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16222 Monterey Ln #141
D+ Composite 49.98
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$399,500

16222 Monterey Ln #141 · Huntington Beach, CA 92649
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,620 sqft · Manufactured · 5 Days on market
Built 2017 Est $314k · 27% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful Rancho Del Rey Gem With Dual Primary Suites & Sunroom! No stone is left unturned in this beautifully maintained Rancho Del Rey treasure. From the moment you arrive, the home welcomes you with a spacious front porch wrapped in Trex decking, creating the perfect spot to relax and enjoy the neighborhood’s peaceful charm and prime park-side location. Step inside to an inviting layout filled with natural light, laminate flooring throughout, and vinyl blinds that add a clean, modern touch. The family room captures refreshing ocean breezes through its generous windows and features built-in cabinetry and a cozy fireplace for year-round comfort. The oversized kitchen is a true

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Front porch
  • Sunroom

Tags

DUAL PRIMARY SUITESSUNROOMFRONT PORCHKITCHEN ISLANDUTILITY SINKQUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions available from Bolsa Chica Ave.; present business card to security attendant
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease (park rent) applies
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Suburban community amenities including clubhouse and pool; Park name: Rancho Del Rey; Manager approval required for residency; Pets allowed with size and number limits

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport for 2 vehicles
  • Security: Gated community with attendant/guard and automatic gate; Card/code access; Resident manager on site
  • Utilities: Public/district water (water connected); Public sewer (sewer connected); Natural gas connected; Electricity connected (standard service)
  • Home design: Single-story (one level); Entry at front door; Mobile home model: SUN RID; Mobile home remains on site; Accessibility features including 32-inch (or wider) doors
  • Construction: Composition roof; Hardboard exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Year built reported by builder
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Deck; Awning; Cement board skirting; Shed on property (1); Community in-ground heated gunite pool; Sprinkler system with timer; Close proximity to clubhouse

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop and gas range/oven; Built-in range; Refrigerator present; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Water line to refrigerator; Utility sink; Walk-in pantry; Self-closing cabinet doors and drawers; Quartz counters
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on ground level
  • Flooring: Laminated flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with separate tub and shower; One three-quarter bathroom; One half bathroom; Jetted tub; Exhaust fan(s); Linen closet and additional storage; Privacy toilet door
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Forced air heating with central furnace
  • Interior features: Quartz counters throughout; Built-in shelving/storage; High ceilings (9+ feet) with cathedral/vaulted areas; Ceiling fan; Pantry; Open floor plan; Double-pane windows with blinds; Smoke and carbon monoxide detectors
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry room; Washer and dryer included; Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $671 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $400k).
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 1.6% in Huntington Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#306 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute A-, schools B+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
  • Ocean View (suburban): math 57% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #207 of 1,400 in CA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($123k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $399,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.20%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$314,280
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16222 Monterey #178 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,554 (-4%) 3mo $369,900 $238 80
16222 Monterey Ln #285 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,565 (-3%) 4mo $280,000 $179 80
16222 Monterey Ln #371 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,660 (+2%) 6mo $360,000 $217 79
16222 Monterey Ln #376 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,700 (+5%) 12mo $276,000 $162 76
16222 Monterey Ln #210 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (-7%) 5mo $243,000 $162 73
16222 Monterey Ln #327 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (-11%) 1mo $249,900 $174 70
16222 Monterey Ln #303 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,800 (+11%) 8mo $348,400 $194 68
16222 Monterey Ln #107 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,795 (+11%) 10mo $282,000 $157 68
16222 Monterey Ln #337 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-11%) 11mo $160,000 $111 66
16222 Monterey Ln #151 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-10%) 8mo $292,000 $201 65
4382 Lahaina Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,785 (+10%) 5mo $875,000 $490 62
16444 Bolsa Chica #42 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (-11%) 13mo $325,000 $226 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-25,531
Equity at exit
$59,567
10-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$18,547
Equity at exit
$34,541

Cash invested: $111,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92649

Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,344 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,095
Tax est. 1.5%
$499 /mo · $5,992/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$912
Net cashflow
$671

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,495
Max offer price $399,500
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $947 -5% $809 +0% $671 +5% $533 +10% $395
Rent -10% $328 -5% $499 +0% $671 +5% $843 +10% $1,014
Rate -1.0pp $872 -0.5pp $773 base $671 +0.5pp $568 +1.0pp $462

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,875
Closing costs
$11,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4562 Heil Ave Unit 1 Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1250 $3,750 $3.00 3d 1 0.35mi
16700 Saybrook Ln Huntington Beach, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1082 $3,670 $3.39 1d 10 0.43mi
16682 Dolores Ln Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.5 1700 $3,600 $2.12 10d 1 0.49mi
4862 Kona Dr Unit C Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1200 $2,895 $2.41 15d 1 0.55mi
4862 Kona Dr Unit C Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1200 $2,895 $2.41 1d 1 0.55mi
4862 Kona Dr Unit C Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1200 $2,895 $2.41 13d 1 0.55mi
3832 Montego Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1826 $5,900 $3.23 16d 1 0.55mi
4881 Kona Dr Unit A Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1300 $3,295 $2.53 10d 1 0.57mi
16592 Jib Cir Unit B Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1500 $4,300 $2.87 1d 1 0.74mi
16842 Hoskins Ln Unit A Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1072 $3,195 $2.98 3d 1 0.77mi
5082 Edinger Ave Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1278 $4,500 $3.52 1d 1 0.78mi
5141 Cheryl Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 1.5 1120 $4,200 $3.75 16d 1 0.82mi
16941 Hoskins Ln Apt 1 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1255 $3,000 $2.39 21d 1 0.83mi
16795 Roosevelt Ln Unit C Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1600 $3,900 $2.44 1d 1 0.92mi
3382 Tempe Dr Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.5 1658 $6,500 $3.92 1d 1 0.94mi
5192 Robinwood Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1232 $5,000 $4.06 1d 1 0.94mi
4021 Aladdin Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1496 $7,400 $4.95 1d 1 0.96mi
16082 Schryer Ln Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1214 $8,000 $6.59 3d 1 0.96mi
3312 Tempe Dr Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.5 1658 $6,500 $3.92 4d 1 1.01mi
3299 Tempe Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 3.0 1580 $5,950 $3.77 1d 1 1.03mi
16854 Bayview Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 3.0 2056 $9,999 $4.86 3d 1 1.07mi
17181 S Pacific Ave Sunset Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1422 $6,000 $4.22 12d 1 1.19mi
5681 Mangrum Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1132 $4,995 $4.41 1d 1 1.36mi
2872 Coast Cir #104 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1631 $5,200 $3.19 2d 1 1.39mi
16387 S Pacific Ave Unit 2 Sunset Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1600 $8,000 $5.00 1d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $399,500 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $399,500 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $399,500 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 689-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $399,500 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$52,130
− Mortgage interest
−$22,378
− Property taxes
−$5,992
− Insurance
−$1,998
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,170
− Management
−$4,170
− Depreciation
−$11,622
Taxable income
$1,799
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$432
After-tax cash flow
$7,621/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ocean View
NCES district ID
0628140
Math proficiency
57% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$77,469
Composite
55.3/100
National rank
#2725
State rank
#207 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Huntington Beach

Score
67/100
State rank
#306
US rank
#10298

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A- Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntington Beach, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
194,835
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
35,346
Household income
$123,257
Rent vs Own
40.7% rent · 59.3% own
Severe rent burden
1504.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 14% Asian 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1153.55%
Current HPI
330.6956
Rent YoY
▲ 2.17%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $399,500 CRMLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2017): $62 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…