4881 Victoria Ave · Bee Ridge, FL 34233

$135,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 520 sqft · Manufactured public records · 78 Days on market

Built 1966 7,177 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.1/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.4/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. Mobile Home, Prime Sarasota Location land owned 0.16 Acres, NO HOA, NO CDD. Excellent investment opportunity on Victoria Ave in Sarasota 34233. This 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home sits on a 0.16-acre lot. The home features a functional layout plus a laundry room and additional storage area at the rear of the property. Property needs some TLC, offering great value-add potential for investors looking to renovate, increase rents, or redevelop in the future. Prime central location: Minutes to Proctor Rd, Close to shopping and dining, Short drive to Downtown Sarasota, Quick access to I-75, On the same street as Ashton Elementary School, Zoned residential (

Key facts

• No cdd
• Laundry room
• Functional layout

Tags

• INCOME PRODUCING MOBILE HOME
• LAND OWNED 0.16 ACRES
• NO HOA
• NO CDD
• FUNCTIONAL LAYOUT
• LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water available
• Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One story; Faces west
• Construction: Metal siding; Other roof type
• Exterior features: Storage

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: No central heating; Mini-split cooling unit(s)
• Interior features: Open floorplan
• Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
• Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#370 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Ashton Elementary School (math 89% / reading 87%, grade A+, #18 of 2,144 statewide, top 1%, 1,046 students, 28% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 88% at this address vs 63% district-wide (+25 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Sarasota average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $23k; list at $135k implies a 487% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $126,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.31% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.79%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.05%
• DSCR: 1.71
• GRM: 6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 3.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.14×
• Total profit: $5,159
• Equity at exit: $20,129

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.69×
• Total profit: $25,976
• Equity at exit: $11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34233

• Rents YoY: -1.4%
• Active inventory: 159
• Price-to-rent: 6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,765 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$708
• Tax from tax record: −$124 /mo · $1,490/yr
• Insurance: −$56
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$371
• Net cashflow: $506

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,125

Max offer price $135,000

Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $33,750
• Closing costs: $4,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-05-15
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-03
   status Active
3. 2026-03-30
   historical
4. 2026-02-22
   listed $135,000 Active
5. 1998-07-16
   soldstatus $23,000
6. 1977-01-01
   soldstatus $5,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,490 · $124/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,490 · $124/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,176
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,562
• − Property taxes: −$1,490
• − Insurance: −$675
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,694
• − Management: −$1,694
• − Depreciation: −$3,927
• Taxable income: $4,133
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$992
• After-tax cash flow: $5,076/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sarasota
• NCES district ID: 1201680
• Math proficiency: 63% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 63% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $51,167
• Composite: 53.68/100
• National rank: #1428
• State rank: #7 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bee Ridge

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #370
• US rank: #6494

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Bee Ridge, FL
• County: Sarasota County · 448,376 people
• City population: 18,875
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 19,123
• Household income: $75,394
• Rent vs Own: 25.3% rent · 74.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 653.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 452,380 people
• By 2030: 474,175 · +4.8%
• By 2040: 511,577 · +13.1%
• By 2050: 541,467 · +19.7%
• By 2075: 604,947 · +33.7%
• By 2100: 621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (78%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 78% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 15% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

• 2024 margin: R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -281.79%
• Current HPI: 258.6836
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.35%
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+2354.5% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-03 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-22 Listed $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1998-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
• 1977-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,490 · +43.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.