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115 Sherri Ln
D- Composite 38.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.2/15.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

115 Sherri Ln · Excelsior Springs, MO 64024
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 904 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1970 8,276 sqft lot Est $188k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This family home is looking for someone to show it the needed TLC to bring it back to it's glory. Tons of potential! Located in a nice neighborhood. Sold As-is, any inspections are for buyers knowledge only.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Finished basement
  • Flat yard

Tags

FENCED YARDFLAT YARDFINISHED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Not in a flood plain; Age approximately 51–75 years; Above-grade finished area recorded (assessor); Below-grade finished area recorded (assessor)
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (faces front), 1 garage space
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Fiber available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Residential single-family home; Side/side split; Located inside city limits
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Metal fencing; Shed(s); City lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave; Free-standing electric oven
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the first floor)
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Thermal windows; Side/side split floor plan; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on the lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-445/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (3.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (22.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.6% in Excelsior Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#228 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Excelsior Springs 40 (town): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #225 of 324 in MO (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Excelsior Springs Ear Chld Ctr (155 students, 50% FRL); Excelsior Springs High (math 12% / reading 62%, grade F, #291 of 521 statewide, top 60%, 787 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $143,373 (22.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.86%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$188,032
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
208 Carla St 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,026 (+14%) 0mo $245,000 $239 70
1321 N Jesse James Rd 0.40mi 3/1.0 956 (+6%) 3mo $49,000 $51 69
221 Lynn Rd 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+12%) 24mo $180,000 $179 55
316 May St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-4%) 7mo $180,000 $208 55
311 May St 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 792 (-12%) 14mo $180,000 $227 30
817 Rowell Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,030 (+14%) 22mo $205,000 $199 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.7%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-32,385
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-31,425
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64024

Home prices YoY
-15.3%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,434 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,470/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$-37

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,481
Max offer price $178,449
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $68 -5% $15 +0% $-37 +5% $-89 +10% $-142
Rent -10% $-150 -5% $-94 +0% $-37 +5% $20 +10% $76
Rate -1.0pp $56 -0.5pp $10 base $-37 +0.5pp $-85 +1.0pp $-134

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
701 Tiger Dr Excelsior Springs, MO 2.0 1.5 800 $1,250 $1.56 3d 1 0.69mi
410 N Titus Ave Excelsior Springs, MO 3.0 2.0 910 $1,476 $1.62 45d 1 1.07mi
317 Woods St Excelsior Springs, MO 2.0 1.0 884 $1,350 $1.53 3d 1 1.16mi
1406 Magnolia W Excelsior Springs, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 22d 2 1.17mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $185,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    remarks 319-char remark
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,470 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,794 · $150/mo
Expected delta
+$325/yr (+$27/mo · 22.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,205
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$1,470
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,376
− Management
−$1,376
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$3,688
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$885
After-tax cash flow
$440/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Excelsior Springs 40
NCES district ID
2911650
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$52,747
Composite
29.32/100
National rank
#6548
State rank
#225 of 324 in MO

Livability — Excelsior Springs

Score
67/100
State rank
#228
US rank
#11166

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Excelsior Springs, MO
County
Clay County · 220,651 people
City population
15,574
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
15,574
Household income
$77,895
Rent vs Own
23.2% rent · 76.8% own
Severe rent burden
329.0

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
266,022 people
By 2030
280,057 · +5.3%
By 2040
306,153 · +15.1%
By 2050
328,630 · +23.5%
By 2075
375,182 · +41.0%
By 2100
392,861 · +47.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.6) · D 46.4% · R 52.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -5.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.6 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+11.1 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.83%
Current HPI
302.9184
Rent YoY
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+363.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $185,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-01-22 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-12-20 Listed $39,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,470 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…