115 Sherri Ln · Excelsior Springs, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This family home is looking for someone to show it the needed TLC to bring it back to it's glory. Tons of potential! Located in a nice neighborhood. Sold As-is, any inspections are for buyers knowledge only.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Finished basement
- Flat yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a flood plain; Age approximately 51–75 years; Above-grade finished area recorded (assessor); Below-grade finished area recorded (assessor)
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (faces front), 1 garage space
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Fiber available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Residential single-family home; Side/side split; Located inside city limits
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Metal fencing; Shed(s); City lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave; Free-standing electric oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the first floor)
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Thermal windows; Side/side split floor plan; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on the lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-445/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (3.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (22.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $143k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.6% in Excelsior Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#228 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Excelsior Springs 40 (town): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #225 of 324 in MO (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Excelsior Springs Ear Chld Ctr (155 students, 50% FRL); Excelsior Springs High (math 12% / reading 62%, grade F, #291 of 521 statewide, top 60%, 787 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.86%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $188,032
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Carla St | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,026 (+14%) | 0mo | $245,000 | $239 | 70 |
| 1321 N Jesse James Rd | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 956 (+6%) | 3mo | $49,000 | $51 | 69 |
| 221 Lynn Rd | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+12%) | 24mo | $180,000 | $179 | 55 |
| 316 May St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-4%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $208 | 55 |
| 311 May St | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 792 (-12%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $227 | 30 |
| 817 Rowell Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,030 (+14%) | 22mo | $205,000 | $199 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-32,385
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-31,425
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64024
- Home prices YoY
- -15.3%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,434 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,470/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $-37
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $68 | -5% $15 | +0% $-37 | +5% $-89 | +10% $-142 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-150 | -5% $-94 | +0% $-37 | +5% $20 | +10% $76 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $56 | -0.5pp $10 | base $-37 | +0.5pp $-85 | +1.0pp $-134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 Tiger Dr Excelsior Springs, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 3d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 410 N Titus Ave Excelsior Springs, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,476 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 317 Woods St Excelsior Springs, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,350 | $1.53 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1406 Magnolia W Excelsior Springs, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 22d | 2 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-02status $185,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 319-char remark
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,470 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,794 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- +$325/yr (+$27/mo · 22.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,205
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,470
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,376
- − Management
- −$1,376
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$3,688
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$885
- After-tax cash flow
- $440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Excelsior Springs 40
- NCES district ID
- 2911650
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,747
- Composite
- 29.32/100
- National rank
- #6548
- State rank
- #225 of 324 in MO
Livability — Excelsior Springs
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #228
- US rank
- #11166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Excelsior Springs, MO
- County
- Clay County · 220,651 people
- City population
- 15,574
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,574
- Household income
- $77,895
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 329.0
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 266,022 people
- By 2030
- 280,057 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 306,153 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 328,630 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 375,182 · +41.0%
- By 2100
- 392,861 · +47.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.6) · D 46.4% · R 52.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.6 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+11.1 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.83%
- Current HPI
- 302.9184
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+363.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $185,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-01-22 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-12-20 Listed $39,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,470 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…