255 E Bradley Ave #3 · Bostonia, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Just listed!!! Come see this spacious and clean 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home in a great family-friendly park. This home features an open layout with laminate and tile floors throughout, a spacious kitchen with newer appliances, and comfortable living areas. The primary suite offers plenty of space with a walk-in closet and a private bath. The additional two bedrooms are perfect for family or guests. Home includes inside laundry, outside storage shed, private, low-maintenance backyard area, and carport parking for up to three vehicles. Enjoy everything that the community amenities offer including a clubhouse, pool, and playground for kids and dogs. Conveniently located near schools, s
Key facts
- 9.64 acre lot
- 3 parking spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area and lot size sourced from assessor's data; Parcel number available
- HOA & community: Land lease: $1,735; Park name: Villa Cajon Mobile Home Estates; Community features: Suburban
Exterior
- Parking: 3 parking spaces; 3 carport spaces
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home (23' x 46'); Single-story; Mobile home remains on property; Located in a suburban community (Villa Cajon Mobile Home Estates)
- Construction: Double-wide mobile home
- Exterior features: In-ground community pool; One shed on property; Has a view; Lot described as 0-1 Unit/Acre
Interior
- Bedrooms: Manager approval required (for residency); Pets allowed
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric cooling
- Interior features: Front entry door; One-level layout; Recreation room; Has cooling (electric)
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry; Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Dryer included; See remarks for additional laundry details
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $920 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $174k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 6.0% in Bostonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#383 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Grossmont Union High (suburban): math 31% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #173 of 517 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.31%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $143,640
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255 E Bradley Ave Spc 116 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-4%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $173 | 88 |
| 351 E Bradley Ave Spc 164 | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+2%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $150 | 84 |
| 351 E Bradley Ave Spc 109 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-2%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $133 | 77 |
| 255 E Bradley Ave #119 | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 | 950 (-12%) | 4mo | $121,000 | $127 | 73 |
| 351 E Bradley Ave #78 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,136 (+5%) | 17mo | $130,000 | $114 | 68 |
| 450 E Bradley Ave #121 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,088 (+1%) | 14mo | $124,900 | $115 | 67 |
| 351 E Bradley Ave Spc 125 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-11%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $156 | 66 |
| 255 E Bradley Ave #13 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-11%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $172 | 65 |
| 400 Greenfield Dr #138 | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+7%) | 15mo | $145,000 | $126 | 64 |
| 351 E Bradley Ave #45 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-11%) | 15mo | $135,000 | $141 | 60 |
| 400 Greenfield, Dr, space 114 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,227 (+14%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $126 | 58 |
| 400 Greenfield Dr Spc 123 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-11%) | 11mo | $107,000 | $111 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $21,015
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $64,356
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92021
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 238
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,573 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $784/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$540
- Net cashflow
- $920
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $2,350 | $3.05 | 1d | 13 | 0.22mi |
| 310 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 664 | $2,050 | $3.09 | 1d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1521 Graves Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 730 | $2,632 | $3.61 | 1d | 7 | 0.29mi |
| 1237 Graves Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $2,565 | $3.31 | 1d | 13 | 0.29mi |
| 360 E Bradley Ave El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $2,934 | $2.63 | 1d | 3 | 0.30mi |
| 1261 Victor Ave Unit 9 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 810 | $2,195 | $2.71 | 1d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 745 E Bradley Ave Unit 46 El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $2,298 | $2.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1294 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,128 | $2.84 | 1d | 8 | 0.47mi |
| 1696 Buckeye Dr El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $2,900 | $3.08 | 1d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1219 Denver Ln Unit 1465013P El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1194 | $8,558 | $7.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1430 Diamond Ln El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 863 | $2,695 | $3.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 375 Broadway El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,800 | $2.00 | 1d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1314 5 D Dr Unit 1318 El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,600 | $2.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1005 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,195 | $2.93 | 1d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 359 Cascade Rd El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $2,875 | $3.76 | 7d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 716 Ballantyne St Unit 12 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 700 Ballantyne St El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,150 | $2.53 | 1d | 5 | 0.87mi |
| 989 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $2,622 | $3.10 | 1d | 11 | 0.91mi |
| 798 McClure St Unit 14 El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $2,295 | $2.51 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1019 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $2,161 | $3.09 | 1d | 8 | 0.96mi |
| 1038 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,978 | $2.33 | 1d | 4 | 0.97mi |
| 1050 Peach Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $3,460 | $4.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 205 Beech St El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $2,480 | $2.92 | 1d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 390 E Madison Ave Unit E El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1034 | $2,300 | $2.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1221 Oro St El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $2,575 | $2.52 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 534 Jeffree St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $3,895 | $3.48 | 10d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 534 Jeffree St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $3,895 | $3.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 303 E Madison Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,995 | $2.28 | 1d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 455 Ballantyne St El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $2,195 | $2.37 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 505 E Madison Ave #89 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $2,350 | $2.41 | 2d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 453 Graves Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $2,150 | $2.56 | 1d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 545 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,028 | $2.90 | 1d | 11 | 1.18mi |
| 545 N Mollison Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,000 | $2.86 | 7d | 9 | 1.18mi |
| 458 Ballantyne St Unit 15 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $2,100 | $2.76 | 1d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 589 N Johnson Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 889 | $2,150 | $2.42 | 1d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8729 Graves Ave Santee, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $2,385 | $3.17 | 1d | 8 | 1.19mi |
| 917 E Madison Ave El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,195 | $2.93 | 1d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1171 Marline Ave Unit 1171-A El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1141 | $3,100 | $2.72 | 1d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 816 Oro St El Cajon, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1235 | $3,400 | $2.75 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 432 Dominguez Way Unit 13 El Cajon, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $2,195 | $2.31 | 20d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $185,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $185,000
-
2026-03-30$189,000 Active
-
2024-10-09historical
-
2024-10-02$190,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $784 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,406 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$622/yr (+$52/mo · 79.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,875
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$784
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,470
- − Management
- −$2,470
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $8,481
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,035
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,005/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grossmont Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0616230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,801
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3810
- State rank
- #173 of 517 in CA
Livability — Bostonia
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #383
- US rank
- #13065
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bostonia, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 70,501
- Household income
- $74,013
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4178.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Black 6% Asian 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 7% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -654.88%
- Current HPI
- 335.0617
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.83%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
-2.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $185,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $189,000 CRMLS
- 2024-10-09 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-10-02 Listed $190,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2013): $784 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…