27327 N 54th Ave · Phoenix, AZ 85083

$505,000

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,760 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 120 Days on market

Built 2010 7,114 sqft lot $287/sqft · at area comps Est $528k · at est. $108/mo HOA · 4% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +9.4/15.0
• Cash flow +6.9/30.0
• Schools +4.7/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +1.1/10.0
• 1% rule +1.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready 4 bed, 2 bath home in the very desirable Stetson Valley community. Home features an owned solar unit. New counter top,washer dryer, carpet .new paint and counter top,Backyard landscapingand new cHome is within walking distance to Deem Hills Park, several community parks and splash pads. The home features neutral paint. The kitchen is warm and inviting and is comprised of granite countertops, a sizable pantry, stainless steel appliances, gas range and an island breakfast bar. The owners suite has a large walk-in closet and on suite bathroom with separate shower and soaking tub. The home has great storage with multiple linen closets and overhead storage in the garage. The yard feature low maintenance landscaping. The backyard has a covered patio & pavers, great for hostin

Key facts

• Community parks
• Sizable pantry
• Backyard landscaping

Tags

• OWNED SOLAR UNIT
• BACKYARD LANDSCAPING
• COMMUNITY PARKS
• SPLASH PADS
• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS
• SIZABLE PANTRY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $505k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-767 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $370k (26.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $301k (40.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $301k (40.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
• Deer Valley Unified District (4246) (urban): math 50% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #33 of 249 in AZ (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Las Brisas Elementary School (math 57% / reading 63%, grade B-, #146 of 1,109 statewide, top 13%, 476 students, 18% FRL); Hillcrest Middle School (math 49% / reading 60%, grade B-, #15 of 218 statewide, top 7%, 899 students, 14% FRL); Sandra Day O'Connor High School (math 43% / reading 48%, grade D-, #58 of 381 statewide, top 15%, 2,567 students, 13% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $54k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $50k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$87k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($460k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $54k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $399k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $300,980 (40.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.60% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.47%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.51%
• DSCR: 0.71
• GRM: 14.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $527,736
• List price: $505,000
• Delta: -4.31%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
5435 W Fetlock Trl	0.12mi	4/2.0	1,805 (+3%)	0mo	$525,000	$291	86
5511 W Desperado Way	0.19mi	4/2.0	1,794 (+2%)	1mo	$510,000	$284	83
5435 W Quail Track Dr	0.19mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,794 (+2%)	6mo	$655,000	$365	74
26937 N 52nd Gln	0.29mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,683 (-4%)	2mo	$550,000	$327	69
27127 N 54th Ave	0.14mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,814 (+3%)	14mo	$519,000	$286	68
26704 N 55th Ave	0.47mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,813 (+3%)	3mo	$565,000	$312	61
5253 W Maya Way	0.32mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,916 (+9%)	1mo	$645,000	$337	60
5455 W Bajada Rd	0.26mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,574 (-11%)	1mo	$534,000	$339	60
5512 W Cavedale Dr	0.42mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,813 (+3%)	12mo	$495,000	$273	56
5126 W Bajada Rd	0.28mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,978 (+12%)	3mo	$555,000	$281	55
26408 N 53rd Gln	0.59mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,661 (-6%)	11mo	$407,000	$245	47
5130 W Molly Ln	0.36mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,998 (+14%)	11mo	$570,000	$285	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 19.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.58×
• Total profit: $223,910
• Equity at exit: $454,944

10-year hold

• IRR: 17.8%
• Equity multiple: 5.90×
• Total profit: $693,232
• Equity at exit: $981,104

Cash invested: $141,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85083

• Home prices YoY: 5.4%
• Rents YoY: 2.3%
• Active inventory: 123
• Price-to-rent: 14.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,010 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,648
• Tax from tax record: −$178 /mo · $2,132/yr
• Insurance: −$210
• HOA: −$108
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$632
• Net cashflow: $-767

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,980

Max offer price $369,578

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-481	-5% $-624	+0% $-767	+5% $-910	+10% $-1,052
Rent	-10% $-1,004	-5% $-885	+0% $-767	+5% $-648	+10% $-529
Rate	-1.0pp $-512	-0.5pp $-638	base $-767	+0.5pp $-897	+1.0pp $-1,031

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $126,250
• Closing costs: $15,150
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 18 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5414 W Straight Arrow Ln Phoenix, AZ	4.0	2.0	1760	$4,500	$2.56	45d	1	0.07mi
5412 W Fetlock Trl Phoenix, AZ	4.0	2.0	1805	$3,200	$1.77	45d	1	0.10mi
5432 W Fetlock Trl Phoenix, AZ	4.0	2.5	2103	$2,900	$1.38	14d	1	0.13mi
27424 N 54th Ln Phoenix, AZ	4.0	2.5	2104	$2,885	$1.37	3d	1	0.15mi
5511 W Desperado Way Phoenix, AZ	4.0	2.0	1794	$2,695	$1.50	1d	1	0.23mi
27105 N 52nd Ave Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	2314	$2,499	$1.08	18d	1	0.27mi
27015 N 52nd Gln Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	2314	$2,795	$1.21	20d	1	0.29mi
5388 W Molly Ln Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	1871	$2,099	$1.12	9d	1	0.38mi
5118 W Molly Ln Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	2128	$2,450	$1.15	9d	1	0.39mi
5340 W Molly Ln Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	1871	$2,400	$1.28	26d	1	0.41mi
5235 W Blaylock Dr Phoenix, AZ	4.0	2.0	2128	$2,850	$1.34	26d	1	0.41mi
26681 N Babbling Brook Dr Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	1871	$2,160	$1.15	9d	1	0.49mi
5310 W Chisum Trl Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	1719	$2,195	$1.28	1d	1	0.78mi
6017 W Running Deer Trl Phoenix, AZ	5.0	3.0	2563	$2,750	$1.07	4d	1	0.95mi
27513 N 63rd Dr Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	1866	$2,395	$1.28	16d	1	1.25mi
6458 W Blue Sky Dr Phoenix, AZ	4.0	3.0	2230	$2,095	$0.94	16d	1	1.45mi
6427 W Silver Sage Ln Phoenix, AZ	4.0	2.5	2318	$2,415	$1.04	22d	1	1.49mi
6427 W Silver Sage Ln Phoenix, AZ	4.0	2.5	2318	$2,390	$1.03	12d	1	1.49mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $108 · $1,296/yr
• Likely covers: gaslandscaping

Listing history 37 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $505,000 Active 120 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $505,000 Active 117 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $505,000 Active 116 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $505,000 Active 115 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $505,000 Active 114 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $505,000 Active 112 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $505,000 Active 111 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   price $505,000 Active 108 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $529,000 Active 108 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $529,000 Active 107 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $529,000 Active 106 DOM
12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $529,000 Active 103 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $529,000 Active 102 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $529,000 Active 101 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $529,000 Active 100 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $529,000 Active 99 DOM
17. 2026-05-15
    price $529,000 799-char remark

    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    Move in ready 4 bed, 2 bath home in the very desirable Stetson Valley community. Home features an owned solar unit. New counter top,washer dryer, carpet .new paint and counter top,Backyard landscapingand new cHome is within walking distance to Deem Hills Park, several community parks and splash pads. The home features neutral paint. The kitchen is warm and inviting and is comprised of granite countertops, a sizable pantry, stainless steel appliances, gas range and an island breakfast bar. The owners suite has a large walk-in closet and on suite bathroom with separate shower and soaking tub. The home has great storage with multiple linen closets and overhead storage in the garage. The yard feature low maintenance landscaping. The backyard has a covered patio & pavers, great for hostin

18. 2026-04-25
    price $534,000 799-char remark

    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    Move in ready 4 bed, 2 bath home in the very desirable Stetson Valley community. Home features an owned solar unit. New counter top,washer dryer, carpet .new paint and counter top,Backyard landscapingand new cHome is within walking distance to Deem Hills Park, several community parks and splash pads. The home features neutral paint. The kitchen is warm and inviting and is comprised of granite countertops, a sizable pantry, stainless steel appliances, gas range and an island breakfast bar. The owners suite has a large walk-in closet and on suite bathroom with separate shower and soaking tub. The home has great storage with multiple linen closets and overhead storage in the garage. The yard feature low maintenance landscaping. The backyard has a covered patio & pavers, great for hostin

19. 2026-04-17
    price $539,000 799-char remark

    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    Move in ready 4 bed, 2 bath home in the very desirable Stetson Valley community. Home features an owned solar unit. New counter top,washer dryer, carpet .new paint and counter top,Backyard landscapingand new cHome is within walking distance to Deem Hills Park, several community parks and splash pads. The home features neutral paint. The kitchen is warm and inviting and is comprised of granite countertops, a sizable pantry, stainless steel appliances, gas range and an island breakfast bar. The owners suite has a large walk-in closet and on suite bathroom with separate shower and soaking tub. The home has great storage with multiple linen closets and overhead storage in the garage. The yard feature low maintenance landscaping. The backyard has a covered patio & pavers, great for hostin

20. 2026-03-06
    price $549,000 799-char remark

    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    Move in ready 4 bed, 2 bath home in the very desirable Stetson Valley community. Home features an owned solar unit. New counter top,washer dryer, carpet .new paint and counter top,Backyard landscapingand new cHome is within walking distance to Deem Hills Park, several community parks and splash pads. The home features neutral paint. The kitchen is warm and inviting and is comprised of granite countertops, a sizable pantry, stainless steel appliances, gas range and an island breakfast bar. The owners suite has a large walk-in closet and on suite bathroom with separate shower and soaking tub. The home has great storage with multiple linen closets and overhead storage in the garage. The yard feature low maintenance landscaping. The backyard has a covered patio & pavers, great for hostin

21. 2026-02-21
    listed $559,000 Active 799-char remark

    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    Move in ready 4 bed, 2 bath home in the very desirable Stetson Valley community. Home features an owned solar unit. New counter top,washer dryer, carpet .new paint and counter top,Backyard landscapingand new cHome is within walking distance to Deem Hills Park, several community parks and splash pads. The home features neutral paint. The kitchen is warm and inviting and is comprised of granite countertops, a sizable pantry, stainless steel appliances, gas range and an island breakfast bar. The owners suite has a large walk-in closet and on suite bathroom with separate shower and soaking tub. The home has great storage with multiple linen closets and overhead storage in the garage. The yard feature low maintenance landscaping. The backyard has a covered patio & pavers, great for hostin

22. 2021-02-04
    status Pending 804-char remark

    Show marketing remark (804 chars)

    Move in ready 4 bed, 2 bath home in the very desirable Stetson Valley community. Home features an owned solar unit. Even with 100% work from home, the bill for a family of 3 in 2020 averaged around $60 per month. Home is within walking distance to Deem Hills Park, several community parks and splash pads. The home features neutral paint. The kitchen is warm and inviting and is comprised of granite countertops, a sizable pantry, stainless steel appliances, gas range and an island breakfast bar. The owners suite has a large walk-in closet and on suite bathroom with separate shower and soaking tub. The home has great storage with multiple linen closets and overhead storage in the garage. The yard feature low maintenance landscaping. The backyard has a covered patio & pavers, great for hosting!

23. 2021-02-04
    soldstatus $399,000 Closed 804-char remark

    Show marketing remark (804 chars)

    Move in ready 4 bed, 2 bath home in the very desirable Stetson Valley community. Home features an owned solar unit. Even with 100% work from home, the bill for a family of 3 in 2020 averaged around $60 per month. Home is within walking distance to Deem Hills Park, several community parks and splash pads. The home features neutral paint. The kitchen is warm and inviting and is comprised of granite countertops, a sizable pantry, stainless steel appliances, gas range and an island breakfast bar. The owners suite has a large walk-in closet and on suite bathroom with separate shower and soaking tub. The home has great storage with multiple linen closets and overhead storage in the garage. The yard feature low maintenance landscaping. The backyard has a covered patio & pavers, great for hosting!

24. 2021-02-04
    soldstatus $399,000

    Show marketing remark (804 chars)

    Move in ready 4 bed, 2 bath home in the very desirable Stetson Valley community. Home features an owned solar unit. Even with 100% work from home, the bill for a family of 3 in 2020 averaged around $60 per month. Home is within walking distance to Deem Hills Park, several community parks and splash pads. The home features neutral paint. The kitchen is warm and inviting and is comprised of granite countertops, a sizable pantry, stainless steel appliances, gas range and an island breakfast bar. The owners suite has a large walk-in closet and on suite bathroom with separate shower and soaking tub. The home has great storage with multiple linen closets and overhead storage in the garage. The yard feature low maintenance landscaping. The backyard has a covered patio & pavers, great for hosting!

25. 2021-01-03
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 804-char remark

    Show marketing remark (804 chars)

    Move in ready 4 bed, 2 bath home in the very desirable Stetson Valley community. Home features an owned solar unit. Even with 100% work from home, the bill for a family of 3 in 2020 averaged around $60 per month. Home is within walking distance to Deem Hills Park, several community parks and splash pads. The home features neutral paint. The kitchen is warm and inviting and is comprised of granite countertops, a sizable pantry, stainless steel appliances, gas range and an island breakfast bar. The owners suite has a large walk-in closet and on suite bathroom with separate shower and soaking tub. The home has great storage with multiple linen closets and overhead storage in the garage. The yard feature low maintenance landscaping. The backyard has a covered patio & pavers, great for hosting!

26. 2020-12-31
    listed $395,000 Active 804-char remark

    Show marketing remark (804 chars)

    Move in ready 4 bed, 2 bath home in the very desirable Stetson Valley community. Home features an owned solar unit. Even with 100% work from home, the bill for a family of 3 in 2020 averaged around $60 per month. Home is within walking distance to Deem Hills Park, several community parks and splash pads. The home features neutral paint. The kitchen is warm and inviting and is comprised of granite countertops, a sizable pantry, stainless steel appliances, gas range and an island breakfast bar. The owners suite has a large walk-in closet and on suite bathroom with separate shower and soaking tub. The home has great storage with multiple linen closets and overhead storage in the garage. The yard feature low maintenance landscaping. The backyard has a covered patio & pavers, great for hosting!

27. 2016-07-14
    soldstatus $275,000 Closed
28. 2016-07-14
    soldstatus $275,000
29. 2016-06-02
    status Pending
30. 2016-03-20
    price $278,000
31. 2016-02-19
    listed $285,000 Active
32. 2015-02-13
    historical
33. 2015-01-21
    price $262,500
34. 2014-12-17
    price $266,900
35. 2014-10-12
    listed $274,000 Active
36. 2010-06-24
    historical
37. 2010-04-29
    listed $224,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,132 · $178/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,333 · $278/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,201/yr (+$100/mo · 56.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $36,118
• − Mortgage interest: −$28,288
• − Property taxes: −$2,132
• − Insurance: −$2,525
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,889
• − Management: −$2,889
• − HOA: −$1,296
• − Depreciation: −$14,691
• Taxable loss: −$18,593
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$4,462
• After-tax cash flow: $-4,737/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Deer Valley Unified District (4246)
• NCES district ID: 0407750
• Math proficiency: 50% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $72,516
• Composite: 47.0/100
• National rank: #2346
• State rank: #33 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Phoenix

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #16
• US rank: #3924

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Phoenix, AZ
• County: Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
• City population: 1,500,198
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 21,022
• Household income: $149,087
• Rent vs Own: 10.5% rent · 89.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 81.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 4,979,203 people
• By 2030: 5,378,229 · +8.0%
• By 2040: 6,156,598 · +23.6%
• By 2050: 6,872,376 · +38.0%
• By 2075: 8,401,270 · +68.7%
• By 2100: 9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Scandinavian 2%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 83% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 14.78%
• Current HPI: 289.2128
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.29%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+135.1% since first listed

21 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Price Changed $529,000 ARMLS
• 2026-04-25 Price Changed $534,000 ARMLS
• 2026-04-17 Price Changed $539,000 ARMLS
• 2026-03-06 Price Changed $549,000 ARMLS
• 2026-02-21 Listed $559,000 ARMLS
• 2021-02-04 Pending — ARMLS
• 2021-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $399,000 Public Records
• 2021-02-04 Sold (MLS) $399,000 ARMLS
• 2021-01-03 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2020-12-31 Listed $395,000 ARMLS
• 2016-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $275,000 Public Records
• 2016-07-14 Sold (MLS) $275,000 ARMLS
• 2016-06-02 Pending — ARMLS
• 2016-03-20 Price Changed $278,000 ARMLS
• 2016-02-19 Listed $285,000 ARMLS
• 2015-02-13 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2015-01-21 Price Changed $262,500 ARMLS
• 2014-12-17 Price Changed $266,900 ARMLS
• 2014-10-12 Listed $274,000 ARMLS
• 2010-06-24 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2010-04-29 Listed $224,990 ARMLS

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,132 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.