3531 Harvest Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +6.7/30.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
- 1% rule +0.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully remodeled 5-bedroom, 3-bath home on Indianapolis' east side! This move-in-ready property offers lots of rooms with updated living space with fresh paint, new flooring, and modern siding throughout the exterior of the house!. Enjoy a spacious floor plan featuring a large living room, oversized kitchen island, covered deck, oversized shed, and fully fenced backyard. The basement includes flexible living space perfect for a recreation room, home office, or additional bedroom. A fantastic combination of space, updates, and value!
Key facts
- 7,100 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1968
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: 100% of optional level finished
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; No solid waste service listed
- Home design: Single family residence; One level (main living on a single level) ; Less than 1/4 acre lot (approximately 0.16 acre)
- Construction: Cement siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Yard enclosed by fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom in the basement (finished)
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms total; Two full baths on the main level; One full bath in the basement
- Interior features: Attic access; Breakfast bar; Built-in features; Walk-in closet(s); Finished basement with finished walls and ceiling; Basement has egress window(s); Electric fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-357 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (28.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (42.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $129k (42.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.57% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.80%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 14.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,221
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3965 Alsace Pl | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+14%) | 9mo | $189,000 | $219 | 30 |
| 8248 E 41st St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 720 (-5%) | 20mo | $120,000 | $167 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-54,203
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-54,423
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46226
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 14.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,287 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,204/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $-357
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-229 | -5% $-293 | +0% $-357 | +5% $-420 | +10% $-484 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-458 | -5% $-408 | +0% $-357 | +5% $-306 | +10% $-255 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-243 | -0.5pp $-300 | base $-357 | +0.5pp $-415 | +1.0pp $-474 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7838 Ridgewood Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,540 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 7838 Ridgewood Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,540 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3631 Decamp Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,335 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3226 Wellington Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,149 | $1.28 | 11d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 7925 Crossbridge Dr Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7975 Red Mill Dr Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $975 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3809 Biscayne Rd Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,020 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3938 Biscayne Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 4d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 8862 Bel Air Ct Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,264 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 8724 Montery Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9226 E 36th Pl Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 8d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9060 E 39th Pl Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 820 | $1,040 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4315 Aspen Way Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,380 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7171 Twin Oaks Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 801 | $1,199 | $1.50 | 24d | 9 | 1.12mi |
| 3775 Allerton Pl Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,383 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7845 Bonita Ct Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 8d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7910 Roy Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,445 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 9438 Conried Dr Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,445 | $1.32 | 5d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3900 N Shadeland Ave Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,075 | $1.00 | 4d | 6 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $224,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 543-char remark
-
2026-06-13$224,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,204 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,558 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$354/yr (+$29/mo · 29.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,444
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$1,204
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,236
- − Management
- −$1,236
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$8,496
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,039
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,242/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,099
- Household income
- $50,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2742.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -218.85%
- Current HPI
- 239.43
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.76%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $224,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,204 · +46.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…