15 Daytona Dr · Cabot, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A Great New Home in a Wonderful Community. Southern Comfort Estate is a growing community with a lot of appeal. You are within 20 minutes from downtown Little Rock, North little Rock and minutes from shopping & restaurants. If you are looking for a place you can call home then look at Southern Comfort. We can build you a home in 90 days or less & you can select from the many different floor plans & color options; or pick a home that is already complete & move in 30 days or less. Still Time To Pick Colors
Key facts
- Above ground pool
- Epoxy floors
- Covered patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximate lot dimensions 80' x 140' (approx. 0.25 acre); Square footage source and lot sourcing from tax records/measurements
- Financial info: Financing options may include VA, FHA, conventional loans or cash
- HOA & community: Subdivision: SOUTHERN COMFORT ESTATES
Exterior
- Parking: Garage for 2 cars with automatic door opener
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy); Telephone (private); All utilities underground; Insulated windows and doors; Internet via fiber and cable
- Home design: Brick and metal/vinyl siding with EIFS exterior; Located inside city limits; Level lot in a subdivision
- Construction: Slab foundation; Architectural shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Covered patio; Porch; Fully fenced yard; Wood fence; Above-ground pool; Guttering
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Pantry; Ice maker connection
- Bedrooms: Bonus room; Laundry (also listed as a room)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection; Electric water heater; Window treatments; Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Walk-in shower; Quartz kitchen countertops
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-509/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (3.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (25.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $186k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.6% in Cabot — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AR, #2,695 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Cabot School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #29 of 238 in AR (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central Elementary School (math 57% / reading 37%, grade D-, #119 of 454 statewide, top 28%, 446 students, 60% FRL); Cabot Middle School South (math 48% / reading 38%, grade D-, #70 of 201 statewide, top 38%, 717 students, 49% FRL); Cabot High School (math 29% / reading 45%, grade F, #64 of 292 statewide, top 26%, 2,198 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 30% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 185 units permitted in Lonoke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lonoke County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $151k; list at $250k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.73%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $252,960
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Talladega Dr | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 | 1,732 (-7%) | 6mo | $229,000 | $132 | 80 |
| 15 Darlington Dr | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 1,799 (-3%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $136 | 80 |
| 94 Earnhardt Cir | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 | 1,722 (-7%) | 9mo | $225,500 | $131 | 74 |
| 35 Warren St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,778 (-4%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $152 | 68 |
| 83 Earnhardt Cir | 0.21mi | 4/3.0 | 2,063 (+11%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $133 | 65 |
| 18 Dale Ct | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,751 (-6%) | 0mo | $299,900 | $171 | 60 |
| 604 Southhaven Ave Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,648 (-11%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $91 | 52 |
| 1614 Lil Larry Dr | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 1,720 (-8%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $145 | 52 |
| 12 Michael Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,711 (-8%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $134 | 50 |
| 23 Warren St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,605 (-14%) | 8mo | $249,000 | $155 | 43 |
| 1604 Lil Larry Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,631 (-12%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $135 | 41 |
| 33 Mary Ann Cir | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,674 (-10%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $140 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-42,958
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-39,833
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72023
- Home prices YoY
- -13.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,864 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,194/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $-42
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $99 | -5% $28 | +0% $-42 | +5% $-113 | +10% $-184 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-190 | -5% $-116 | +0% $-42 | +5% $31 | +10% $105 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $83 | -0.5pp $21 | base $-42 | +0.5pp $-107 | +1.0pp $-173 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1701 S Pine St Cabot, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2056 | $1,700 | $0.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 33 Ryleigh Cir Cabot, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1333 | $1,350 | $1.01 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 15 Amy St Cabot, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1687 | $1,800 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 13 Buttercup Ln Cabot, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $1,495 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 61 Wolfsbridge Loop Cabot, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1884 | $2,000 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 21 Tradewinds Dr Cabot, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2128 | $2,250 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 25 Applewood Dr Cabot, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1515 | $1,450 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $250,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17statusdays on market $250,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Price Change 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Price Change 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricestatusdays on market $250,000 Price Change 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $257,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $257,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $257,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $257,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $257,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $257,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $257,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $257,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $257,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $257,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$257,000 New Listing
-
2014-11-11historical
-
2014-07-29$165,420
-
2009-11-13soldstatus $150,750 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
A Great New Home in a Wonderful Community. Southern Comfort Estate is a growing community with a lot of appeal. You are within 20 minutes from downtown Little Rock, North little Rock and minutes from shopping & restaurants. If you are looking for a place you can call home then look at Southern Comfort. We can build you a home in 90 days or less & you can select from the many different floor plans & color options; or pick a home that is already complete & move in 30 days or less. Still Time To Pick Colors
-
2009-09-22historical 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
A Great New Home in a Wonderful Community. Southern Comfort Estate is a growing community with a lot of appeal. You are within 20 minutes from downtown Little Rock, North little Rock and minutes from shopping & restaurants. If you are looking for a place you can call home then look at Southern Comfort. We can build you a home in 90 days or less & you can select from the many different floor plans & color options; or pick a home that is already complete & move in 30 days or less. Still Time To Pick Colors
-
2009-09-10$150,575 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
A Great New Home in a Wonderful Community. Southern Comfort Estate is a growing community with a lot of appeal. You are within 20 minutes from downtown Little Rock, North little Rock and minutes from shopping & restaurants. If you are looking for a place you can call home then look at Southern Comfort. We can build you a home in 90 days or less & you can select from the many different floor plans & color options; or pick a home that is already complete & move in 30 days or less. Still Time To Pick Colors
-
2008-03-04soldstatus $1,549,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,194 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,600 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$406/yr (+$34/mo · 34.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,364
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$1,194
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,789
- − Management
- −$1,789
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$4,935
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,184
- After-tax cash flow
- $675/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cabot School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503750
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,993
- Composite
- 39.66/100
- National rank
- #3912
- State rank
- #29 of 238 in AR
Livability — Cabot
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cabot, AR
- County
- Lonoke County · 46,130 people
- City population
- 37,452
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,452
- Household income
- $76,931
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 939.0
Population outlook (Lonoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,072 people
- By 2030
- 80,673 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 84,977 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 87,778 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 91,398 · +17.1%
- By 2100
- 87,858 · +12.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lonoke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.2% · R 75.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -53.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.8 2016: R+53.3 2012: R+50.9 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.12%
- Current HPI
- 182.3489
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.19%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-83.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $257,000 CARMLS
- 2014-11-11 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2014-07-29 Listed $165,420 CARMLS
- 2009-11-13 Sold (MLS) $150,750 CARMLS
- 2009-09-22 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2009-09-10 Listed $150,575 CARMLS
- 2008-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $1,549,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,194 · -7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…