60 Manchester Rd · Rock Hill, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +3.7/30.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.5/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$419,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully appointed raised ranch offering 2,273 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, perfectly blending comfort, efficiency, and natural charm. This spacious home features 4 bedrooms, with the flexibility of a dedicated office or optional additional bedroom ideal for today’s work from home lifestyle. The inviting living room centers around a cozy wood burning fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere, while recessed lighting and tubular skylights enhance the home with abundant natural light. Entertain with ease in the formal dining room or gather in the large eat in kitchen; designed for both everyday living and special occasions. Additionally, there are two tile bathrooms, including one with a garden tub, and a touch of elegance with six panel wood doors throughout the home. The lower level offers a generous family room, expanding your living in entertaining space. This home is as efficient as it is beautiful, featuring owned -Tesla 8.16-kilowatt solar panels paired with two 13-kilowatt Powerwall batteries delivering energy savings and backup power for peace of mind. Additional highlights include a 5-zone heating system and central air conditioning for year-round comfort. Situated on a rare double lot, this property offers exceptional privacy, a wide driveway with ample parking, two car garage, and is professionally landscaped for low maintenance living. Have your morning coffee and entertain on a 12 by 31 foot rear deck adjacent to a babbling brook, - a peaceful retreat in your own backyard. Conveniently located to shopping, Resorts World Catskills Casino, Cartwright Resort and Water Park, Holiday Mountain Ski Area and the Bethel Wood Center for the Arts. Only 90 minutes to NYC. A great investment property that can be used for an Airbnb. A rare combination of space, upgrades, and sustainability, this home is truly a must see.
Key facts
- Powerwall batteries
- Six panel wood doors
- Recessed lighting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $419k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (52.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (45.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $201k (52.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#478 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Monticello Central School District (town): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #577 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Emma C Chase School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 228 students, 57% FRL); Robert J Kaiser Middle School (math 7% / reading 35%, grade F, #661 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 595 students, 66% FRL); Monticello High School (math 82% / reading 34%, grade C, #879 of 1,100 statewide, top 80%, 844 students, 63% FRL).
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$72k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($394k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $419k implies a 831% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 52% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.55% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.65%
- DSCR
- 0.44
- GRM
- 15.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $524,870
- List price
- $419,000
- Delta
- -20.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Stratford Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,578 (+1%) | 12mo | $259,000 | $164 | 85 |
| 25 Crescent Vw | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+3%) | 4mo | $322,000 | $201 | 58 |
| 19 Manchester Rd | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,716 (+10%) | 21mo | $257,500 | $150 | 57 |
| 19 Bristol Cir | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,713 (+10%) | 10mo | $461,500 | $269 | 52 |
| 20 Crescent Vw | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,466 (-6%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $198 | 52 |
| 9 Crescent Cir | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,462 (-6%) | 12mo | $374,900 | $256 | 48 |
| 419 Old Sackett Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,674 (+7%) | 22mo | $360,000 | $215 | 48 |
| 47 Kent St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (-12%) | 18mo | $275,000 | $201 | 47 |
| 249 Lake Louise Marie Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,478 (-5%) | 20mo | $364,000 | $246 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $149,572
- Equity at exit
- $377,468
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.28×
- Total profit
- $502,642
- Equity at exit
- $814,025
Cash invested: $117,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12775
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 15.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,286 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,197
- Tax from tax record
- −$670 /mo · $8,045/yr
- Insurance
- −$175
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$480
- Net cashflow
- $-1,236
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-999 | -5% $-1,118 | +0% $-1,236 | +5% $-1,355 | +10% $-1,474 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,417 | -5% $-1,327 | +0% $-1,236 | +5% $-1,146 | +10% $-1,056 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,025 | -0.5pp $-1,130 | base $-1,236 | +0.5pp $-1,345 | +1.0pp $-1,455 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $104,750
- Closing costs
- $12,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Norfolk Ct Rock Hill, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $2,500 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 182 Rock Hill Dr Rock Hill, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $419,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $419,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $419,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $419,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $419,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $419,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $419,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $419,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $419,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $419,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $419,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $419,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $419,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $419,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $419,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $428,000 1908-char remark
Show marketing remark (1908 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully appointed raised ranch offering 2,273 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, perfectly blending comfort, efficiency, and natural charm. This spacious home features 4 bedrooms, with the flexibility of a dedicated office or optional additional bedroom ideal for today’s work from home lifestyle. The inviting living room centers around a cozy wood burning fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere, while recessed lighting and tubular skylights enhance the home with abundant natural light. Entertain with ease in the formal dining room or gather in the large eat in kitchen; designed for both everyday living and special occasions. Additionally, there are two tile bathrooms, including one with a garden tub, and a touch of elegance with six panel wood doors throughout the home. The lower level offers a generous family room, expanding your living in entertaining space. This home is as efficient as it is beautiful, featuring owned -Tesla 8.16-kilowatt solar panels paired with two 13-kilowatt Powerwall batteries delivering energy savings and backup power for peace of mind. Additional highlights include a 5-zone heating system and central air conditioning for year-round comfort. Situated on a rare double lot, this property offers exceptional privacy, a wide driveway with ample parking, two car garage, and is professionally landscaped for low maintenance living. Have your morning coffee and entertain on a 12 by 31 foot rear deck adjacent to a babbling brook, - a peaceful retreat in your own backyard. Conveniently located to shopping, Resorts World Catskills Casino, Cartwright Resort and Water Park, Holiday Mountain Ski Area and the Bethel Wood Center for the Arts. Only 90 minutes to NYC. A great investment property that can be used for an Airbnb. A rare combination of space, upgrades, and sustainability, this home is truly a must see.
-
2026-03-25historical
-
2026-03-25status Active
-
2026-03-25price $438,000
-
2026-03-24$438,000 Active 1908-char remark
Show marketing remark (1908 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully appointed raised ranch offering 2,273 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, perfectly blending comfort, efficiency, and natural charm. This spacious home features 4 bedrooms, with the flexibility of a dedicated office or optional additional bedroom ideal for today’s work from home lifestyle. The inviting living room centers around a cozy wood burning fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere, while recessed lighting and tubular skylights enhance the home with abundant natural light. Entertain with ease in the formal dining room or gather in the large eat in kitchen; designed for both everyday living and special occasions. Additionally, there are two tile bathrooms, including one with a garden tub, and a touch of elegance with six panel wood doors throughout the home. The lower level offers a generous family room, expanding your living in entertaining space. This home is as efficient as it is beautiful, featuring owned -Tesla 8.16-kilowatt solar panels paired with two 13-kilowatt Powerwall batteries delivering energy savings and backup power for peace of mind. Additional highlights include a 5-zone heating system and central air conditioning for year-round comfort. Situated on a rare double lot, this property offers exceptional privacy, a wide driveway with ample parking, two car garage, and is professionally landscaped for low maintenance living. Have your morning coffee and entertain on a 12 by 31 foot rear deck adjacent to a babbling brook, - a peaceful retreat in your own backyard. Conveniently located to shopping, Resorts World Catskills Casino, Cartwright Resort and Water Park, Holiday Mountain Ski Area and the Bethel Wood Center for the Arts. Only 90 minutes to NYC. A great investment property that can be used for an Airbnb. A rare combination of space, upgrades, and sustainability, this home is truly a must see.
-
2025-11-11price $448,000
-
2025-08-14price $449,000
-
2025-08-02$459,000 Active
-
1987-10-30soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,045 · $670/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,045 · $670/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,430
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,471
- − Property taxes
- −$8,045
- − Insurance
- −$2,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,194
- − Management
- −$2,194
- − Depreciation
- −$12,189
- Taxable loss
- −$22,758
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,462
- After-tax cash flow
- $-9,376/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monticello Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3619740
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,696
- Composite
- 25.28/100
- National rank
- #7491
- State rank
- #577 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rock Hill
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #478
- US rank
- #8452
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rock Hill, NY
- City population
- 2,661
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,661
Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,974 people
- By 2030
- 65,609 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 58,878 · -14.6%
- By 2050
- 52,500 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 39,941 · -42.1%
- By 2100
- 28,880 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 9% Black 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 4% Scotch-Irish 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.12%
- Current HPI
- 437.7751
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+851.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $428,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $438,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Listed $438,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $448,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $449,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-02 Listed $459,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1987-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $8,045 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…