7153 Copper Ridge Dr · Ridgeland, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$187,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FRESH INTERIOR PAINT, CARPETS CLEANED AND READY TO MOVE INTO!SPACIOUS 2 BEDROOM/2 BATH IN RIDGELAND - LARGE DEN W/ FIREPLACE AND LARGE MASTER BEDROOM AND BATH WITH GREAT WALK-IN CLOSET!
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has association; Annual association fee of $360; Association fee covers grounds maintenance and pool service
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener and direct access
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available
- Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Move-in ready
- Construction: Brick, cedar, and Masonite construction; Composition/shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built in public-records year
- Exterior features: Front yard; Wood fencing; Pool (community)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Oven
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Linoleum; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Cathedral and vaulted ceilings; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Soaking tub; Walk-in closet(s); Living room fireplace; Aluminum window frames; Window treatments; Has fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $188k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (6.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.8% in Ridgeland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#57 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Ann Smith Elementary (746 students, 100% FRL); Ridgeland High School (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #85 of 197 statewide, top 43%, 968 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 29% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 54% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Madison County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.17%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $201,760
- List price
- $187,900
- Delta
- -6.87%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7028 Copper Cv | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (0%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $104 | 89 |
| 7022 Copper Cv | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,390 (+3%) | 8mo | $178,000 | $128 | 78 |
| 1013 Brashears Pt | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (+2%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $155 | 77 |
| 1007 Elm's Cv | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,432 (+6%) | 2mo | $229,000 | $160 | 76 |
| 1013 Camdenmill Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (+9%) | 10mo | $189,900 | $129 | 60 |
| 1032 Craig Cir | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,423 (+5%) | 23mo | $215,000 | $151 | 58 |
| 646 Bryceland Blvd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+11%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $150 | 52 |
| 1925 Lincolnshire Blvd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,295 (-4%) | 5mo | $197,000 | $152 | 51 |
| 1016 Camdenmill Dr | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,502 (+11%) | 20mo | $235,000 | $156 | 45 |
| 1928 Lincolnshire Blvd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (-6%) | 16mo | $188,000 | $148 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-11,256
- Equity at exit
- $28,017
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $29,419
- Equity at exit
- $16,246
Cash invested: $52,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39157
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,759 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$985
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $836/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$30
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $227
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $333 | -5% $280 | +0% $227 | +5% $173 | +10% $120 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $88 | -5% $157 | +0% $227 | +5% $296 | +10% $366 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $321 | -0.5pp $274 | base $227 | +0.5pp $178 | +1.0pp $128 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,975
- Closing costs
- $5,637
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7028 Copper Cv Ridgeland, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $1,700 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2144 Lakeshore Dr Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,622 | $1.71 | 14d | 16 | 0.25mi |
| 959 Lake Harbour Dr Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1138 | $2,034 | $1.79 | 14d | 14 | 0.32mi |
| 761 Rice Rd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1135 | $2,152 | $1.90 | 14d | 9 | 0.36mi |
| 126 Breakers Ln Unit 126 Ridgeland, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1836 | $2,800 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 715 Rice Rd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,551 | $1.59 | 14d | 16 | 0.77mi |
| 875 William Blvd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 712 | $1,289 | $1.81 | 14d | 9 | 0.83mi |
| 6811 Old Canton Rd Ridgeland, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $1,495 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 879 William Blvd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $1,397 | $1.25 | 14d | 7 | 0.88mi |
| 110 Pine Knoll Dr Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6675 Old Canton Rd Ridgeland, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 905 | $1,199 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 711 Lake Harbour Dr Ridgeland, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,354 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 109 Pine Knoll Dr Ridgeland, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 580 S Pear Orchard Rd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,984 | $2.09 | 14d | 15 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $30 · $360/yr
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $187,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $187,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $187,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $187,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $187,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $190,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $190,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-01$220,000 Active 422-char remark
-
2005-06-01soldstatus
-
2005-06-01soldstatus
-
2005-05-12soldstatus 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
FRESH INTERIOR PAINT, CARPETS CLEANED AND READY TO MOVE INTO!SPACIOUS 2 BEDROOM/2 BATH IN RIDGELAND - LARGE DEN W/ FIREPLACE AND LARGE MASTER BEDROOM AND BATH WITH GREAT WALK-IN CLOSET!
-
2005-02-13$115,000 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
FRESH INTERIOR PAINT, CARPETS CLEANED AND READY TO MOVE INTO!SPACIOUS 2 BEDROOM/2 BATH IN RIDGELAND - LARGE DEN W/ FIREPLACE AND LARGE MASTER BEDROOM AND BATH WITH GREAT WALK-IN CLOSET!
-
1994-05-05soldstatus
-
1992-07-30soldstatus
-
1992-07-30soldstatus
-
1987-03-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $836 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,484 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$648/yr (+$54/mo · 77.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,114
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,525
- − Property taxes
- −$836
- − Insurance
- −$940
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,689
- − Management
- −$1,689
- − HOA
- −$360
- − Depreciation
- −$5,466
- Taxable loss
- −$392
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$94
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,813/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802790
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,579
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2188
- State rank
- #3 of 130 in MS
Livability — Ridgeland
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #9276
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ridgeland, MS
- County
- Madison County · 75,005 people
- City population
- 24,562
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,562
- Household income
- $66,068
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1370.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,509 people
- By 2030
- 131,737 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 148,930 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 164,300 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 197,495 · +61.2%
- By 2100
- 211,429 · +72.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 43% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.34%
- Current HPI
- 153.1826
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.65%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+63.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Price Changed $187,900 MLSU
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $190,000 MLSU
- 2026-05-01 Listed $220,000 MLSU
- 2005-06-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-06-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-05-12 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2005-02-13 Listed $115,000 MLSU
- 1994-05-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1992-07-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1992-07-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1987-03-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $836 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…