619 Chinquapin Dr · Shreveport, LA 71106

$139,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,421 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 86 Days on market

Built 1958 0.32 ac lot $98/sqft · 9% below area Est $153k · 9% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +23.5/30.0
• ARV discount +11.6/15.0
• DSCR +7.6/10.0
• 1% rule +5.1/10.0
• Rent growth +4.4/5.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT BUY FOR THIS LOCATION, GO AND SHOW ON A SUPRA. EASY ACCESS TO MAJOR ROADWAYS, 3 BEDROOMS 2 FULL BATHS. MASTER IS LARGE, NICE DECK OVERLOOKING THE BACKYARD. OUTSIDE STORAGE UNIT. ACCESS TO BACK .

Key facts

• Outside storage unit
• 0.32 acre lot
• 2 parking spots

Tags

• EASY ACCESS TO MAJOR ROADWAYS
• OUTSIDE STORAGE UNIT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $139k).
• Recommended offer: $131k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 485 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $130,659 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.01% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.54%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.03%
• DSCR: 1.36
• GRM: 8.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $152,922
• List price: $139,000
• Delta: -9.10%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 0.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.02×
• Total profit: $701
• Equity at exit: $20,725

10-year hold

• IRR: 13.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.33×
• Total profit: $51,901
• Equity at exit: $12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71106

• Rents YoY: 7.5%
• Active inventory: 485
• Price-to-rent: 8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,409 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$729
• Tax from tax record: −$66 /mo · $794/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$296
• Net cashflow: $260

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,080

Max offer price $139,000

Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $34,750
• Closing costs: $4,170
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
121 Tooke Dr Shreveport, LA	3.0	2.0	1292	$1,250	$0.97	13d	1	1.07mi
8455 Fern Ave Shreveport, LA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	978	$2,229	$2.28	13d	9	1.42mi
7820 Millicent Way Shreveport, LA	2.0	2.0	974	$1,340	$1.38	13d	3	1.44mi

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $139,000 Active 86 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $139,000 Active 85 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $139,000 Active 84 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   price $139,000 Active 83 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $159,000 Active 83 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $159,000 Active 81 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $159,000 Active 80 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $159,000 Active 78 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $159,000 Active 77 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 76 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active 75 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $159,000 Active 72 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,000 Active 71 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active 70 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 Active 69 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 68 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,000 Active 67 DOM
18. 2026-03-23
    listed $159,000 Active 200-char remark

    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    GREAT BUY FOR THIS LOCATION, GO AND SHOW ON A SUPRA. EASY ACCESS TO MAJOR ROADWAYS, 3 BEDROOMS 2 FULL BATHS. MASTER IS LARGE, NICE DECK OVERLOOKING THE BACKYARD. OUTSIDE STORAGE UNIT. ACCESS TO BACK .

19. 2008-08-14
    soldstatus
20. 1996-03-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $794 · $66/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $794 · $66/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,913
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,786
• − Property taxes: −$794
• − Insurance: −$695
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,353
• − Management: −$1,353
• − Depreciation: −$4,044
• Taxable income: $888
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$213
• After-tax cash flow: $2,912/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Caddo Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200300
• Math proficiency: 21% ▼ -33.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -30.00%
• Median HH income: $39,227
• Composite: 22.23/100
• National rank: #8148
• State rank: #53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #270
• US rank: #19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Shreveport, LA
• County: Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
• City population: 164,123
• Metro: Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
• Population (ZIP): 34,117
• Household income: $81,452
• Rent vs Own: 31.7% rent · 68.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1333.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 243,190 people
• By 2030: 237,231 · -2.5%
• By 2040: 222,502 · -8.5%
• By 2050: 206,516 · -15.1%
• By 2075: 165,706 · -31.9%
• By 2100: 122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 51% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -86.48%
• Current HPI: 124.2416
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.51%
• Metro: Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-23 Listed $159,000 NTREIS
• 2008-08-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1996-03-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $794 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.