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4133 Mcclain St
B- Composite 66.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

4133 Mcclain St · Brighton, AL 35020
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,218 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
Built 1974 7,840 sqft lot $41/sqft · 6% above area Est $50k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this home featuring a spacious living room and dining area. The kitchen is equipped with a stove and plenty of cabinet space. The primary bedroom is very large and includes a bathroom with a shower. In addition, there are two more generously sized bedrooms and another full bathroom with a shower. This home also offers a fully covered deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The backyard is completely fenced, providing added privacy. Don’t miss this great opportunity at an excellent price—the home does need some improvements, bring your ideas for the renovation.

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Kitchen
  • Cabinet space

Tags

LIVING ROOMDINING AREAKITCHENCABINET SPACECOVERED DECKBACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $578 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#459 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $50k implies a 376% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $47,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
20.17%
Cash-on-cash
49.56%
DSCR
3.21
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$50,266
List price
$50,000
Delta
-0.53%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1254 Lewis St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-2%) 11mo $48,000 $40 81
4005 Main St 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,368 (+12%) 3mo $60,000 $44 64
4401 Letson St 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,086 (-11%) 22mo $32,000 $29 57
1106 Ontario St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,384 (+14%) 22mo $33,000 $24 45
333 Lexington Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,095 (-10%) 20mo $130,000 $119 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.8%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$25,364
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
48.5%
Equity multiple
5.04×
Total profit
$56,529
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35020

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Rents YoY
-3.1%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,148 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $550/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$578

Break-even live

Break-even rent $416
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $606 -5% $592 +0% $578 +5% $564 +10% $550
Rent -10% $487 -5% $533 +0% $578 +5% $624 +10% $669
Rate -1.0pp $603 -0.5pp $591 base $578 +0.5pp $565 +1.0pp $552

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1254 Lewis St Brighton, AL 3.0 1.0 1200 $850 $0.71 44d 1 0.16mi
4506 Letson St Brighton, AL 3.0 2.0 1032 $1,200 $1.16 24d 1 0.28mi
546 Selma Rd Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 888 $900 $1.01 44d 1 0.82mi
520 Brewer Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,100 $1.06 4d 1 0.92mi
832 Alden Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1231 $1,150 $0.93 24d 1 0.93mi
5107 5th St N Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 775 $950 $1.23 44d 1 1.07mi
6001 Ivy St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 906 $950 $1.05 44d 1 1.09mi
6025 Ivy St Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1232 $1,300 $1.06 44d 1 1.10mi
6029 Ivy St Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1234 $1,200 $0.97 44d 1 1.11mi
3019 7th Ave N Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,050 $0.97 44d 1 1.12mi
1109 12th Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1217 $1,475 $1.21 4d 1 1.14mi
3225 4th Ave N Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1486 $1,300 $0.87 24d 1 1.16mi
5912 Owen St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.5 1192 $1,300 $1.09 44d 1 1.18mi
1315 27th St N Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.0 1439 $1,250 $0.87 44d 1 1.19mi
806 12th Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1262 $1,075 $0.85 44d 1 1.20mi
80 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1078 $1,200 $1.11 15d 1 1.25mi
603 11th Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1289 $1,100 $0.85 44d 1 1.27mi
63 Wilkes Cir Unit 1 Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1164 $1,250 $1.07 44d 1 1.28mi
63 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1164 $1,200 $1.03 44d 1 1.28mi
1401 9th Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1222 $1,200 $0.98 44d 1 1.32mi
605 10th Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1060 $850 $0.80 44d 1 1.33mi
36 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 762 $875 $1.15 44d 1 1.33mi
3230 Arlington Ave Bessemer, AL 2.0 2.0 1236 $795 $0.64 44d 1 1.43mi
617 8th Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1436 $1,350 $0.94 2d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $50,000 Pending 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-03-30
    listed $50,000 Active 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Welcome to this home featuring a spacious living room and dining area. The kitchen is equipped with a stove and plenty of cabinet space. The primary bedroom is very large and includes a bathroom with a shower. In addition, there are two more generously sized bedrooms and another full bathroom with a shower. This home also offers a fully covered deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The backyard is completely fenced, providing added privacy. Don’t miss this great opportunity at an excellent price—the home does need some improvements, bring your ideas for the renovation.

  7. 2026-01-18
    price $55,000
  8. 2026-01-16
    price $45,000
  9. 2026-01-10
    price $55,000
  10. 1984-04-01
    soldstatus $10,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$550 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$550 · $46/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,779
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$550
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,102
− Management
−$1,102
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$6,518
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,564
After-tax cash flow
$5,374/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Brighton

Score
54/100
State rank
#459
US rank
#23847

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brighton, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
24,892
Household income
$35,362
Rent vs Own
40.6% rent · 59.4% own
Severe rent burden
1001.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 11% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.54%
Current HPI
179.7702
Rent YoY
▼ -3.12%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+376.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $50,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-18 Price Changed $55,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $45,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-10 Price Changed $55,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 1984-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $550 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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