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128 W 41st Ave
B- Composite 66.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

128 W 41st Ave · Gary, IN 46408
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 957 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1925 4,138 sqft lot $57/sqft · 87% above area ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity knocks with this solid brick home ready for your personal touch! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property is perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to create their dream space from the ground up.

Key facts

  • 4,138 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1925

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $53,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.25%
Cap rate
19.32%
Cash-on-cash
46.53%
DSCR
3.07
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$29,430
List price
$55,000
Delta
86.89%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4016 Connecticut St 0.23mi 2/1.0 920 (-4%) 4mo $25,000 $27 79
4217 Massachusetts St 0.25mi 2/1.0 840 (-12%) 1mo $28,000 $33 67
4115 Fillmore St 0.57mi 2/1.0 950 (-1%) 6mo $51,000 $54 67
4019 Pennsylvania St 0.32mi 2/— 856 (-11%) 4mo $36,500 $43 64
4217 Maryland St 0.47mi 2/1.0 864 (-10%) 3mo $49,900 $58 60
3980 Tyler St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,042 (+9%) 5mo $128,000 $123 53
4341 Maryland St 0.54mi 2/1.0 864 (-10%) 7mo $59,000 $68 53
3724 Tyler St 0.67mi 2/1.0 870 (-9%) 4mo $48,000 $55 50
4181 Fillmore St 0.58mi 2/1.0 1,080 (+13%) 3mo $22,000 $20 49
4525 Tyler St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 875 (-9%) 1mo $136,000 $155 47
3540 Pennsylvania St 0.73mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,035 (+8%) 3mo $68,000 $66 43
3737 Fillmore St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+13%) 5mo $175,500 $163 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.8%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$29,139
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
49.8%
Equity multiple
5.83×
Total profit
$74,423
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46408

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,237 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$597

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $635 -5% $616 +0% $597 +5% $578 +10% $559
Rent -10% $499 -5% $548 +0% $597 +5% $646 +10% $695
Rate -1.0pp $625 -0.5pp $611 base $597 +0.5pp $583 +1.0pp $568

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4327 Monroe St Unit 1st front Gary, IN 1.0 1.0 600 $1,095 $1.82 0d 1 0.35mi
4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 5d 1 0.49mi
4018 Tyler St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 880 $1,350 $1.53 0d 1 0.51mi
624 W 44th Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 836 $1,250 $1.50 9d 1 0.53mi
4040 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 12d 1 0.63mi
4170 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $950 $1.32 21d 1 0.63mi
3708 Harrison St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 904 $1,400 $1.55 4d 1 0.66mi
4364 Buchanan St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 0d 1 0.81mi
4748 Monroe St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,695 $1.58 0d 1 0.85mi
3777 Lincoln St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,150 $1.44 1d 1 0.89mi
4816 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,350 $1.32 17d 1 0.91mi
1005 W 35th Ave Apt 202 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 617 $795 $1.29 3d 1 0.92mi
1005 W 35th Ave Apt 105 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 601 $795 $1.32 20d 1 0.92mi
1015 W 35th Ave Apt 206 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 601 $795 $1.32 46d 1 0.94mi
816 E 35th Ct Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 810 $1,050 $1.30 0d 1 0.95mi
801 E 32nd Ave Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 0d 1 1.23mi
5001 Carolina St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,350 $1.54 4d 1 1.27mi
4905 Kentucky St Unit 4901 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 950 $1,525 $1.61 26d 1 1.30mi
4974 Tennessee St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,175 $1.07 21d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    status $55,000 Pending 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-05-13
    price $55,000 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    Opportunity knocks with this solid brick home ready for your personal touch! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property is perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to create their dream space from the ground up.

  7. 2026-05-08
    status Active 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    Opportunity knocks with this solid brick home ready for your personal touch! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property is perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to create their dream space from the ground up.

  8. 2026-04-07
    status Pending 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    Opportunity knocks with this solid brick home ready for your personal touch! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property is perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to create their dream space from the ground up.

  9. 2026-04-01
    listed $65,000 Active 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    Opportunity knocks with this solid brick home ready for your personal touch! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property is perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to create their dream space from the ground up.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,844
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,188
− Management
−$1,188
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$6,688
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,605
After-tax cash flow
$5,561/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
15,747
Household income
$47,453
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
619.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 41% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.08%
Current HPI
155.6238
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $55,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $65,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2019): $105 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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