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646 O'bryan St
B Composite 73.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$38,900

646 O'bryan St · Merryville, LA 70653
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,186 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 136 Days on market
Built 1975 1.00 ac lot ↓ 56% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great country home ready for remodeling. Make this space into your dream home. Investing opportunity. 4 large bedrooms, large screened in porch, large carport with large storage. Ready for your touch and style. Ready for a project to make it your taste and ideas. Great location and just a short distance to K-12 schools. Updated survey is attached. Call your realtor.

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Listed 135 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#196 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Beauregard Parish (rural): math 30% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #32 of 98 in LA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 83 units permitted in Beauregard Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $269 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $376 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $34,232 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.96%
Cap rate
25.65%
Cash-on-cash
69.15%
DSCR
4.08
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.97% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.0%
Equity multiple
3.68×
Total profit
$29,232
Equity at exit
$9,453
10-year hold
IRR
59.3%
Equity multiple
7.45×
Total profit
$70,303
Equity at exit
$9,981

Cash invested: $10,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70653

Home prices YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$204
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $728/yr
Insurance
$16
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$502

Break-even live

Break-even rent $514
Max offer price $38,900
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,725
Closing costs
$1,167
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
723 Bearling St Merryville, LA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,150 $0.72 13d 1 0.13mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $38,900 Active 136 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $38,900 Active 135 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $38,900 Active 134 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $38,900 Active 133 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $38,900 Active 132 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $38,900 Active 130 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $38,900 Active 129 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $38,900 Active 127 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $38,900 Active 126 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $38,900 Active 125 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $38,900 Active 124 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $38,900 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $38,900 Active 119 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    statusdays on marketlisting id $38,900 Active 118 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    status Pending 368-char remark
    Show marketing remark (368 chars)

    Great country home ready for remodeling. Make this space into your dream home. Investing opportunity. 4 large bedrooms, large screened in porch, large carport with large storage. Ready for your touch and style. Ready for a project to make it your taste and ideas. Great location and just a short distance to K-12 schools. Updated survey is attached. Call your realtor.

  16. 2026-01-20
    listed $38,900 Active 368-char remark
    Show marketing remark (368 chars)

    Great country home ready for remodeling. Make this space into your dream home. Investing opportunity. 4 large bedrooms, large screened in porch, large carport with large storage. Ready for your touch and style. Ready for a project to make it your taste and ideas. Great location and just a short distance to K-12 schools. Updated survey is attached. Call your realtor.

  17. 2023-10-10
    status Active
  18. 2023-04-05
    price $49,995
  19. 2023-03-22
    status Active
  20. 2023-02-10
    status Pending
  21. 2022-08-19
    price $62,500
  22. 2022-07-08
    price $79,500
  23. 2022-05-10
    listed $89,000 Active
  24. 2009-05-15
    soldstatus
  25. 2008-09-25
    listed $89,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$728 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$728 · $61/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,800
− Mortgage interest
−$2,179
− Property taxes
−$728
− Insurance
−$1,697
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,104
− Management
−$1,104
− Depreciation
−$1,132
Taxable income
$5,856
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,406
After-tax cash flow
$4,624/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beauregard Parish
NCES district ID
2200180
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -40.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -35.00%
Median HH income
$46,033
Composite
30.34/100
National rank
#6265
State rank
#32 of 98 in LA

Livability — Merryville

Score
63/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#15511

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Merryville, LA
Population (ZIP)
3,297

Population outlook (Beauregard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,760 people
By 2030
38,140 · +1.0%
By 2040
38,518 · +2.0%
By 2050
38,164 · +1.1%
By 2075
36,437 · -3.5%
By 2100
32,493 · -13.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Black 6% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Lithuanian 5% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Beauregard

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.3) · D 13.8% · R 85.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.9pp toward R · 2008: -54.3pp · 2024: -71.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.3 2020: R+67.5 2016: R+65.3 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+54.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.97%
Current HPI
59.0168
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-56.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending SWLAR
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $38,900 SWLAR
  • 2023-10-10 Relisted GFPAR
  • 2023-04-05 Price Changed $49,995 GFPAR
  • 2023-03-22 Relisted GFPAR
  • 2023-02-10 Pending GFPAR
  • 2022-08-19 Price Changed $62,500 GFPAR
  • 2022-07-08 Price Changed $79,500 GFPAR
  • 2022-05-10 Listed $89,000 GFPAR
  • 2009-05-15 Sold (MLS) GFPAR
  • 2008-09-25 Listed $89,000 GFPAR

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $728 · -13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…