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27000 N Alma School Pkwy #1017
D- Composite 39.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$899,000

27000 N Alma School Pkwy #1017 · Scottsdale, AZ 85262
3 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,379 sqft · Condo public records · 168 Days on market
Built 2008 $378/sqft · at area comps Est $893k · at est. $516/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Mountain views on ground level former model with lots of upgrades! Two master bedrooms plus one additional. Open kitchen w/ granite counters, tiled backsplash, upgraded alder wood cabinetry with pull out shelving & stainless appliances. Great room floorplan w/ gas stone fireplace & large dining area w/ additional cabinets, beverage refrigerator & wine storage area. Beautiful wall of glass facing East with Troon mountain range views & sunrises looking out to the covered patio with built in heaters. Inviting 20'' tile flooring w/ custom paint, 8' Alder doors, crown molding, wood shutters & custom lighting. Garage Cabinets with pull out shelving. Unit is walking distance to Four Seasons Resort & minutes to golf courses & dining! Enjoy the amazing back covered patio w/ the desert wash & mountain views. Steps away from pool, spa & work out facility in North Scottdale! This location is amazing for the indoor/outdoor lifestyle AZ has to offer. Close to great hiking, biking, golf, dining and shopping. Great location for a full-time resident or a second home.

Key facts

  • $516 HOA
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath condo listed at $899k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-305 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $845k (6.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $690k (23.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $690k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • Cave Creek Unified District (4244) (urban): math 57% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #13 of 249 in AZ (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 588 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,900/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($178k/yr) (locally 70% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 168 days — a 12% lower offer ($791k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $151k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $689,961 (23.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 168 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.45%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$893,443
List price
$899,000
Delta
0.62%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-165,284
Equity at exit
$134,044
10-year hold
IRR
-11.2%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-169,664
Equity at exit
$77,729

Cash invested: $251,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85262

Home prices YoY
-12.2%
Active inventory
588
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,900 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,714
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,809/yr
Insurance
$375
HOA
$516
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,449
Net cashflow
$-305

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,286
Max offer price $845,107
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$224,750
Closing costs
$26,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27000 N Alma School Pkwy #1012 Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 2144 $9,000 $4.20 24d 1 0.03mi
27000 N Alma School Pkwy Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5–3.0 2385 $7,750 $3.25 43d 3 0.03mi
27000 N Alma School Pkwy Unit 2006 Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 2627 $7,500 $2.85 24d 1 0.03mi
26627 N 104th Way Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 2112 $4,950 $2.34 18d 1 0.41mi
10437 E Monterra Way Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 2145 $3,750 $1.75 5d 1 0.47mi
27807 N 108th Way Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 2078 $5,000 $2.41 43d 1 0.50mi
10931 E Whitethorn Dr Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 3.5 2825 $10,995 $3.89 3d 1 0.63mi
11056 E Oberlin Way Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 2836 $9,500 $3.35 43d 1 0.64mi
11064 E Oberlin Way Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.5 2343 $3,800 $1.62 24d 1 0.64mi
11160 E Greythorn Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 2311 $9,000 $3.89 43d 1 0.76mi
11114 E Blue Sky Dr Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 3.0 2826 $4,500 $1.59 5d 1 0.77mi
28504 N 108th Way Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1949 $4,800 $2.46 43d 1 0.85mi
10911 E Mark Ln Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.5 3168 $4,000 $1.26 3d 1 0.91mi
25555 N Windy Walk Dr #77 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1575 $5,395 $3.43 24d 1 1.00mi
26362 N 115th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.5 1860 $4,500 $2.42 43d 1 1.01mi
11096 E Dale Ln Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 3.0 1835 $3,750 $2.04 43d 1 1.05mi
11362 E Dale Ln Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 4.5 3357 $20,000 $5.96 43d 1 1.18mi
11572 E Running Deer Trl Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 3.0 2810 $8,995 $3.20 43d 1 1.22mi
28444 N 101st Pl Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 3.0 2298 $3,500 $1.52 24d 1 1.29mi
11239 E Southwind Ln Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 3.5 3184 $9,500 $2.98 43d 1 1.29mi
10260 E White Feather Ln Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1791 $4,698 $2.62 24d 4 1.35mi
11591 E Desert Willow Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 2090 $3,995 $1.91 43d 1 1.35mi
10222 E Southwind Ln Unit 1018 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 2040 $5,500 $2.70 18d 1 1.37mi
10222 E Southwind Ln Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 2386 $5,500 $2.31 43d 2 1.37mi
11533 E Bronco Trl Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.5 2090 $3,499 $1.67 14d 1 1.39mi
11516 E Ranch Gate Rd Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 2145 $7,500 $3.50 43d 1 1.42mi
28990 N White Feather Ln Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.5–4.5 2327 $4,625 $1.99 11d 3 1.45mi
9796 E Gamble Ln Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.5 2437 $10,400 $4.27 43d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$516 · $6,192/yr
Likely covers
gaspool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $899,000 Active 168 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $899,000 Active 167 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $899,000 Active 165 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $899,000 Active 164 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $899,000 Active 161 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $899,000 Active 160 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $899,000 Active 159 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $899,000 Active 156 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $899,000 Active 155 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $899,000 Active 154 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $899,000 Active 153 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $899,000 Active 152 DOM
  13. 2026-05-14
    price $899,000 1105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1105 chars)

    Mountain views on ground level former model with lots of upgrades! Two master bedrooms plus one additional. Open kitchen w/ granite counters, tiled backsplash, upgraded alder wood cabinetry with pull out shelving & stainless appliances. Great room floorplan w/ gas stone fireplace & large dining area w/ additional cabinets, beverage refrigerator & wine storage area. Beautiful wall of glass facing East with Troon mountain range views & sunrises looking out to the covered patio with built in heaters. Inviting 20'' tile flooring w/ custom paint, 8' Alder doors, crown molding, wood shutters & custom lighting. Garage Cabinets with pull out shelving. Unit is walking distance to Four Seasons Resort & minutes to golf courses & dining! Enjoy the amazing back covered patio w/ the desert wash & mountain views. Steps away from pool, spa & work out facility in North Scottdale! This location is amazing for the indoor/outdoor lifestyle AZ has to offer. Close to great hiking, biking, golf, dining and shopping. Great location for a full-time resident or a second home.

  14. 2026-04-27
    price $924,900 1105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1105 chars)

    Mountain views on ground level former model with lots of upgrades! Two master bedrooms plus one additional. Open kitchen w/ granite counters, tiled backsplash, upgraded alder wood cabinetry with pull out shelving & stainless appliances. Great room floorplan w/ gas stone fireplace & large dining area w/ additional cabinets, beverage refrigerator & wine storage area. Beautiful wall of glass facing East with Troon mountain range views & sunrises looking out to the covered patio with built in heaters. Inviting 20'' tile flooring w/ custom paint, 8' Alder doors, crown molding, wood shutters & custom lighting. Garage Cabinets with pull out shelving. Unit is walking distance to Four Seasons Resort & minutes to golf courses & dining! Enjoy the amazing back covered patio w/ the desert wash & mountain views. Steps away from pool, spa & work out facility in North Scottdale! This location is amazing for the indoor/outdoor lifestyle AZ has to offer. Close to great hiking, biking, golf, dining and shopping. Great location for a full-time resident or a second home.

  15. 2026-03-26
    price $949,900 1105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1105 chars)

    Mountain views on ground level former model with lots of upgrades! Two master bedrooms plus one additional. Open kitchen w/ granite counters, tiled backsplash, upgraded alder wood cabinetry with pull out shelving & stainless appliances. Great room floorplan w/ gas stone fireplace & large dining area w/ additional cabinets, beverage refrigerator & wine storage area. Beautiful wall of glass facing East with Troon mountain range views & sunrises looking out to the covered patio with built in heaters. Inviting 20'' tile flooring w/ custom paint, 8' Alder doors, crown molding, wood shutters & custom lighting. Garage Cabinets with pull out shelving. Unit is walking distance to Four Seasons Resort & minutes to golf courses & dining! Enjoy the amazing back covered patio w/ the desert wash & mountain views. Steps away from pool, spa & work out facility in North Scottdale! This location is amazing for the indoor/outdoor lifestyle AZ has to offer. Close to great hiking, biking, golf, dining and shopping. Great location for a full-time resident or a second home.

  16. 2026-03-12
    price $979,900 1105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1105 chars)

    Mountain views on ground level former model with lots of upgrades! Two master bedrooms plus one additional. Open kitchen w/ granite counters, tiled backsplash, upgraded alder wood cabinetry with pull out shelving & stainless appliances. Great room floorplan w/ gas stone fireplace & large dining area w/ additional cabinets, beverage refrigerator & wine storage area. Beautiful wall of glass facing East with Troon mountain range views & sunrises looking out to the covered patio with built in heaters. Inviting 20'' tile flooring w/ custom paint, 8' Alder doors, crown molding, wood shutters & custom lighting. Garage Cabinets with pull out shelving. Unit is walking distance to Four Seasons Resort & minutes to golf courses & dining! Enjoy the amazing back covered patio w/ the desert wash & mountain views. Steps away from pool, spa & work out facility in North Scottdale! This location is amazing for the indoor/outdoor lifestyle AZ has to offer. Close to great hiking, biking, golf, dining and shopping. Great location for a full-time resident or a second home.

  17. 2026-02-02
    price $999,900 1105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1105 chars)

    Mountain views on ground level former model with lots of upgrades! Two master bedrooms plus one additional. Open kitchen w/ granite counters, tiled backsplash, upgraded alder wood cabinetry with pull out shelving & stainless appliances. Great room floorplan w/ gas stone fireplace & large dining area w/ additional cabinets, beverage refrigerator & wine storage area. Beautiful wall of glass facing East with Troon mountain range views & sunrises looking out to the covered patio with built in heaters. Inviting 20'' tile flooring w/ custom paint, 8' Alder doors, crown molding, wood shutters & custom lighting. Garage Cabinets with pull out shelving. Unit is walking distance to Four Seasons Resort & minutes to golf courses & dining! Enjoy the amazing back covered patio w/ the desert wash & mountain views. Steps away from pool, spa & work out facility in North Scottdale! This location is amazing for the indoor/outdoor lifestyle AZ has to offer. Close to great hiking, biking, golf, dining and shopping. Great location for a full-time resident or a second home.

  18. 2025-12-30
    listed $1,050,000 Active 1105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1105 chars)

    Mountain views on ground level former model with lots of upgrades! Two master bedrooms plus one additional. Open kitchen w/ granite counters, tiled backsplash, upgraded alder wood cabinetry with pull out shelving & stainless appliances. Great room floorplan w/ gas stone fireplace & large dining area w/ additional cabinets, beverage refrigerator & wine storage area. Beautiful wall of glass facing East with Troon mountain range views & sunrises looking out to the covered patio with built in heaters. Inviting 20'' tile flooring w/ custom paint, 8' Alder doors, crown molding, wood shutters & custom lighting. Garage Cabinets with pull out shelving. Unit is walking distance to Four Seasons Resort & minutes to golf courses & dining! Enjoy the amazing back covered patio w/ the desert wash & mountain views. Steps away from pool, spa & work out facility in North Scottdale! This location is amazing for the indoor/outdoor lifestyle AZ has to offer. Close to great hiking, biking, golf, dining and shopping. Great location for a full-time resident or a second home.

  19. 2025-12-26
    price $1,050,000 1105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1105 chars)

    Mountain views on ground level former model with lots of upgrades! Two master bedrooms plus one additional. Open kitchen w/ granite counters, tiled backsplash, upgraded alder wood cabinetry with pull out shelving & stainless appliances. Great room floorplan w/ gas stone fireplace & large dining area w/ additional cabinets, beverage refrigerator & wine storage area. Beautiful wall of glass facing East with Troon mountain range views & sunrises looking out to the covered patio with built in heaters. Inviting 20'' tile flooring w/ custom paint, 8' Alder doors, crown molding, wood shutters & custom lighting. Garage Cabinets with pull out shelving. Unit is walking distance to Four Seasons Resort & minutes to golf courses & dining! Enjoy the amazing back covered patio w/ the desert wash & mountain views. Steps away from pool, spa & work out facility in North Scottdale! This location is amazing for the indoor/outdoor lifestyle AZ has to offer. Close to great hiking, biking, golf, dining and shopping. Great location for a full-time resident or a second home.

  20. 2021-07-19
    soldstatus $899,000 Closed 817-char remark
    Show marketing remark (817 chars)

    This awesome turn key townhome is ground level w/no steps & makes a fantastic income property as well as an awesome primary or second home for an end user. Excellent interior location near the pool w/eastern views towards Troon Mountain & scenic desert wash this 3 bed + den, 3 full bath unit has split plan w/upgrades throughout including Alder cabs, SS appliances, granite counters w/stone backsplash, gas fireplace w/tile surround, alder shutters, crown molding, RO, stone-look tile & plush carpet, custom lighting, 8' solid interior doors, & epoxy garage floor + b-in cabinets. 8' rear slider opens to awesome covered patio w/wall mounted TV & large sitting area. Unit is walking distance to Four Seasons Resort & minutes to phenomenal golf courses. Rental history available upon request

  21. 2021-07-19
    soldstatus $899,000
    Show marketing remark (817 chars)

    This awesome turn key townhome is ground level w/no steps & makes a fantastic income property as well as an awesome primary or second home for an end user. Excellent interior location near the pool w/eastern views towards Troon Mountain & scenic desert wash this 3 bed + den, 3 full bath unit has split plan w/upgrades throughout including Alder cabs, SS appliances, granite counters w/stone backsplash, gas fireplace w/tile surround, alder shutters, crown molding, RO, stone-look tile & plush carpet, custom lighting, 8' solid interior doors, & epoxy garage floor + b-in cabinets. 8' rear slider opens to awesome covered patio w/wall mounted TV & large sitting area. Unit is walking distance to Four Seasons Resort & minutes to phenomenal golf courses. Rental history available upon request

  22. 2021-06-07
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 817-char remark
    Show marketing remark (817 chars)

    This awesome turn key townhome is ground level w/no steps & makes a fantastic income property as well as an awesome primary or second home for an end user. Excellent interior location near the pool w/eastern views towards Troon Mountain & scenic desert wash this 3 bed + den, 3 full bath unit has split plan w/upgrades throughout including Alder cabs, SS appliances, granite counters w/stone backsplash, gas fireplace w/tile surround, alder shutters, crown molding, RO, stone-look tile & plush carpet, custom lighting, 8' solid interior doors, & epoxy garage floor + b-in cabinets. 8' rear slider opens to awesome covered patio w/wall mounted TV & large sitting area. Unit is walking distance to Four Seasons Resort & minutes to phenomenal golf courses. Rental history available upon request

  23. 2021-05-18
    listed $899,000 Active 817-char remark
    Show marketing remark (817 chars)

    This awesome turn key townhome is ground level w/no steps & makes a fantastic income property as well as an awesome primary or second home for an end user. Excellent interior location near the pool w/eastern views towards Troon Mountain & scenic desert wash this 3 bed + den, 3 full bath unit has split plan w/upgrades throughout including Alder cabs, SS appliances, granite counters w/stone backsplash, gas fireplace w/tile surround, alder shutters, crown molding, RO, stone-look tile & plush carpet, custom lighting, 8' solid interior doors, & epoxy garage floor + b-in cabinets. 8' rear slider opens to awesome covered patio w/wall mounted TV & large sitting area. Unit is walking distance to Four Seasons Resort & minutes to phenomenal golf courses. Rental history available upon request

  24. 2019-10-07
    soldstatus $600,000
  25. 2019-09-12
    status Pending
  26. 2019-07-31
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
  27. 2019-07-07
    listed $649,000 Active
  28. 2015-02-20
    soldstatus $525,000 Closed
  29. 2015-02-20
    soldstatus $525,000
  30. 2015-02-12
    status Pending
  31. 2015-01-07
    status Active
  32. 2015-01-06
    listed $550,000 Active
  33. 2015-01-06
    historical
  34. 2013-03-29
    historical
  35. 2013-03-29
    soldstatus $450,000 Closed
  36. 2013-03-29
    soldstatus $450,000
  37. 2013-03-21
    historical
  38. 2013-03-21
    listed $450,000
  39. 2009-12-31
    soldstatus $8,249,053

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,809 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,933 · $494/mo
Expected delta
+$4,125/yr (+$344/mo · 228.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$82,795
− Mortgage interest
−$50,358
− Property taxes
−$1,809
− Insurance
−$4,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,624
− Management
−$6,624
− HOA
−$6,192
− Depreciation
−$26,153
Taxable loss
−$19,458
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,670
After-tax cash flow
$1,009/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cave Creek Unified District (4244)
NCES district ID
0400001
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$102,788
Composite
54.46/100
National rank
#1351
State rank
#13 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Scottsdale

Score
80/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1756

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottsdale, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
290,846
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
14,329
Household income
$177,790
Rent vs Own
3.1% rent · 96.9% own
Severe rent burden
70.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.65%
Current HPI
286.3814
Rent YoY
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-89.1% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $899,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $924,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $949,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $979,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $999,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $1,050,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-12-26 Price Changed $1,050,000 ARMLS
  • 2021-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $899,000 Public Records
  • 2021-07-19 Sold (MLS) $899,000 ARMLS
  • 2021-06-07 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2021-05-18 Listed $899,000 ARMLS
  • 2019-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $600,000 Public Records
  • 2019-09-12 Pending ARMLS
  • 2019-07-31 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2019-07-07 Listed $649,000 ARMLS
  • 2015-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $525,000 Public Records
  • 2015-02-20 Sold (MLS) $525,000 ARMLS
  • 2015-02-12 Pending ARMLS
  • 2015-01-07 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2015-01-06 Listed $550,000 ARMLS
  • 2015-01-06 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2013-03-29 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2013-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
  • 2013-03-29 Sold (MLS) $450,000 ARMLS
  • 2013-03-21 Listed $450,000 ARMLS
  • 2013-03-21 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2009-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $8,249,053 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,809 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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