422 Wellington Ave · Level Park-Oak Park, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable brick ranch in Battle Creek's 49037 -- priced right for a flip or buy-and-hold. 2 bed, 1 bath, 763 sq ft on a deep lot with an outbuilding and a covered front porch. Prepped and ready for finishing -- vinyl replacement windows, gas water heater, well with softener. Median sale in 49037 is well north of $100K -- sharpen your pencil. Cash or rehab loan; sold as-is.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Outbuilding
- Gas water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Natural gas water heater; Public water service
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1954
- Construction: Block construction; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Public water; 0.2-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Replacement windows; Fireplace; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Battle Creek Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 540 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.8%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.71%
- DSCR
- 2.28
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,140
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -50.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196 Morgan Ave W | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 757 (-1%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $192 | 81 |
| 647 Stephanie St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+1%) | 3mo | $131,000 | $171 | 76 |
| 213 Broadway Blvd | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-6%) | 2mo | $122,736 | $170 | 73 |
| 180 N Woodlawn Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-6%) | 4mo | $153,000 | $213 | 69 |
| 134 Creekview Dr | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-6%) | 4mo | $156,000 | $217 | 62 |
| 232 N Woodlawn Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-12%) | 7mo | $137,900 | $205 | 60 |
| 244 N Woodlawn Ave N | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-12%) | 8mo | $132,500 | $197 | 60 |
| 88 N Cedar Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+13%) | 10mo | $126,000 | $146 | 51 |
| 247 N Woodlawn Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+13%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $191 | 50 |
| 60 Kellogg St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 806 (+6%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $199 | 48 |
| 182 Broadway Blvd | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+13%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $185 | 45 |
| 33 N Mason Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+13%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $185 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $22,955
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.50×
- Total profit
- $81,896
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49037
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Rents YoY
- 11.8%
- Active inventory
- 236
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,089 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $682/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $435
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Stringham Rd Battle Creek, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $1,075 | $1.26 | 13d | 7 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-15price $65,000 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Affordable brick ranch in Battle Creek's 49037 -- priced right for a flip or buy-and-hold. 2 bed, 1 bath, 763 sq ft on a deep lot with an outbuilding and a covered front porch. Prepped and ready for finishing -- vinyl replacement windows, gas water heater, well with softener. Median sale in 49037 is well north of $100K -- sharpen your pencil. Cash or rehab loan; sold as-is.
-
2026-05-15$699,000 Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Affordable brick ranch in Battle Creek's 49037 -- priced right for a flip or buy-and-hold. 2 bed, 1 bath, 763 sq ft on a deep lot with an outbuilding and a covered front porch. Prepped and ready for finishing -- vinyl replacement windows, gas water heater, well with softener. Median sale in 49037 is well north of $100K -- sharpen your pencil. Cash or rehab loan; sold as-is.
-
2026-05-15$65,000 Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Affordable brick ranch in Battle Creek's 49037 -- priced right for a flip or buy-and-hold. 2 bed, 1 bath, 763 sq ft on a deep lot with an outbuilding and a covered front porch. Prepped and ready for finishing -- vinyl replacement windows, gas water heater, well with softener. Median sale in 49037 is well north of $100K -- sharpen your pencil. Cash or rehab loan; sold as-is.
-
2026-05-15$65,000 Active
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Affordable brick ranch in Battle Creek's 49037 -- priced right for a flip or buy-and-hold. 2 bed, 1 bath, 763 sq ft on a deep lot with an outbuilding and a covered front porch. Prepped and ready for finishing -- vinyl replacement windows, gas water heater, well with softener. Median sale in 49037 is well north of $100K -- sharpen your pencil. Cash or rehab loan; sold as-is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $682 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $842 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- +$159/yr (+$13/mo · 23.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,067
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$682
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,045
- − Management
- −$1,045
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,437
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,065
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,160/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Battle Creek Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2600005
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,697
- Composite
- 10.73/100
- National rank
- #9769
- State rank
- #510 of 540 in MI
Livability — Level Park-Oak Park
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Level Park-Oak Park, MI
- County
- Calhoun County · 91,590 people
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,550
- Household income
- $42,690
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 717.0
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,157 people
- By 2030
- 126,691 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 118,517 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 109,855 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 90,486 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 70,766 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.62%
- Current HPI
- 273.2446
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.76%
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-92.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $50,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-28 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-28 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-28 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $65,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-15 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $699,000 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
-10.6%/yrLatest (2025): $682 · -45.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…