48 Big Sky Resort Rd #222 · Big Sky, MT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 10 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$347,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- $384 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 2005
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located at the base of the Big Sky Ski & Summer Resort; Subdivision: Lone Peak Center Condo
- HOA & community: Homeowners association; Annual association fee (annually) covering insurance, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, snow removal and trash; Association amenities: pool, fitness center, laundry, ski access, sauna, spa/hot tub, trails
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Fire sprinkler system; Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: Condominium; One level; Faces south
- Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Balcony; Association pool; South-facing view; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Flooring: Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Baseboard heating; Radiant floor heating
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings; Gas fireplace; Therapeutic whirlpool
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in association building
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $347k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $885 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $347k).
- Recommended offer: $305k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#113 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Ennis K-12 Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #28 of 116 in MT (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 253 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $97k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 1291 days — a 12% lower offer ($305k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 1291 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.94%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,193,091
- List price
- $347,000
- Delta
- -70.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
8.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $207,828
- Equity at exit
- $272,334
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.79×
- Total profit
- $562,221
- Equity at exit
- $549,106
Cash invested: $97,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59716
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 253
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,642 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,820
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$434 /mo · $5,205/yr
- Insurance
- −$145
- HOA
- −$384
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$975
- Net cashflow
- $885
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,750
- Closing costs
- $10,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $384 · $4,608/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $347,000 Active 1291 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $347,000 Active 1290 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $347,000 Active 1289 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $347,000 Active 1288 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $347,000 Active 1287 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $347,000 Active 1285 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $347,000 Active 1284 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $347,000 Active 1281 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $347,000 Active 1280 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $347,000 Active 1279 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $347,000 Active 1274 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $347,000 Active 1273 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $347,000 Active 1272 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $347,000 Active 1271 DOM
-
2023-01-02price $347,000
-
2022-01-30$329,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Heat 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,437
- − Property taxes
- −$5,205
- − Insurance
- −$1,735
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,457
- − Management
- −$4,457
- − HOA
- −$4,608
- − Depreciation
- −$10,095
- Taxable income
- $5,715
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,372
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,253/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers high-end finishes and a prime location, making it a great investment for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Update flooring to high-end material — Enhances aesthetic and value
- Both Paint interior walls with a fresh coat — Enhances aesthetic and value
- Both Upgrade HVAC system for energy efficiency — Reduces utility costs and enhances comfort
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Update flooring to high-end material — Enhances aesthetic and value ↑
- Both Paint interior walls with a fresh coat — Enhances aesthetic and value ↑
- Both Upgrade HVAC system for energy efficiency — Reduces utility costs and enhances comfort ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ennis K-12 Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3009930
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,407
- Composite
- 42.07/100
- National rank
- #3323
- State rank
- #28 of 116 in MT
Livability — Big Sky
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #11337
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Big Sky, MT
- City population
- 1,867
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,867
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,365 people
- By 2030
- 8,515 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 8,539 · +2.1%
- By 2050
- 8,467 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 8,745 · +4.5%
- By 2100
- 9,210 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Iranian 4% Serbian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.3) · D 26.1% · R 71.4% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -37.1pp · 2024: -45.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.3 2020: R+39.6 2016: R+44.7 2012: R+40.6 2008: R+37.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.37%
- Current HPI
- 308.041
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+5.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2023-01-02 Price Changed $347,000 BSCMLS
- 2022-01-30 Listed $329,000 BSCMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…