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422 Wellington Ave
B- Composite 68.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

422 Wellington Ave · Level Park-Oak Park, MI 49037
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 763 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1954 8,712 sqft lot $85/sqft · 51% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable brick ranch in Battle Creek's 49037 -- priced right for a flip or buy-and-hold. 2 bed, 1 bath, 763 sq ft on a deep lot with an outbuilding and a covered front porch. Prepped and ready for finishing -- vinyl replacement windows, gas water heater, well with softener. Median sale in 49037 is well north of $100K -- sharpen your pencil. Cash or rehab loan; sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Outbuilding
  • Gas water heater

Tags

BRICK RANCHDEEP LOTOUTBUILDINGCOVERED FRONT PORCHVINYL REPLACEMENT WINDOWSGAS WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Natural gas water heater; Public water service
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1954
  • Construction: Block construction; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Public water; 0.2-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Replacement windows; Fireplace; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Battle Creek Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 540 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.8%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
14.33%
Cash-on-cash
28.71%
DSCR
2.28
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$132,140
List price
$65,000
Delta
-50.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
196 Morgan Ave W 0.35mi 2/1.0 757 (-1%) 2mo $145,000 $192 81
647 Stephanie St 0.45mi 2/1.0 768 (+1%) 3mo $131,000 $171 76
213 Broadway Blvd 0.34mi 2/1.0 720 (-6%) 2mo $122,736 $170 73
180 N Woodlawn Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 720 (-6%) 4mo $153,000 $213 69
134 Creekview Dr 0.54mi 2/1.0 720 (-6%) 4mo $156,000 $217 62
232 N Woodlawn Ave 0.32mi 2/1.0 672 (-12%) 7mo $137,900 $205 60
244 N Woodlawn Ave N 0.30mi 2/1.0 672 (-12%) 8mo $132,500 $197 60
88 N Cedar Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+13%) 10mo $126,000 $146 51
247 N Woodlawn Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+13%) 12mo $165,000 $191 50
60 Kellogg St 0.74mi 2/1.0 806 (+6%) 10mo $160,000 $199 48
182 Broadway Blvd 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+13%) 10mo $160,000 $185 45
33 N Mason Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+13%) 8mo $160,000 $185 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$22,955
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
38.6%
Equity multiple
5.50×
Total profit
$81,896
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49037

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Rents YoY
11.8%
Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,089 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $682/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$435

Break-even live

Break-even rent $538
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
55 Stringham Rd Battle Creek, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 850 $1,075 $1.26 13d 7 0.91mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    price $65,000 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    Affordable brick ranch in Battle Creek's 49037 -- priced right for a flip or buy-and-hold. 2 bed, 1 bath, 763 sq ft on a deep lot with an outbuilding and a covered front porch. Prepped and ready for finishing -- vinyl replacement windows, gas water heater, well with softener. Median sale in 49037 is well north of $100K -- sharpen your pencil. Cash or rehab loan; sold as-is.

  2. 2026-05-15
    listed $699,000 Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    Affordable brick ranch in Battle Creek's 49037 -- priced right for a flip or buy-and-hold. 2 bed, 1 bath, 763 sq ft on a deep lot with an outbuilding and a covered front porch. Prepped and ready for finishing -- vinyl replacement windows, gas water heater, well with softener. Median sale in 49037 is well north of $100K -- sharpen your pencil. Cash or rehab loan; sold as-is.

  3. 2026-05-15
    listed $65,000 Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    Affordable brick ranch in Battle Creek's 49037 -- priced right for a flip or buy-and-hold. 2 bed, 1 bath, 763 sq ft on a deep lot with an outbuilding and a covered front porch. Prepped and ready for finishing -- vinyl replacement windows, gas water heater, well with softener. Median sale in 49037 is well north of $100K -- sharpen your pencil. Cash or rehab loan; sold as-is.

  4. 2026-05-15
    listed $65,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    Affordable brick ranch in Battle Creek's 49037 -- priced right for a flip or buy-and-hold. 2 bed, 1 bath, 763 sq ft on a deep lot with an outbuilding and a covered front porch. Prepped and ready for finishing -- vinyl replacement windows, gas water heater, well with softener. Median sale in 49037 is well north of $100K -- sharpen your pencil. Cash or rehab loan; sold as-is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$682 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$842 · $70/mo
Expected delta
+$159/yr (+$13/mo · 23.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,067
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$682
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,045
− Management
−$1,045
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,437
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,065
After-tax cash flow
$4,160/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Battle Creek Public Schools
NCES district ID
2600005
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$31,697
Composite
10.73/100
National rank
#9769
State rank
#510 of 540 in MI

Livability — Level Park-Oak Park

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Level Park-Oak Park, MI
County
Calhoun County · 91,590 people
Metro
Battle Creek, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,550
Household income
$42,690
Rent vs Own
40.7% rent · 59.3% own
Severe rent burden
717.0

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,157 people
By 2030
126,691 · -2.7%
By 2040
118,517 · -8.9%
By 2050
109,855 · -15.6%
By 2075
90,486 · -30.5%
By 2100
70,766 · -45.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.62%
Current HPI
273.2446
Rent YoY
▲ 11.76%
Metro
Battle Creek, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-92.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $50,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-28 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-28 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $65,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $699,000 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

-10.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $682 · -45.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…