🏷️ Likely Rental
3702 S Polk St · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This duplex is 1/2 leased out until Aug 2026. Attention Investors! Income producing property in Gables Addition. 1 bedroom 1 bath duplex, rents for $660 each side Each side has hardwood floors, washer/dryer connections Please DO NOT bother tenant! We must have 24 hours notice. Owner/Agent.
Key facts
- Hardwood floors
- Garage
- Built 1926
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.64%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $193,692
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -53.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $21,492
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.13×
- Total profit
- $78,897
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79110
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,409 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,287/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $496
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3205 S Tyler St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1381 | $1,475 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3703 S Monroe St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 20d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3813 S Washington St Unit B Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,050 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4205 S Tyler St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $925 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4308 S Jackson St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1302 | $1,490 | $1.14 | 20d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4316 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1356 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 608 Lochridge Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $1,900 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4108 Crockett St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1373 | $1,525 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4620 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,475 | $1.42 | 20d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4615 S Lipscomb St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,000 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 307 Mikeska St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 20d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2103 Parker St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $2,300 | $1.76 | 20d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2104 S Travis St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 20d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4623 Crockett St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,100 | $1.53 | 20d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2030 Crockett St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1307 | $1,750 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4418 Ross St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $1,750 | $1.26 | 20d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 159 DOM
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2026-01-31status Active 292-char remark
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
This duplex is 1/2 leased out until Aug 2026. Attention Investors! Income producing property in Gables Addition. 1 bedroom 1 bath duplex, rents for $660 each side Each side has hardwood floors, washer/dryer connections Please DO NOT bother tenant! We must have 24 hours notice. Owner/Agent.
-
2026-01-21historical Active Under Contract 292-char remark
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
This duplex is 1/2 leased out until Aug 2026. Attention Investors! Income producing property in Gables Addition. 1 bedroom 1 bath duplex, rents for $660 each side Each side has hardwood floors, washer/dryer connections Please DO NOT bother tenant! We must have 24 hours notice. Owner/Agent.
-
2025-12-22$90,000 Active 292-char remark
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
This duplex is 1/2 leased out until Aug 2026. Attention Investors! Income producing property in Gables Addition. 1 bedroom 1 bath duplex, rents for $660 each side Each side has hardwood floors, washer/dryer connections Please DO NOT bother tenant! We must have 24 hours notice. Owner/Agent.
-
2022-08-29price $650
-
2011-12-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,287 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,647 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$360/yr (+$30/mo · 28.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,908
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,287
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,353
- − Management
- −$1,353
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $4,806
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,154
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,803/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- County
- Randall County · 137,351 people
- City population
- 185,802
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,994
- Household income
- $66,683
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 208.0
Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,140 people
- By 2030
- 163,107 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 184,999 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 206,948 · +36.0%
- By 2075
- 260,204 · +71.0%
- By 2100
- 294,980 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 13% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.16%
- Current HPI
- 180.2164
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.04%
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-31 Relisted — AARMLS
- 2026-01-21 Contingent — AARMLS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $90,000 AARMLS
- 2022-08-29 Price Changed $650 RENT.
- 2011-12-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,287 · -6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…