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3000 S Arch 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 69.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

3000 S Arch · Little Rock, AR 72206
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,411 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1930 6,969 sqft lot $35/sqft · 60% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!! Great portfolio add or flip. .. Property is Tenant Occupied; Lease is MONTH TO MONTH, $1,050.00 MONTHLY, 24 HR NOTICE TO SHOW. .. SOLD AS-IS Part of a package, could be purchased in individually or all together. * * * * AGENTS SEE REMARKS

Key facts

  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1930

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $119,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$299,601) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $729 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,004/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 623% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $120k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
13.59%
Cash-on-cash
26.05%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$299,601
List price
$119,900
Delta
-59.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2111 S Arch St 0.61mi 4/2.5 3,409 (-0%) 11mo $109,000 $32 60
2206 S Arch & 2214 0.54mi 4/3.5 3,917 (+15%) 14mo $629,500 $161 36
2120 S Spring St 0.61mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,912 (-15%) 9mo $310,000 $106 35
923 W Charles Bussey Ave 0.73mi 4/3.5 3,016 (-12%) 11mo $286,000 $95 35
2001 S Gaines St 0.70mi 4/2.5 3,000 (-12%) 18mo $395,000 $132 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$27,761
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
28.7%
Equity multiple
3.60×
Total profit
$87,139
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72206

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,004 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$175 /mo · $2,104/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$421
Net cashflow
$729

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,081
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $797 -5% $763 +0% $729 +5% $695 +10% $661
Rent -10% $570 -5% $650 +0% $729 +5% $808 +10% $887
Rate -1.0pp $789 -0.5pp $759 base $729 +0.5pp $698 +1.0pp $666

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1201 W 35th St Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.5 2400 $2,300 $0.96 24d 1 0.54mi
2103 Wolfe St Little Rock, AR 4.0 2.5 3775 $2,700 $0.72 44d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,900 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-04-15
    listed $119,900 New Listing 266-char remark
    Show marketing remark (266 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!! Great portfolio add or flip. .. Property is Tenant Occupied; Lease is MONTH TO MONTH, $1,050.00 MONTHLY, 24 HR NOTICE TO SHOW. .. SOLD AS-IS Part of a package, could be purchased in individually or all together. * * * * AGENTS SEE REMARKS

  17. 2016-12-31
    historical
  18. 2016-07-07
    listed $29,900 Price Change
  19. 2015-09-01
    historical
  20. 2015-06-22
    listed $33,000 Price Change
  21. 2015-03-18
    historical
  22. 2014-09-17
    listed $48,000
  23. 2014-04-16
    historical
  24. 2013-10-16
    listed $55,000
  25. 2013-10-06
    historical
  26. 2012-10-09
    listed $49,900
  27. 2011-06-01
    soldstatus $30,000
  28. 2011-05-19
    soldstatus $30,000
  29. 2011-05-03
    historical
  30. 2011-03-03
    listed $49,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,104 · $175/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,104 · $175/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,043
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$2,104
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,923
− Management
−$1,923
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$7,288
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,749
After-tax cash flow
$6,996/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Little Rock School District
NCES district ID
0509000
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,346
Composite
21.0/100
National rank
#8457
State rank
#183 of 238 in AR

Livability — Little Rock

Score
73/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#5295

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Little Rock, AR
County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
City population
218,896
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
22,667
Household income
$52,132
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
623.0

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 43% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.64%
Current HPI
158.3601
Rent YoY
▲ 3.36%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+140.3% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $119,900 CARMLS
  • 2016-12-31 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2016-07-07 Listed $29,900 CARMLS
  • 2015-09-01 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2015-06-22 Listed $33,000 CARMLS
  • 2015-03-18 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2014-09-17 Listed $48,000 CARMLS
  • 2014-04-16 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2013-10-16 Listed $55,000 CARMLS
  • 2013-10-06 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2012-10-09 Listed $49,900 CARMLS
  • 2011-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2011-05-19 Sold (MLS) $30,000 CARMLS
  • 2011-05-03 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2011-03-03 Listed $49,900 CARMLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,104 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…