CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
48 Big Sky Resort Rd #222
B Composite 74.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$347,000

48 Big Sky Resort Rd #222 · Big Sky, MT 59716
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,329 sqft · Condo · 1291 Days on market
Built 2005 Excellent condition $261/sqft · 71% below area $384/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • $384 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 2005

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located at the base of the Big Sky Ski & Summer Resort; Subdivision: Lone Peak Center Condo
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association; Annual association fee (annually) covering insurance, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, snow removal and trash; Association amenities: pool, fitness center, laundry, ski access, sauna, spa/hot tub, trails

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Fire sprinkler system; Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Condominium; One level; Faces south
  • Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Association pool; South-facing view; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Freezer
  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Baseboard heating; Radiant floor heating
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings; Gas fireplace; Therapeutic whirlpool
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in association building

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $347k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $885 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $347k).
  • Recommended offer: $305k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#113 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Ennis K-12 Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #28 of 116 in MT (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 253 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $97k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 1291 days — a 12% lower offer ($305k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $305,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 1291 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.94%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,193,091
List price
$347,000
Delta
-70.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

8.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.2%
Equity multiple
3.14×
Total profit
$207,828
Equity at exit
$272,334
10-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
6.79×
Total profit
$562,221
Equity at exit
$549,106

Cash invested: $97,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Montana
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

ZIP-level market 59716

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,642 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,820
Tax est. 1.5%
$434 /mo · $5,205/yr
Insurance
$145
HOA
$384
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$975
Net cashflow
$885

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,522
Max offer price $347,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,750
Closing costs
$10,410
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$384 · $4,608/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $347,000 Active 1291 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $347,000 Active 1290 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $347,000 Active 1289 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $347,000 Active 1288 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $347,000 Active 1287 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $347,000 Active 1285 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $347,000 Active 1284 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $347,000 Active 1281 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $347,000 Active 1280 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $347,000 Active 1279 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $347,000 Active 1274 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $347,000 Active 1273 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $347,000 Active 1272 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $347,000 Active 1271 DOM
  15. 2023-01-02
    price $347,000
  16. 2022-01-30
    listed $329,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$55,708
− Mortgage interest
−$19,437
− Property taxes
−$5,205
− Insurance
−$1,735
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,457
− Management
−$4,457
− HOA
−$4,608
− Depreciation
−$10,095
Taxable income
$5,715
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,372
After-tax cash flow
$9,253/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This property is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers high-end finishes and a prime location, making it a great investment for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Update flooring to high-end material — Enhances aesthetic and value
  • Both Paint interior walls with a fresh coat — Enhances aesthetic and value
  • Both Upgrade HVAC system for energy efficiency — Reduces utility costs and enhances comfort

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Update flooring to high-end material — Enhances aesthetic and value
  • Both Paint interior walls with a fresh coat — Enhances aesthetic and value
  • Both Upgrade HVAC system for energy efficiency — Reduces utility costs and enhances comfort

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ennis K-12 Schools
NCES district ID
3009930
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$47,407
Composite
42.07/100
National rank
#3323
State rank
#28 of 116 in MT

Livability — Big Sky

Score
66/100
State rank
#113
US rank
#11337

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Big Sky, MT
City population
1,867
Population (ZIP)
1,867

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,365 people
By 2030
8,515 · +1.8%
By 2040
8,539 · +2.1%
By 2050
8,467 · +1.2%
By 2075
8,745 · +4.5%
By 2100
9,210 · +10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Iranian 4% Serbian 4%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.3) · D 26.1% · R 71.4% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -37.1pp · 2024: -45.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.3 2020: R+39.6 2016: R+44.7 2012: R+40.6 2008: R+37.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.37%
Current HPI
308.041
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.41%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2023-01-02 Price Changed $347,000 BSCMLS
  • 2022-01-30 Listed $329,000 BSCMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…