29 N Florida Ave · Atlantic City, NJ
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.57%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cozy 2-bedroom home with 860 sq ft, located just minutes from the beach. Ideal for investment or personal use, move-in ready and easy to maintain.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 14 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.7% in Atlantic City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#525 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A; Watch: commute D, crime F, amenities F.
- Atlantic City School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #454 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Texas Avenue School (math 10% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,303 statewide, top 81%, 498 students, 96% FRL); Atlantic City High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #346 of 399 statewide, top 88%, 1,764 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools at 88% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 491 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,132/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 3414% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $130k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.43%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $311,582
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 N Ohio Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,773 (-6%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $102 | 40 |
| 620 N Indiana Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,600 (-15%) | 20mo | $266,000 | $166 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-4,733
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $34,868
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08401
- Home prices YoY
- -7.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 491
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,132 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$359 /mo · $4,303/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$448
- Net cashflow
- $163
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $237 | -5% $200 | +0% $163 | +5% $126 | +10% $89 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-5 | -5% $79 | +0% $163 | +5% $247 | +10% $331 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $228 | -0.5pp $196 | base $163 | +0.5pp $129 | +1.0pp $95 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2402 Auburn Ter Unit B Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1893 | $2,000 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.00mi |
| 1916 Magellan Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1478 | $1,850 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 326 N Tennessee Ave Unit 2 Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1815 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3809 Ventnor Ave #6 Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3914 South Blvd Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $3,400 | $2.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 36 Chelsea Ct Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $3,300 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 848 Pacific Ave Unit 1014254P Atlantic City, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1243 | $2,413 | $1.94 | 14d | 2 | 1.26mi |
| 100 S Berkley Sq Unit 4H Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $3,200 | $2.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-12$130,000 Active 146-char remark
-
2024-11-08historical $1,550
-
2024-10-01$1,550
-
1992-04-03soldstatus $61,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,303 · $359/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,303 · $359/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 57% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$4,303
- − Insurance
- −$5,768
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,046
- − Management
- −$2,046
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $351
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$84
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,871/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlantic City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3400960
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,842
- Composite
- 13.66/100
- National rank
- #9504
- State rank
- #454 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Atlantic City
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #525
- US rank
- #23095
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atlantic City, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- City population
- 38,925
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,925
- Household income
- $41,126
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3414.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 32% Asian 16% White 16% Two or more races 11% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 8% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.82%
- Current HPI
- 353.7827
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.52%
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
-97.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2024-11-08 Rental Removed $1,550 BRIGHTMLS
- 2024-10-01 Listed for Rent $1,550 BRIGHTMLS
- 1992-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,303 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…