33959 Camelia #17288 · Lewes, DE
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.9
$43,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Waterfront park with marina, boat slips and boat ramp available close to beaches and shopping. This newly renovated singlewide with complete roof , siding and porch. has 2nd floor loft that could make an additional bedroom. New windows and appliances and ready to go for your summer season or great year round living. Has 2 storage sheds and even includes crab pots.
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1970
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $43k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $434 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $43k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 31.2% vs local median 1.9% in Lewes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#40 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
- Cape Henlopen School District (town): math 42% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 26 in DE (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rehoboth Elementary School (math 51% / reading 60%, grade C, #8 of 105 statewide, top 8%, 525 students, 0% FRL); Beacon Middle School (math 49% / reading 62%, grade B-, #1 of 36 statewide, top 0%, 648 students, 0% FRL); Cape Henlopen High School (math 26% / reading 51%, grade F, #14 of 40 statewide, top 33%, 1,813 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 942 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $297 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 907 days — a 12% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (66%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $43k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 907 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 89.12%
- DSCR
- 4.97
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $110,020
- List price
- $43,000
- Delta
- -50.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33987 Sunflower Rd #3831 | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (0%) | 4mo | $56,000 | $56 | 93 |
| 34024 Alyssum Cir Unit 2 (158) | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (-2%) | 3mo | $39,000 | $40 | 87 |
| 33950 Camelia Dr | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (-8%) | 2mo | $49,900 | $54 | 79 |
| 33725 Skiff Aly #310 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,086 (+9%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $322 | 73 |
| 33737 Skiff Aly #4309 | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (+10%) | 3mo | $332,500 | $302 | 67 |
| 34095 Orchid Ln | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 910 (-9%) | 3mo | $53,000 | $58 | 66 |
| 33530 Old Salt Ln #209 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,113 (+11%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $314 | 63 |
| 33530 Old Salt Ln #102 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,113 (+11%) | 1mo | $299,900 | $269 | 62 |
| 33548 Old Salt Ln #204 | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,171 (+17%) | 3mo | $492,500 | $421 | 56 |
| 33548 Old Salt Ln #2209 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,235 (+24%) | 5mo | $335,000 | $271 | 54 |
| 33530 Old Salt Ln #1307 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+20%) | 4mo | $355,000 | $296 | 53 |
| 1 Oak View Ct | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+23%) | 0mo | $387,500 | $315 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $17,654
- Equity at exit
- $6,411
- IRR
- 41.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.26×
- Total profit
- $39,199
- Equity at exit
- $3,718
Cash invested: $12,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $42,450 ($50/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 118 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +118.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 19958
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 942
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,508 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$225
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$54 /mo · $645/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $434
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $463 | -5% $449 | +0% $434 | +5% $419 | +10% $404 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $315 | -5% $374 | +0% $434 | +5% $493 | +10% $553 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $455 | -0.5pp $445 | base $434 | +0.5pp $423 | +1.0pp $411 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,750
- Closing costs
- $1,290
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33725 Skiff Aly #5309 Lewes, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 844 | $1,800 | $2.13 | 70d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 33707 Skiff Aly #207 Lewes, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 63d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 33530 Old Salt Ln #1206 Lewes, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1313 | $2,150 | $1.64 | 93d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 19646 Ward Rd Lewes, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,000 | $2.50 | 93d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $43,000 Active 907 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $43,000 Active 906 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $43,000 Active 905 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $43,000 Active 904 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $43,000 Active 903 DOM
-
2026-08-03pricedays on market $43,000 Active 902 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $54,000 Active 899 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $54,000 Active 898 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $54,000 Active 897 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $54,000 Active 895 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $54,000 Active 893 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $54,000 Active 892 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $54,000 Active 891 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $54,000 Active 890 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $54,000 Active 889 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $54,000 Active 886 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $54,000 Active 884 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $54,000 Active 883 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $54,000 Active 882 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $54,000 Active 881 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $54,000 Active 880 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $54,000 Active 879 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $54,000 Active 878 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $54,000 Active 877 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $54,000 Active 876 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $54,000 Active 875 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $54,000 Active 874 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $54,000 Active 873 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $54,000 Active 872 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $54,000 Active 871 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $54,000 Active 870 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $54,000 Active 869 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $54,000 Active 868 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $54,000 Active 867 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $54,000 Active 866 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $54,000 Active 865 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $54,000 Active 864 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $54,000 Active 862 DOM
-
2026-06-23pricedays on market $54,000 Active 860 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $62,000 Active 859 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $62,000 Active 856 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $62,000 Active 855 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $62,000 Active 854 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $62,000 Active 853 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $62,000 Active 851 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $62,000 Active 850 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $62,000 Active 848 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $62,000 Active 847 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $62,000 Active 846 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $62,000 Active 845 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,096
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,409
- − Property taxes
- −$645
- − Insurance
- −$5,740
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,448
- − Management
- −$1,448
- − Depreciation
- −$1,251
- Taxable income
- $5,156
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,238
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,968/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This singlewide mobile home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dark, cluttered
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — standard, cluttered
- Moderate exterior siding — worn
- Moderate interior walls — paint worn
- Moderate landscaping — sparse
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — enhances appearance ↑
- Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes and increases functionality ↑
- Both repair exterior siding — improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cape Henlopen School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000170
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,196
- Composite
- 42.47/100
- National rank
- #3214
- State rank
- #5 of 26 in DE
Livability — Lewes
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #11077
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sussex County · 248,853 people
- City population
- 31,938
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,938
- Household income
- $97,197
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.07%
- Current HPI
- 299.0736
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.77%
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+211.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-06 Price Changed $62,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-14 Price Changed $82,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-18 Price Changed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-02-13 Listed $128,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-08-21 Sold (MLS) $25,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-08-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-08-21 Listed $29,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-03-19 Sold (MLS) $10,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-02-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-06-04 Listed $13,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-08-14 Sold (MLS) $12,200 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-07-15 Listed $13,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-02-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-09-22 Listed $19,900 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…