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1416 Madison St
D+ Composite 45.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

1416 Madison St · Quincy, IL 62301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,215 sqft · SingleFamily · 22 Days on market
Built 1962 9,583 sqft lot Est $148k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic move in ready home! Major updates throughout since 2017: flooring, wiring, plumbing, vinyl windows, new kitchen cabinets, appliances and back splash. 2020 had new siding, soffit, fascia and gutters. This home has an open concept. Main floor laundry. Large lot with detached 2 car over sized garage. Roof was 2010.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Updated siding
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED SIDING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1962
  • Construction: Shingle roof; No basement
  • Exterior features: Replacement windows; Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 190

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms; Luxury vinyl plank in living room and kitchen; Tile in laundry
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.3% in Quincy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#506 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities D-.
  • Quincy SD 172 (town): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #328 of 620 in IL (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Sarah Atwater Denman Elem (math 21% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,017 of 2,056 statewide, top 50%, 500 students, 0% FRL); Quincy Sr High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 1,924 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 68 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Adams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $125k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,450 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.75%
Cash-on-cash
5.21%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$148,230
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1012 S 15th St 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,109 (-9%) 1mo $155,000 $140 83
1522 Adams St 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,149 (-5%) 2mo $75,000 $65 80
1003 S 21st St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,199 (-1%) 0mo $135,000 $113 71
636 S 16th St 0.33mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,278 (+5%) 0mo $155,000 $121 67
1216 S 14th 0.22mi 3/3.0 1,090 (-10%) 0mo $213,000 $195 64
730 S 19th St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,110 (-9%) 1mo $135,000 $122 64
631 S 11th St 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,300 (+7%) 2mo $130,000 $100 64
722 S 19th St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,110 (-9%) 2mo $149,000 $134 58
1601 Van Buren St 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,069 (-12%) 2mo $189,000 $177 58
921 Adams 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,320 (+9%) 1mo $155,000 $117 55
834 S 18th St 0.32mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,049 (-14%) 2mo $145,000 $138 54
530 S 9th 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,340 (+10%) 1mo $137,000 $102 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-5,068
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$54,901
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62301

Rents YoY
10.8%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,756 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$218 /mo · $2,616/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$207

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,494
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 N 8th St Unit 1/2-5 Quincy, IL 2.0 1.0 750 $475 $0.63 44d 1 1.08mi
116 N 3rd St Quincy, IL 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1950 $4,333 $2.22 44d 12 1.35mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $170,000 Under Contract 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-29
    historical Under Contract
  17. 2026-05-27
    listed $170,000 Active
  18. 2022-09-27
    historical
  19. 2020-08-28
    soldstatus $125,000 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Fantastic move in ready home! Major updates throughout since 2017: flooring, wiring, plumbing, vinyl windows, new kitchen cabinets, appliances and back splash. 2020 had new siding, soffit, fascia and gutters. This home has an open concept. Main floor laundry. Large lot with detached 2 car over sized garage. Roof was 2010.

  20. 2020-08-28
    soldstatus $125,000
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Fantastic move in ready home! Major updates throughout since 2017: flooring, wiring, plumbing, vinyl windows, new kitchen cabinets, appliances and back splash. 2020 had new siding, soffit, fascia and gutters. This home has an open concept. Main floor laundry. Large lot with detached 2 car over sized garage. Roof was 2010.

  21. 2020-08-28
    soldstatus $125,000
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Fantastic move in ready home! Major updates throughout since 2017: flooring, wiring, plumbing, vinyl windows, new kitchen cabinets, appliances and back splash. 2020 had new siding, soffit, fascia and gutters. This home has an open concept. Main floor laundry. Large lot with detached 2 car over sized garage. Roof was 2010.

  22. 2020-06-20
    listed $129,900 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Fantastic move in ready home! Major updates throughout since 2017: flooring, wiring, plumbing, vinyl windows, new kitchen cabinets, appliances and back splash. 2020 had new siding, soffit, fascia and gutters. This home has an open concept. Main floor laundry. Large lot with detached 2 car over sized garage. Roof was 2010.

  23. 2020-06-20
    listed $129,900
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Fantastic move in ready home! Major updates throughout since 2017: flooring, wiring, plumbing, vinyl windows, new kitchen cabinets, appliances and back splash. 2020 had new siding, soffit, fascia and gutters. This home has an open concept. Main floor laundry. Large lot with detached 2 car over sized garage. Roof was 2010.

  24. 2020-06-20
    listed $129,900
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Fantastic move in ready home! Major updates throughout since 2017: flooring, wiring, plumbing, vinyl windows, new kitchen cabinets, appliances and back splash. 2020 had new siding, soffit, fascia and gutters. This home has an open concept. Main floor laundry. Large lot with detached 2 car over sized garage. Roof was 2010.

  25. 2015-04-14
    soldstatus $75,000
  26. 2015-04-09
    soldstatus $75,000
  27. 2015-04-09
    soldstatus $75,000
  28. 2015-04-09
    soldstatus $75,000
  29. 2014-07-25
    listed $78,500
  30. 2014-07-25
    listed $78,500
  31. 2014-07-25
    listed $78,500
  32. 2003-04-11
    soldstatus $67,900
  33. 2002-08-06
    listed $67,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,616 · $218/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,237 · $270/mo
Expected delta
+$622/yr (+$52/mo · 23.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,070
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$2,616
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,686
− Management
−$1,686
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$56
After-tax cash flow
$2,538/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Quincy SD 172
NCES district ID
1733000
Math proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$44,132
Composite
21.91/100
National rank
#8229
State rank
#328 of 620 in IL

Livability — Quincy

Score
67/100
State rank
#506
US rank
#10458

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Quincy, IL
County
Adams County · 30,746 people
City population
30,746
Metro
Quincy, IL-MO
Population (ZIP)
30,746
Household income
$52,055
Rent vs Own
41.1% rent · 58.9% own
Severe rent burden
1238.0

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,795 people
By 2030
64,436 · -2.1%
By 2040
61,007 · -7.3%
By 2050
56,851 · -13.6%
By 2075
46,424 · -29.4%
By 2100
34,305 · -47.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.6% · R 73.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-25.0pp toward R · 2008: -22.4pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+47.5 2012: R+35.2 2008: R+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.44%
Current HPI
131.7344
Rent YoY
▲ 10.78%
Metro
Quincy, IL-MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.4% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Contingent RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $170,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-27 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-28 Sold (MLS) $125,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-28 Sold (MLS) $125,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-28 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Quincy AOR
  • 2020-06-20 Listed $129,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-20 Listed $129,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-20 Listed $129,900 Quincy AOR
  • 2015-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2015-04-09 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Quincy AOR
  • 2015-04-09 Sold (MLS) $75,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-09 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-07-25 Listed $78,500 Quincy AOR
  • 2014-07-25 Listed $78,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-07-25 Listed $78,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-04-11 Sold (MLS) $67,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-08-06 Listed $67,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,616 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…