstatus $40,000
-
2019-09-12soldstatus $45,900
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2014-10-03historical
-
2014-02-12$12,900
-
2011-02-07soldstatus $35,500
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2010-12-23historical
-
2010-10-29$29,900
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2010-10-20historical
-
2010-08-18$34,900
-
2008-03-20historical
-
2007-09-17$59,500
-
2004-09-15soldstatus $74,000 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
Cute bungalow with fenced yard and 1 car garage. Fresh paint and new carpet. New roof on house, new gas hot heater. Kitchen appliances stay.
-
2004-09-15soldstatus $74,000
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
Cute bungalow with fenced yard and 1 car garage. Fresh paint and new carpet. New roof on house, new gas hot heater. Kitchen appliances stay.
-
2004-07-07$74,900 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
Cute bungalow with fenced yard and 1 car garage. Fresh paint and new carpet. New roof on house, new gas hot heater. Kitchen appliances stay.
-
2002-10-01soldstatus $66,000
-
1992-04-24soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,113 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,258 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$145/yr (+$12/mo · 13.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,358
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,113
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$909
- − Management
- −$909
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $327
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$79
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,675/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,480
- Household income
- $50,728
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1203.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 23% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.05%
- Current HPI
- 235.5389
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.01%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+177.5% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Listed $99,900 NORIS
- 2026-04-15 Coming Soon $99,900 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $74,000 NORIS
- 2023-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2023-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2019-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $45,900 Public Records
- 2014-10-03 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2014-02-12 Listed $12,900 NORIS
- 2011-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $35,500 Public Records
- 2010-12-23 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2010-10-29 Listed $29,900 NORIS
- 2010-10-20 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2010-08-18 Listed $34,900 NORIS
- 2008-03-20 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2007-09-17 Listed $59,500 NORIS
- 2004-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-15 Sold (MLS) $74,000 NORIS
- 2004-07-07 Listed $74,900 NORIS
- 2002-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 1992-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,113 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…