1836 Lockhart Dr · Forney, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great open floor plan by Ashton Woods Homes with high ceilings, 4 bedrooms, and 2 bathrooms. Luxury vinyl plank flooring runs through all common areas, with upgraded carpet in the bedrooms. The kitchen features beautiful quartz countertops and upgraded GE stainless steel appliances. The spacious primary suite includes double sinks and a separate standing shower. Enjoy the expansive, fully fenced and landscaped backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The neighborhood offers an exceptional amenity center with an event hall and community room, three pools, parks, playgrounds, and walking trails throughout the community. Nearby shopping continues to expand, including the new H-E-B, Costco Wholesale, BJ’s Wholesale Club, and The Home Depot — making everyday errands easy. Convenient commute to Dallas. Special incentive available for buyers who can close by June — ask for details!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Quartz countertops
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $262k (12.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $274k (8.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $262k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.2% in Forney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#98 in TX, #3,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Forney ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #234 of 826 in TX (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Henderson El (math 52% / reading 54%, grade C, #705 of 4,322 statewide, top 17%, 737 students, 50% FRL); Warren Middle (math 43% / reading 50%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 903 students, 26% FRL); Forney H S (math 64% / reading 58%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,272 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 2639 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.11%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $381,448
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -21.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1812 Lockhart Dr | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,974 (+2%) | 11mo | $319,999 | $162 | 84 |
| 10083 Highland Prairie Ln | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,019 (+5%) | 8mo | $399,000 | $198 | 72 |
| 11326 Helms Trl | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,938 (+1%) | 4mo | $419,900 | $217 | 70 |
| 10128 Highland Prairie Ln | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,060 (+7%) | 4mo | $425,000 | $206 | 70 |
| 1840 Big Spring Dr | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 2,090 (+8%) | 11mo | $339,990 | $163 | 66 |
| 11090 Prairie Lakes Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,990 (+3%) | 3mo | $440,000 | $221 | 62 |
| 13023 Highland Ct | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,183 (+13%) | 6mo | $409,000 | $187 | 54 |
| 1272 Caprock Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,208 (+15%) | 10mo | $334,990 | $152 | 52 |
| 1560 Seminole Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,020 (+5%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $163 | 50 |
| 1276 Meridian Dr | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 | 2,162 (+12%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $146 | 47 |
| 1557 Wyler Dr | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 | 2,064 (+7%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $157 | 47 |
| 1604 Cedar Crest Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,060 (+7%) | 8mo | $355,000 | $172 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-66,499
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- -23.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.09×
- Total profit
- $-91,842
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 60 active · 18 under contract
- Months of supply
- 11.6 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $336,740 ($164/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 104 d
- This list price
- 5% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +20.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75126
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 2639
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,741 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$610 /mo · $7,318/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$75
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$576
- Net cashflow
- $-217
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-48 | -5% $-132 | +0% $-217 | +5% $-302 | +10% $-387 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-434 | -5% $-326 | +0% $-217 | +5% $-109 | +10% $-1 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-66 | -0.5pp $-141 | base $-217 | +0.5pp $-295 | +1.0pp $-374 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1836 Lockhart Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,350 | $1.24 | 40d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 1855 Lockhart Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1912 | $2,900 | $1.52 | 0d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1817 Lockhart Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2331 | $2,950 | $1.27 | 56d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1820 Purtis Creek Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2140 | $2,700 | $1.26 | 0d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1833 Purtis Creek Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2241 | $2,750 | $1.23 | 38d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1869 Lockhart Dr Forney, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2300 | $2,949 | $1.28 | 1d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1871 Lockhart Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2060 | $2,700 | $1.31 | 1d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1870 Purtis Creek Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1925 | $2,999 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1874 Purtis Creek Dr Forney, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2212 | $3,090 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1876 Lockhart Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2058 | $2,750 | $1.34 | 37d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1829 Arbor Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2171 | $2,500 | $1.15 | 7d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1888 Everglades Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1961 | $3,235 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1736 Everglades Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2333 | $2,650 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1816 Pueblo St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2204 | $2,350 | $1.07 | 93d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1820 Pueblo St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,245 | $1.18 | 93d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1829 Pueblo St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,250 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1848 McCree St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,450 | $1.27 | 93d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1832 Pueblo St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2060 | $2,120 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1432 Lawnview Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2252 | $2,599 | $1.15 | 26d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1656 Deerpath Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2202 | $3,800 | $1.73 | 26d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 10264 Fireside Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2195 | $2,850 | $1.30 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1532 Bushman Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2321 | $2,495 | $1.07 | 20d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1304 Meridian Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2037 | $2,199 | $1.08 | 30d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1260 Meridian Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1960 | $2,200 | $1.12 | 32d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1260 Meridian Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1960 | $2,200 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1308 Parkdale St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2389 | $2,800 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1832 Sandlin Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2058 | $2,400 | $1.17 | 93d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1593 Kessler Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $2,349 | $1.26 | 48d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1593 Kessler Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $2,349 | $1.26 | 28d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1581 Ferguson Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1922 | $2,200 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1825 Sandlin Dr Forney, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2306 | $2,450 | $1.06 | 93d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1822 Sandlin Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2338 | $2,076 | $0.89 | 56d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1822 Sandlin Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2338 | $2,010 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1560 Seminole Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2020 | $2,250 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1557 Wyler Dr Unit 1557 Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2064 | $2,850 | $1.38 | 93d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1818 Sandlin Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2060 | $2,105 | $1.02 | 41d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1553 Sugarberry Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2348 | $2,900 | $1.24 | 64d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1804 Sandlin Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2338 | $2,151 | $0.92 | 70d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1210 Lambert Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2338 | $2,695 | $1.15 | 73d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1213 Herring Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1876 | $2,050 | $1.09 | 37d | 1 | 0.89mi |
HOA detail $75/mo · $900/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $299,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $299,900 940-char remark
Show marketing remark (940 chars)
Great open floor plan by Ashton Woods Homes with high ceilings, 4 bedrooms, and 2 bathrooms. Luxury vinyl plank flooring runs through all common areas, with upgraded carpet in the bedrooms. The kitchen features beautiful quartz countertops and upgraded GE stainless steel appliances. The spacious primary suite includes double sinks and a separate standing shower. Enjoy the expansive, fully fenced and landscaped backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The neighborhood offers an exceptional amenity center with an event hall and community room, three pools, parks, playgrounds, and walking trails throughout the community. Nearby shopping continues to expand, including the new H-E-B, Costco Wholesale, BJ’s Wholesale Club, and The Home Depot — making everyday errands easy. Convenient commute to Dallas. Special incentive available for buyers who can close by June — ask for details!
-
2026-03-10price $318,000 940-char remark
Show marketing remark (940 chars)
Great open floor plan by Ashton Woods Homes with high ceilings, 4 bedrooms, and 2 bathrooms. Luxury vinyl plank flooring runs through all common areas, with upgraded carpet in the bedrooms. The kitchen features beautiful quartz countertops and upgraded GE stainless steel appliances. The spacious primary suite includes double sinks and a separate standing shower. Enjoy the expansive, fully fenced and landscaped backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The neighborhood offers an exceptional amenity center with an event hall and community room, three pools, parks, playgrounds, and walking trails throughout the community. Nearby shopping continues to expand, including the new H-E-B, Costco Wholesale, BJ’s Wholesale Club, and The Home Depot — making everyday errands easy. Convenient commute to Dallas. Special incentive available for buyers who can close by June — ask for details!
-
2026-03-01$330,000 Active 940-char remark
Show marketing remark (940 chars)
Great open floor plan by Ashton Woods Homes with high ceilings, 4 bedrooms, and 2 bathrooms. Luxury vinyl plank flooring runs through all common areas, with upgraded carpet in the bedrooms. The kitchen features beautiful quartz countertops and upgraded GE stainless steel appliances. The spacious primary suite includes double sinks and a separate standing shower. Enjoy the expansive, fully fenced and landscaped backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The neighborhood offers an exceptional amenity center with an event hall and community room, three pools, parks, playgrounds, and walking trails throughout the community. Nearby shopping continues to expand, including the new H-E-B, Costco Wholesale, BJ’s Wholesale Club, and The Home Depot — making everyday errands easy. Convenient commute to Dallas. Special incentive available for buyers who can close by June — ask for details!
-
2024-09-02historical $2,200
-
2024-08-21price $2,200
-
2024-08-10price $2,300
-
2024-07-09$2,400
-
2024-07-01historical $2,400
-
2024-06-12price $2,400
-
2024-05-03$2,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,318 · $610/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,318 · $610/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,888
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$7,318
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,631
- − Management
- −$2,631
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$7,615
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,828
- After-tax cash flow
- $-781/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good floor plan and is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates needed for the exterior and landscaping.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition and prevents water damage ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forney ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819560
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $86,679
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3812
- State rank
- #234 of 826 in TX
Livability — Forney
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #3339
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Forney, TX
- County
- Kaufman County · 138,716 people
- City population
- 84,799
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 84,799
- Household income
- $103,673
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.93%
- Current HPI
- 148.5749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+11896.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $299,900 NTREIS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $318,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-01 Listed $330,000 NTREIS
- 2024-09-02 Rental Removed $2,200 NTREIS
- 2024-08-21 Price Changed $2,200 NTREIS
- 2024-08-10 Price Changed $2,300 NTREIS
- 2024-07-09 Listed for Rent $2,400 NTREIS
- 2024-07-01 Rental Removed $2,400 NTREIS
- 2024-06-12 Price Changed $2,400 NTREIS
- 2024-05-03 Listed for Rent $2,500 NTREIS
Property tax history
+44.1%/yrLatest (2025): $7,318 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…