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5220 Fagan St
B+ Composite 76.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0

$82,000

5220 Fagan St · Chattanooga, TN 37410
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 744 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 112 Days on market
Built 1955 Poor condition 9,147 sqft lot $110/sqft · 42% below area Est $141k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home needs a little TLC, but has great potential and is priced to sell! All one level living with mostly hardwood flooring inside. This home will make the perfect addition to your investment portfolio or a nice place to call home. Outside there is a covered porch, nice level yard, outbuilding, and driveway with carport for parking. Schedule a tour today!

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Covered porch
  • Level yard

Tags

ONE LEVEL LIVINGHARDWOOD FLOORINGCOVERED PORCHLEVEL YARDOUTBUILDINGDRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.5% in Chattanooga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Lake Elementary (math 12% / reading 6%, grade F, #839 of 952 statewide, top 88%, 590 students, 0% FRL); East Lake Academy of Fine Arts (math 4% / reading 6%, grade F, #295 of 333 statewide, top 91%, 528 students, 0% FRL); The Howard School (math 3% / reading 8%, grade F, #309 of 332 statewide, top 93%, 1,485 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 6% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hamilton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($567 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
  • Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,620 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
11.39%
Cash-on-cash
18.20%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$140,617
List price
$82,000
Delta
-41.69%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
529 E 52nd St 0.13mi 2/1.0 792 (+6%) 5mo $130,000 $164 79
5241 Lomnick St 0.07mi 2/1.0 816 (+10%) 3mo $75,000 $92 78
5236 Lomnick St 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 792 (+6%) 7mo $125,000 $158 75
5201 Tanner St 0.16mi 2/1.0 792 (+6%) 10mo $80,000 $101 74
5231 Usher Dr 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 792 (+6%) 13mo $149,900 $189 70
5228 Slayton Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 804 (+8%) 4mo $80,000 $100 69
425 E 52nd St E 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 828 (+11%) 9mo $100,000 $121 64
22 W 51st St 0.39mi 2/1.0 750 (+1%) 20mo $110,000 $147 64
38 W 51st St 0.45mi 2/1.0 800 (+8%) 4mo $195,000 $244 63
5233 Dorsey St 0.20mi 2/1.0 800 (+8%) 20mo $205,000 $256 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.33% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$25,032
Equity at exit
$29,426
10-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
3.93×
Total profit
$67,312
Equity at exit
$40,237

Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
6 active · 5 under contract
Months of supply
5.1 mo (19%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$111,948 ($128/sqft)
Median days on market
351 d
This list price
50% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+47.2% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 37410

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
104
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,060 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$430
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $296/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $619
Max offer price $82,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $395 -5% $372 +0% $348 +5% $325 +10% $302
Rent -10% $265 -5% $306 +0% $348 +5% $390 +10% $432
Rate -1.0pp $390 -0.5pp $369 base $348 +0.5pp $327 +1.0pp $305

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,500
Closing costs
$2,460
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1205 W 50th St Unit 2 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 600 $995 $1.66 6d 1 0.64mi
1209 W 50th St Unit 6 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 524 $895 $1.71 119d 1 0.66mi
4914 Tennessee Ave Unit 3 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 532 $950 $1.79 6d 1 0.69mi
5113 Tennessee Ave Unit 58 Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 119d 1 0.71mi
4521 Balcomb St Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 534 $1,050 $1.97 119d 1 0.89mi
706 W 47th St Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.0 680 $825 $1.21 119d 1 0.92mi
3716 Central Ave Unit 102 Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.0 750 $1,249 $1.67 6d 1 1.21mi
3627 Dorris St Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.0 714 $1,200 $1.68 6d 1 1.27mi
714 Henderson Ave Rossville, GA 2.0 1.0 735 $1,099 $1.50 6d 1 1.30mi
3605 Dorris St Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.0 700 $825 $1.18 119d 1 1.32mi
3603 Dorris St Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.0 700 $795 $1.14 6d 1 1.32mi
3603 Dorris St Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.0 700 $825 $1.18 119d 1 1.32mi
1707 E 50th St Unit B Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.0 560 $850 $1.52 6d 1 1.49mi
1707 E 50th St Unit A Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 560 $800 $1.43 6d 1 1.49mi
1709 E 50th St Chattanooga, TN 1.0 1.0 526 $900 $1.71 6d 1 1.50mi

Property features AI

Exterior

Parking
Detached parkingConcrete drivewayOn-street parkingCarport (1 space)1 covered parking space (total 1)
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerElectricity availableWater available
Home design
Residential propertyThree or more levelsEntry level information not providedFacing direction not provided
Construction
Other construction materialsMetal roofBlock foundationBuilt (existing)
Exterior features
Back yard fencingLevel lotOther lot features

Interior

Kitchen
RefrigeratorElectric rangeElectric oven
Bedrooms
2 bedrooms
Flooring
Wood flooringLaminate flooring
Bathrooms
1 full bathroom
Heating & cooling
Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning (electric)
Interior features
RefrigeratorElectric rangeElectric oven

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    days on market $82,000 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $82,000 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $82,000 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $82,000 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-09-18
    days on market $82,000 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-09-17
    days on market $82,000 Active 106 DOM
  7. 2026-09-16
    days on market $82,000 Active 105 DOM
  8. 2026-09-15
    days on market $82,000 Active 104 DOM
  9. 2026-09-14
    days on market $82,000 Active 103 DOM
  10. 2026-09-13
    days on market $82,000 Active 102 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $82,000 Active 101 DOM
  12. 2026-09-11
    days on market $82,000 Active 100 DOM
  13. 2026-09-05
    days on market $82,000 Active 94 DOM
  14. 2026-09-04
    days on market $82,000 Active 93 DOM
  15. 2026-09-03
    days on market $82,000 Active 92 DOM
  16. 2026-08-31
    days on market $82,000 Active 89 DOM
  17. 2026-08-30
    days on market $82,000 Active 88 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $82,000 Active 87 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $82,000 Active 86 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $82,000 Active 85 DOM
  21. 2026-08-25
    days on market $82,000 Active 83 DOM
  22. 2026-08-24
    days on market $82,000 Active 82 DOM
  23. 2026-08-23
    days on market $82,000 Active 81 DOM
  24. 2026-08-22
    days on market $82,000 Active 80 DOM
  25. 2026-08-21
    days on market $82,000 Active 79 DOM
  26. 2026-08-20
    days on market $82,000 Active 78 DOM
  27. 2026-08-19
    days on market $82,000 Active 77 DOM
  28. 2026-08-18
    days on market $82,000 Active 76 DOM
  29. 2026-08-17
    days on market $82,000 Active 75 DOM
  30. 2026-08-16
    days on market $82,000 Active 74 DOM
  31. 2026-08-15
    days on market $82,000 Active 73 DOM
  32. 2026-08-14
    days on market $82,000 Active 72 DOM
  33. 2026-08-13
    days on market $82,000 Active 71 DOM
  34. 2026-08-12
    days on market $82,000 Active 70 DOM
  35. 2026-08-12
    status $82,000 Active 69 DOM
  36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $82,000 Active Under Contract 69 DOM
  37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $82,000 Active Under Contract 68 DOM
  38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $82,000 Active Under Contract 67 DOM
  39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $82,000 Active Under Contract 66 DOM
  40. 2026-08-07
    days on market $82,000 Active Under Contract 65 DOM
  41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $82,000 Active Under Contract 64 DOM
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $82,000 Active Under Contract 63 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $82,000 Active Under Contract 62 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $82,000 Active Under Contract 61 DOM
  45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $82,000 Active Under Contract 58 DOM
  46. 2026-07-29
    statusdays on market $82,000 Active Under Contract 56 DOM
  47. 2026-07-27
    days on market $82,000 Active 54 DOM
  48. 2026-07-25
    days on market $82,000 Active 52 DOM
  49. 2026-07-24
    days on market $82,000 Active 51 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $82,000 Active 50 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$296 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$582 · $49/mo
Expected delta
+$286/yr (+$24/mo · 96.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,716
− Mortgage interest
−$4,593
− Property taxes
−$296
− Insurance
−$410
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,017
− Management
−$1,017
− Depreciation
−$2,385
Taxable income
$2,997
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$719
After-tax cash flow
$3,460/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab Est. rehab $37,200–$66,960 screening

This home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, siding, and flooring, to become move-in ready. Significant value can be added through these improvements, making it a great investment opportunity.

Components & finishes AI

Roof metal · aged

Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof) — Significant rust and deterioration visible
  • Major Windows (windows) — Windows appear to be old and possibly not sealed properly
  • Major Electrical (electrical) — Exposed wiring and potential for outdated or unsafe electrical system
  • Major Exterior (exterior) — Peeling paint and general wear on exterior siding
  • Major Other — General state of disrepair and lack of maintenance

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Severe damage and missing shingles
  • Major exterior siding — Peeling paint and siding
  • Major flooring — Worn hardwood flooring
  • Major interior walls — Painted walls with visible damage
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown and debris
  • Major fencing — In poor condition

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New roof — Critical safety and aesthetic improvement
  • Both New siding and paint — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both New flooring — Improves living space and value
  • Both Interior wall repairs and paint — Enhances interior and value
  • Both Landscaping and debris removal — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Repair fencing — Enhances safety and value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 6/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Calvin Donaldson Environmental Science Academy F TN #848/952 Nat'l #39,883/41,679 Middle East Lake Academy Of Fine Arts F TN #295/333 Nat'l #13,819/14,009 High The Howard School F TN #309/332 Nat'l #16,860/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamilton County
NCES district ID
4701590
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,456
Composite
26.8/100
National rank
#7122
State rank
#42 of 139 in TN
B Composite livability gradescore 78/100

Livability — Chattanooga

Score
78/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#2582

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chattanooga, TN
County
Hamilton County · 393,784 people
City population
131,999
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
Population (ZIP)
4,129
Household income
$28,708
Rent vs Own
79.9% rent · 20.1% own
Severe rent burden
2% of renters

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
393,784 people
By 2030
412,983 · +4.9%
By 2040
449,502 · +14.1%
By 2050
484,341 · +23.0%
By 2075
565,746 · +43.7%
By 2100
618,394 · +57.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 81% Two or more races 10% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-0.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $89,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $89,000 GCAR
  • 2026-02-27 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $89,625 GCAR
  • 2025-11-12 Price Changed $99,500 GCAR
  • 2025-10-14 Listed $89,625 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $296 · +43.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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