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7025 San Bartolo St #42
B- Composite 68.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.6/15.0

$439,000

7025 San Bartolo St #42 · Carlsbad, CA 92011
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 252 Days on market
Built 2023 Good condition $305/sqft · 15% above area Est $381k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Live the coastal dream in this NEW, never lived in, gorgeous three bedroom, two bath home in the 55+ exclusive gated community of Lakeshore Gardens! Enjoy an open-concept layout including a chef-style kitchen with island. New hardwood laminate flooring recently installed in living room, dining area and hallway! Dual pane windows. Ceiling fans in living room and bedrooms. Walk-in closets in bedrooms. Expansive deck on front of home. Spacious shed included! Designed for comfort, style, and easy living. Community amenities support an active, social lifestyle. Lakeshore Gardens is an active 55+, luxury manufactured home community in Carlsbad. This park is located on 54 acres of land, has 383 home sites, & 10 small lakes. Lush landscaping, greenbelts & mature trees throughout, giving the community a park-like feel. Extensive waterfowl call this home. The ponds are home to turtles & many fish. Nature lovers have the best of all worlds here! The 2-story club house has a country club feel. The upper-level houses an office, lobby, card room with fireplace, billiard room & a beautiful balcony to enjoy ocean views. Lower level has a fabulous library, recreation room with a stage, kitchen & restrooms. A large patio with fountain, fire pit, & outdoor fireplace adjoins the community room, which is used for many events. Heated pool & spa, sauna beautiful gym, ping pong & shuffleboard tables. Various activities in the community, so residents can find friendship & companionship while attending events they enjoy. Activities include card games, bingo, monthly breakfasts, craft groups, golf groups, ladies’ luncheons & much more! You can be as active as you choose right here at Lakeshore Gardens!

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Walk-in closets
  • Chef-style kitchen

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTCHEF-STYLE KITCHENWALK-IN CLOSETSLUSH LANDSCAPINGMATURE TREES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $439k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $439k).
  • Recommended offer: $386k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 2.1% in Carlsbad — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#67 in CA, #2,526 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: health & safety D+, cost of living F.
  • Carlsbad Unified (urban): math 68% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #87 of 1,400 in CA (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($159k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $123k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 252 days — a 12% lower offer ($386k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $125k; list at $439k implies a 251% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $386,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 252 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.73%
Cash-on-cash
12.26%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$380,537
List price
$439,000
Delta
15.36%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7140 Santa Rosa St 0.04mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 6mo $191,000 $133 88
7024 San Bartolo Unit 19 A 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,544 (+7%) 2mo $425,000 $275 86
7018 San Carlos St #60 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 6mo $392,000 $272 85
7106 Santa Cruz #56 0.04mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,464 (+2%) 9mo $390,000 $266 83
7217 San Luis St #173 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 10mo $280,000 $194 82
7311 San Luis St #237 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,359 (-6%) 1mo $236,550 $174 74
7203 San Luis St #166 0.07mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,536 (+7%) 9mo $375,000 $244 71
7318 San Luis St 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 9mo $285,000 $198 70
7313 San Luis St #236 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,548 (+8%) 5mo $450,000 $291 69
7304 Santa Barbara St #325 0.23mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,512 (+5%) 9mo $481,000 $318 68
7224 San Benito St 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (+11%) 9mo $400,000 $250 63
7243 San Luis St #257 0.22mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-13%) 2mo $120,000 $96 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.75% appreciation · 3.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$107,544
Equity at exit
$167,215
10-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
3.54×
Total profit
$312,433
Equity at exit
$236,312

Cash invested: $122,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92011

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,430 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,302
Tax est. 1.5%
$549 /mo · $6,585/yr
Insurance
$183
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,140
Net cashflow
$1,256

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,840
Max offer price $439,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$109,750
Closing costs
$13,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7290 Ponto Dr Carlsbad, CA 4.0 3.5 1756 $8,212 $4.68 1d 2 0.28mi
6923 Whitecap Dr Carlsbad, CA 3.0 2.0 1246 $5,250 $4.21 43d 1 0.47mi
820 Windcrest Dr Carlsbad, CA 3.0 2.0 1404 $5,581 $3.98 17d 1 0.65mi
6938 Seascape Dr Carlsbad, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 810 $3,775 $4.66 3d 9 0.66mi
6790 Embarcadero Ln Carlsbad, CA 1.0–2.0 2.0–2.5 2104 $5,750 $2.73 4d 1 0.72mi
6910 Peachtree Rd Unit 1546353P Carlsbad, CA 3.0 2.0 1399 $6,129 $4.38 16d 1 0.76mi
6811 Alderwood Dr Carlsbad, CA 2.0 2.0 1292 $3,850 $2.98 43d 1 0.86mi
916 Caminito Estrada Unit B Carlsbad, CA 2.0 2.0 1188 $3,650 $3.07 43d 1 0.98mi
902 Caminito Madrigal Unit B Carlsbad, CA 2.0 1.0 897 $3,200 $3.57 10d 1 1.02mi
6675 Paseo del Norte Unit B Carlsbad, CA 2.0 2.0 959 $4,300 $4.48 43d 1 1.02mi
6675 Paseo del Norte Unit A Carlsbad, CA 2.0 2.0 959 $3,850 $4.01 4d 1 1.02mi
6677 Paseo Del Norte Carlsbad, CA 2.0 2.0 959 $4,500 $4.69 43d 1 1.03mi
6677 Paseo del Norte Unit B Carlsbad, CA 2.0 1.0 959 $3,950 $4.12 43d 1 1.03mi
908 Caminito Madrigal Carlsbad, CA 2.0 2.0 897 $4,500 $5.02 43d 1 1.07mi
908 Caminito Madrigal Unit D Carlsbad, CA 2.0 1.5 897 $4,500 $5.02 43d 1 1.09mi
925 Wind Drift Dr Carlsbad, CA 2.0 2.5 1110 $3,895 $3.51 43d 1 1.15mi
6555 Sea Gate Rd Carlsbad, CA 2.0 2.0 1114 $4,095 $3.67 1d 3 1.18mi
1967 N Vulcan Ave Encinitas, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 929 $5,359 $5.77 1d 7 1.27mi
1812 Parliament Rd Encinitas, CA 2.0 2.0 1467 $11,200 $7.63 1d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $439,000 Active 252 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $439,000 Active 251 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $439,000 Active 250 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $439,000 Active 249 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $439,000 Active 247 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $439,000 Active 246 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $439,000 Active 243 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $439,000 Active 242 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $439,000 Active 241 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $439,000 Active 238 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $439,000 Active 237 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $439,000 Active 236 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $439,000 Active 235 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $439,000 Active 234 DOM
  15. 2026-03-27
    price $439,000 1768-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1768 chars)

    Live the coastal dream in this NEW, never lived in, gorgeous three bedroom, two bath home in the 55+ exclusive gated community of Lakeshore Gardens! Enjoy an open-concept layout including a chef-style kitchen with island. New hardwood laminate flooring recently installed in living room, dining area and hallway! Dual pane windows. Ceiling fans in living room and bedrooms. Walk-in closets in bedrooms. Expansive deck on front of home. Spacious shed included! Designed for comfort, style, and easy living. Community amenities support an active, social lifestyle. Lakeshore Gardens is an active 55+, luxury manufactured home community in Carlsbad. This park is located on 54 acres of land, has 383 home sites, & 10 small lakes. Lush landscaping, greenbelts & mature trees throughout, giving the community a park-like feel. Extensive waterfowl call this home. The ponds are home to turtles & many fish. Nature lovers have the best of all worlds here! The 2-story club house has a country club feel. The upper-level houses an office, lobby, card room with fireplace, billiard room & a beautiful balcony to enjoy ocean views. Lower level has a fabulous library, recreation room with a stage, kitchen & restrooms. A large patio with fountain, fire pit, & outdoor fireplace adjoins the community room, which is used for many events. Heated pool & spa, sauna beautiful gym, ping pong & shuffleboard tables. Various activities in the community, so residents can find friendship & companionship while attending events they enjoy. Activities include card games, bingo, monthly breakfasts, craft groups, golf groups, ladies’ luncheons & much more! You can be as active as you choose right here at Lakeshore Gardens!

  16. 2025-11-10
    price $459,900 1768-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1768 chars)

    Live the coastal dream in this NEW, never lived in, gorgeous three bedroom, two bath home in the 55+ exclusive gated community of Lakeshore Gardens! Enjoy an open-concept layout including a chef-style kitchen with island. New hardwood laminate flooring recently installed in living room, dining area and hallway! Dual pane windows. Ceiling fans in living room and bedrooms. Walk-in closets in bedrooms. Expansive deck on front of home. Spacious shed included! Designed for comfort, style, and easy living. Community amenities support an active, social lifestyle. Lakeshore Gardens is an active 55+, luxury manufactured home community in Carlsbad. This park is located on 54 acres of land, has 383 home sites, & 10 small lakes. Lush landscaping, greenbelts & mature trees throughout, giving the community a park-like feel. Extensive waterfowl call this home. The ponds are home to turtles & many fish. Nature lovers have the best of all worlds here! The 2-story club house has a country club feel. The upper-level houses an office, lobby, card room with fireplace, billiard room & a beautiful balcony to enjoy ocean views. Lower level has a fabulous library, recreation room with a stage, kitchen & restrooms. A large patio with fountain, fire pit, & outdoor fireplace adjoins the community room, which is used for many events. Heated pool & spa, sauna beautiful gym, ping pong & shuffleboard tables. Various activities in the community, so residents can find friendship & companionship while attending events they enjoy. Activities include card games, bingo, monthly breakfasts, craft groups, golf groups, ladies’ luncheons & much more! You can be as active as you choose right here at Lakeshore Gardens!

  17. 2025-10-09
    listed $469,900 Active 1768-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1768 chars)

    Live the coastal dream in this NEW, never lived in, gorgeous three bedroom, two bath home in the 55+ exclusive gated community of Lakeshore Gardens! Enjoy an open-concept layout including a chef-style kitchen with island. New hardwood laminate flooring recently installed in living room, dining area and hallway! Dual pane windows. Ceiling fans in living room and bedrooms. Walk-in closets in bedrooms. Expansive deck on front of home. Spacious shed included! Designed for comfort, style, and easy living. Community amenities support an active, social lifestyle. Lakeshore Gardens is an active 55+, luxury manufactured home community in Carlsbad. This park is located on 54 acres of land, has 383 home sites, & 10 small lakes. Lush landscaping, greenbelts & mature trees throughout, giving the community a park-like feel. Extensive waterfowl call this home. The ponds are home to turtles & many fish. Nature lovers have the best of all worlds here! The 2-story club house has a country club feel. The upper-level houses an office, lobby, card room with fireplace, billiard room & a beautiful balcony to enjoy ocean views. Lower level has a fabulous library, recreation room with a stage, kitchen & restrooms. A large patio with fountain, fire pit, & outdoor fireplace adjoins the community room, which is used for many events. Heated pool & spa, sauna beautiful gym, ping pong & shuffleboard tables. Various activities in the community, so residents can find friendship & companionship while attending events they enjoy. Activities include card games, bingo, monthly breakfasts, craft groups, golf groups, ladies’ luncheons & much more! You can be as active as you choose right here at Lakeshore Gardens!

  18. 2025-10-09
    historical
    Show marketing remark (1768 chars)

    Live the coastal dream in this NEW, never lived in, gorgeous three bedroom, two bath home in the 55+ exclusive gated community of Lakeshore Gardens! Enjoy an open-concept layout including a chef-style kitchen with island. New hardwood laminate flooring recently installed in living room, dining area and hallway! Dual pane windows. Ceiling fans in living room and bedrooms. Walk-in closets in bedrooms. Expansive deck on front of home. Spacious shed included! Designed for comfort, style, and easy living. Community amenities support an active, social lifestyle. Lakeshore Gardens is an active 55+, luxury manufactured home community in Carlsbad. This park is located on 54 acres of land, has 383 home sites, & 10 small lakes. Lush landscaping, greenbelts & mature trees throughout, giving the community a park-like feel. Extensive waterfowl call this home. The ponds are home to turtles & many fish. Nature lovers have the best of all worlds here! The 2-story club house has a country club feel. The upper-level houses an office, lobby, card room with fireplace, billiard room & a beautiful balcony to enjoy ocean views. Lower level has a fabulous library, recreation room with a stage, kitchen & restrooms. A large patio with fountain, fire pit, & outdoor fireplace adjoins the community room, which is used for many events. Heated pool & spa, sauna beautiful gym, ping pong & shuffleboard tables. Various activities in the community, so residents can find friendship & companionship while attending events they enjoy. Activities include card games, bingo, monthly breakfasts, craft groups, golf groups, ladies’ luncheons & much more! You can be as active as you choose right here at Lakeshore Gardens!

  19. 2025-05-12
    listed $469,900 Active
  20. 2025-02-20
    historical
  21. 2025-01-07
    status Active
  22. 2024-11-11
    status Pending
  23. 2024-10-26
    price $469,900
  24. 2024-10-05
    price $474,900
  25. 2024-08-30
    price $484,900
  26. 2024-06-23
    price $494,500
  27. 2024-04-27
    price $499,000
  28. 2024-02-24
    price $524,900
  29. 2024-01-30
    price $534,900
  30. 2023-11-22
    price $539,900
  31. 2023-10-19
    price $544,900
  32. 2023-08-22
    listed $554,900 Active
  33. 2023-03-14
    soldstatus $125,000 Sold
  34. 2023-02-16
    status Pending
  35. 2023-02-13
    price $125,000
  36. 2023-01-16
    listed $149,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥82°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$65,158
− Mortgage interest
−$24,591
− Property taxes
−$6,585
− Insurance
−$2,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,213
− Management
−$5,213
− Depreciation
−$12,771
Taxable income
$8,591
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,062
After-tax cash flow
$13,007/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This newly built, move-in-ready manufactured home in Lakeshore Gardens offers a modern kitchen, hardwood flooring, and dual-pane windows. It's in good condition with minor cosmetic updates needed for optimal resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters.
  • Both Add a smart home system — Improves convenience and energy efficiency, appealing to modern buyers and renters.
  • Both Install smart locks — Enhances security and convenience for both buyers and renters.
  • Both Add a smart thermostat — Improves energy efficiency and comfort for both buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters.
  • Both Add a smart home system — Improves convenience and energy efficiency, appealing to modern buyers and renters.
  • Both Install smart locks — Enhances security and convenience for both buyers and renters.
  • Both Add a smart thermostat — Improves energy efficiency and comfort for both buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carlsbad Unified
NCES district ID
0607500
Math proficiency
68% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$81,200
Composite
65.11/100
National rank
#1068
State rank
#87 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Carlsbad

Score
78/100
State rank
#67
US rank
#2526

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Carlsbad, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
114,373
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
23,190
Household income
$159,235
Rent vs Own
36.0% rent · 64.0% own
Severe rent burden
714.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 15% Asian 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 4% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.75%
Current HPI
399.8502
Rent YoY
▲ 3.54%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+194.6% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $439,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $459,900 SDMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Listed $469,900 SDMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2025-05-12 Listed $469,900 SDMLS
  • 2025-02-20 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2025-01-07 Relisted SDMLS
  • 2024-11-11 Pending SDMLS
  • 2024-10-26 Price Changed $469,900 SDMLS
  • 2024-10-05 Price Changed $474,900 SDMLS
  • 2024-08-30 Price Changed $484,900 SDMLS
  • 2024-06-23 Price Changed $494,500 SDMLS
  • 2024-04-27 Price Changed $499,000 SDMLS
  • 2024-02-24 Price Changed $524,900 SDMLS
  • 2024-01-30 Price Changed $534,900 SDMLS
  • 2023-11-22 Price Changed $539,900 SDMLS
  • 2023-10-19 Price Changed $544,900 SDMLS
  • 2023-08-22 Listed $554,900 SDMLS
  • 2023-03-14 Sold (MLS) $125,000 SDMLS
  • 2023-02-16 Pending SDMLS
  • 2023-02-13 Price Changed $125,000 SDMLS
  • 2023-01-16 Listed $149,000 SDMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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