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14804 Burt Rd. St
B Composite 70.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

14804 Burt Rd. St · Detroit, MI 48223
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 781 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1953 8,276 sqft lot Est $74k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • Built 1953
  • Listed 107 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $5k; list at $69k implies a 1280% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $62,790 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
14.55%
Cash-on-cash
29.48%
DSCR
2.31
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$74,195
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15421 Westbrook St 0.51mi 2/1.0 815 (+4%) 5mo $31,000 $38 65
15366 Patton St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 809 (+4%) 7mo $85,000 $105 62
11747 W Outer Dr 0.49mi 2/1.0 736 (-6%) 7mo $70,000 $95 61
15363 Plainview Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 800 (+2%) 5mo $27,000 $34 61
14305 Stout St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 850 (+9%) 9mo $99,000 $116 53
20511 Lyndon St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 896 (+15%) 8mo $40,000 $45 51
19826 Lyndon St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 866 (+11%) 1mo $21,000 $24 51
14437 Dacosta St 0.74mi 2/1.0 707 (-10%) 2mo $66,995 $95 48
15703 Fielding St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 871 (+12%) 9mo $40,000 $46 39
15717 Fielding St 0.64mi 3/1.5 (+1) 867 (+11%) 9mo $95,000 $110 38
14889 Dacosta St 0.72mi 2/1.0 665 (-15%) 8mo $24,999 $38 35
15044 Dacosta St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 890 (+14%) 11mo $87,000 $98 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.9%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$19,024
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
31.8%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$55,394
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48223

Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,121 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $240/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$475

Break-even live

Break-even rent $520
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14541 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 797 $1,300 $1.63 16d 1 0.36mi
15340 Braile St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 883 $1,000 $1.13 4d 1 0.40mi
15318 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,400 $1.56 43d 1 0.49mi
15143 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 653 $875 $1.34 24d 1 0.55mi
15143 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 653 $875 $1.34 21d 1 0.55mi
14258 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 918 $1,200 $1.31 43d 1 0.68mi
22241 Lyndon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,100 $1.15 16d 1 0.70mi
19431 Lyndon St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 43d 1 0.75mi
15519 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,396 $1.55 16d 1 0.76mi
15712 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 43d 1 0.78mi
14347 Westwood St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 706 $1,200 $1.70 24d 1 0.79mi
13500 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,200 $1.41 43d 1 0.93mi
16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 14d 1 0.94mi
12867 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 736 $1,050 $1.43 43d 1 0.96mi
14280 Bramell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 16d 1 1.02mi
12880 Dolson St Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 43d 6 1.03mi
16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1101 $1,250 $1.14 43d 1 1.09mi
12850 Dolphin St Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 746 $999 $1.34 4d 4 1.10mi
15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,325 $1.46 4d 1 1.11mi
16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 43d 1 1.18mi
19050 W Davison St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1118 $1,400 $1.25 43d 1 1.26mi
16854 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 680 $885 $1.30 12d 1 1.33mi
13514 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 1.35mi
16885 Lahser Rd Apt 3A Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $750 $1.07 43d 1 1.36mi
16885 Lahser Rd Unit 1A Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 4d 1 1.37mi
14228 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.41mi
14226 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.41mi
14234 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.41mi
14230 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.41mi
14238 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 43d 1 1.41mi
14218 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.42mi
14214 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.42mi
14206 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.42mi
14216 Riverview St Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 43d 1 1.42mi
14212 Riverview St Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 43d 1 1.42mi
14202 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.42mi
14210 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.42mi
14208 Riverview St Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $985 $1.31 43d 1 1.42mi
14204 Riverview St Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 43d 1 1.42mi
14200 Riverview St Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 43d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-03-05
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!

  2. 2026-03-05
    status Pending 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!

  3. 2026-01-25
    price $69,000 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!

  4. 2026-01-24
    price $69,000
  5. 2025-12-09
    price $74,900 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!

  6. 2025-12-09
    price $74,900
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!

  7. 2025-11-18
    listed $79,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!

  8. 2025-11-18
    listed $79,000 Active 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!

  9. 1994-12-01
    soldstatus $5,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$240 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$651 · $54/mo
Expected delta
+$411/yr (+$34/mo · 171.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,446
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$240
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,076
− Management
−$1,076
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$4,838
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,161
After-tax cash flow
$4,534/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,622
Household income
$44,512
Rent vs Own
43.8% rent · 56.2% own
Severe rent burden
1151.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -303.41%
Current HPI
138.2779
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1280.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-05 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-25 Price Changed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-24 Price Changed $69,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $74,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-18 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Listed $79,000 REALCOMP
  • 1994-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-54.7%/yr

Latest (2016): $240 · -79.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…