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630 K Rd
D Composite 41.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

630 K Rd · Hugoton, KS 67951
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,498 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 594 Days on market
Built 1930 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to live in the country. This property has two homes on 5 acres more or less. The main house is 1/2 story home with 5 bed/3 bath. The main floor has living, kitchen, bed, bath and laundry. The half story has two bedrooms and full bath. The basement has two non conforming bedrooms, a den/office and 3/4 bath. Each home is priced at $135,000.00. Each has it's own domestic water well, septic system and survey. They can be purchased separately or together for $250,000.00. For more information on this property and to schedule your private showing, call Karen Yoder (620)544-3730

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Listed 593 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 space
  • Utilities: Well (private); Septic tank; Propane
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Shed(s); Workshop; Approximately 1 acre lot; Zoned for single-family dwellings

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Ceiling fan(s); Has cooling
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Full finished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($768/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (20.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#95 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hugoton Public Schools (town): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #119 of 169 in KS (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Hugoton Elem (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #321 of 684 statewide, top 52%, 532 students, 65% FRL); Hugoton Middle (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #203 of 219 statewide, top 93%, 154 students, 60% FRL); Hugoton High (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #235 of 327 statewide, top 74%, 327 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Stevens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stevens County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 594 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $160k implies a 627% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $127,577 (20.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 594 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.71%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.6%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-21,930
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-14,172
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67951

Home prices YoY
-21.9%
Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,276 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $457/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$64

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,195
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $155 -5% $109 +0% $64 +5% $19 +10% $-27
Rent -10% $-37 -5% $14 +0% $64 +5% $114 +10% $165
Rate -1.0pp $145 -0.5pp $105 base $64 +0.5pp $23 +1.0pp $-20

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $160,000 Active 594 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $160,000 Active 593 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $160,000 Active 592 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 590 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 589 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 588 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 587 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 585 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $160,000 Active 584 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 581 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 580 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 579 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $160,000 Active 577 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $160,000 Active 575 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 574 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 573 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 572 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 571 DOM
  19. 2025-05-06
    status Active
  20. 2025-05-06
    historical
  21. 2025-02-04
    price $160,000
  22. 2024-11-05
    listed $165,000 Active
  23. 2020-09-01
    soldstatus 595-char remark
    Show marketing remark (595 chars)

    Great opportunity to live in the country. This property has two homes on 5 acres more or less. The main house is 1/2 story home with 5 bed/3 bath. The main floor has living, kitchen, bed, bath and laundry. The half story has two bedrooms and full bath. The basement has two non conforming bedrooms, a den/office and 3/4 bath. Each home is priced at $135,000.00. Each has it's own domestic water well, septic system and survey. They can be purchased separately or together for $250,000.00. For more information on this property and to schedule your private showing, call Karen Yoder (620)544-3730

  24. 2019-05-14
    listed $135,000 595-char remark
    Show marketing remark (595 chars)

    Great opportunity to live in the country. This property has two homes on 5 acres more or less. The main house is 1/2 story home with 5 bed/3 bath. The main floor has living, kitchen, bed, bath and laundry. The half story has two bedrooms and full bath. The basement has two non conforming bedrooms, a den/office and 3/4 bath. Each home is priced at $135,000.00. Each has it's own domestic water well, septic system and survey. They can be purchased separately or together for $250,000.00. For more information on this property and to schedule your private showing, call Karen Yoder (620)544-3730

  25. 2003-09-01
    soldstatus $22,000
  26. 1994-05-01
    soldstatus $11,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$457 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,256 · $188/mo
Expected delta
+$1,799/yr (+$150/mo · 393.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,309
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$457
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,225
− Management
−$1,225
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$2,015
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$484
After-tax cash flow
$1,252/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hugoton Public Schools
NCES district ID
2007560
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,338
Composite
24.12/100
National rank
#7750
State rank
#119 of 169 in KS

Livability — Hugoton

Score
73/100
State rank
#95
US rank
#5438

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,610

Population outlook (Stevens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,924 people
By 2030
6,043 · +2.0%
By 2040
6,409 · +8.2%
By 2050
6,931 · +17.0%
By 2075
8,992 · +51.8%
By 2100
11,644 · +96.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (54%)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 20%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38%
Common ancestry
Danish 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 30% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stevens

2024 margin
Solid R (+75.5) · D 11.4% · R 86.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: -72.0pp · 2024: -75.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+75.5 2020: R+75.0 2016: R+72.8 2012: R+74.2 2008: R+72.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.33%
Current HPI
161.5621
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+1354.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-05-06 Relisted SWKSBOR
  • 2025-05-06 Delisted SWKSBOR
  • 2025-02-04 Price Changed $160,000 SWKSBOR
  • 2024-11-05 Listed $165,000 SWKSBOR
  • 2020-09-01 Sold (MLS) SWKSBOR
  • 2019-05-14 Listed $135,000 SWKSBOR
  • 2003-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
  • 1994-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $457 · -12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…