6555 Spanish Lakes Blvd · Vero Beach South, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$56,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This inviting residence features an array of upgrades. Spacious enclosed Florida room designed for entertaining or a great evening dinner. Inside, you’ll find a warm and welcoming dining, an open chef inspired kitchen, relaxation room in addition to a full living-room ideal for hosting guests or catching up on the best shows. Nestled on an oversized lot, this amazing home boasts a large backyard, providing ample outdoor space for enjoying the Florida sunshine. Recent upgrades & features include wood vinyl plank flooring, remodeled bathrooms with custom vanity. Located in an amenity rich community with a prestige 18-hole golf course, clubhouse, pools, and more with an active and
Key facts
- 18-hole golf course
- Large backyard
- Florida room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in a senior community
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA amenities include dog park, golf course, pool, and street lights; Monthly association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 3 covered spaces; Driveway; Golf cart parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Mobile home; One story; Faces east
- Construction: Shingle/Composition roof; Resale condition; Built as single-story structure
- Exterior features: No waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Kitchen island; French doors
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $57k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $449 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $57k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 4.3% in Vero Beach South — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#163 in FL, #2,445 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Weatherbee Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 672 students, 90% FRL); Dan Mccarty Middle School (math 23% / reading 23%, grade F, #542 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 747 students, 88% FRL); Fort Pierce Westwood Academy The W.E.S.T. Prep Magnet (math 16% / reading 36%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 2,010 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 59% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Lucie average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 294 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $393 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 40% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.80%
- DSCR
- 2.50
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $62,345
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6787 Yedra Ave | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,664 (-1%) | 13mo | $80,595 | $48 | 72 |
| 14400 Isla Flores | 0.18mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,482 (-12%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $37 | 60 |
| 14185 Zorzal Ave | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,485 (-12%) | 19mo | $45,000 | $30 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $19,916
- Equity at exit
- $8,484
- IRR
- 37.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.54×
- Total profit
- $56,390
- Equity at exit
- $4,920
Cash invested: $15,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34951
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,135 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$298
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$71 /mo · $854/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$845
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$448
- Net cashflow
- $449
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $488 | -5% $468 | +0% $449 | +5% $429 | +10% $409 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $280 | -5% $364 | +0% $449 | +5% $533 | +10% $618 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $477 | -0.5pp $463 | base $449 | +0.5pp $434 | +1.0pp $419 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,225
- Closing costs
- $1,707
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6765 Spanish Lakes Blvd Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $845 · $10,140/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $56,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $56,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2025-06-24$56,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,626
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,187
- − Property taxes
- −$854
- − Insurance
- −$284
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,050
- − Management
- −$2,050
- − HOA
- −$10,140
- − Depreciation
- −$1,655
- Taxable income
- $5,405
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,297
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,088/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Vero Beach South
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #2445
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,148
- Household income
- $63,122
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 140.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.06%
- Current HPI
- 343.1376
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-06-24 Listed $56,900 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…