1501 & 1503 Laurel St · Texarkana, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Package Properties include 1501, 1503, 1513 & 1515 Laurel St. 1501 Laurel is currently occupied with Tenant. 1503 Laurel is of No Value. 1513 Laurel is currently occupied with Tenant. 1515 Laurel is vacant, needing work but utilities are on. All are 2/1. All Properties to be sold as a package. Each Parcel is 0.27.
Key facts
- 0.27 acre lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 161 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $804 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 4.5% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#177 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Texarkana School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #181 of 238 in AR (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 273 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 21 units permitted in Miller County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miller County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $80k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.14%
- DSCR
- 2.92
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $45,594
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- 75.24%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $38,260
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 46.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.44×
- Total profit
- $99,223
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71854
- Home prices YoY
- -16.9%
- Active inventory
- 273
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,642 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $493/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $804
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519 Oak St Texarkana, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $895 | $1.46 | 44d | 4 | 1.14mi |
| 3801 Elizabeth St Unit 3 Texarkana, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 520 | $1,750 | $3.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3800 Pine St Unit 3 Texarkana, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 520 | $1,750 | $3.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3802 Pine St Unit 3 Texarkana, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 520 | $1,750 | $3.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2401 Brookridge Dr Unit 01 Texarkana, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 511 | $625 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-15status $79,900 Pending 161 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-02-17price $79,900 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Package Properties include 1501, 1503, 1513 & 1515 Laurel St. 1501 Laurel is currently occupied with Tenant. 1503 Laurel is of No Value. 1513 Laurel is currently occupied with Tenant. 1515 Laurel is vacant, needing work but utilities are on. All are 2/1. All Properties to be sold as a package. Each Parcel is 0.27.
-
2025-12-30$84,900 Active 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Package Properties include 1501, 1503, 1513 & 1515 Laurel St. 1501 Laurel is currently occupied with Tenant. 1503 Laurel is of No Value. 1513 Laurel is currently occupied with Tenant. 1515 Laurel is vacant, needing work but utilities are on. All are 2/1. All Properties to be sold as a package. Each Parcel is 0.27.
-
2007-07-31soldstatus $45,000
-
2000-06-27soldstatus $74,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $493 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $511 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$18/yr (+$2/mo · 3.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,710
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$493
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,577
- − Management
- −$1,577
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $8,864
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,127
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,523/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Texarkana School District
- NCES district ID
- 0513110
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,320
- Composite
- 21.47/100
- National rank
- #8332
- State rank
- #181 of 238 in AR
Livability — Texarkana
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #14514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Texarkana, AR
- County
- Miller County · 35,720 people
- City population
- 35,720
- Metro
- Texarkana, TX-AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,720
- Household income
- $46,878
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1388.0
Population outlook (Miller County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,197 people
- By 2030
- 43,844 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 42,680 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 41,024 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 35,685 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 28,325 · -35.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miller
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.1) · D 23.9% · R 74.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -51.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.1 2020: R+46.4 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+39.8 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.00%
- Current HPI
- 196.7615
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Texarkana, TX-AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+8.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $79,900 TBOR
- 2025-12-30 Listed $84,900 TBOR
- 2007-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2000-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $493 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…