14804 Burt Rd. St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Built 1953
- Listed 107 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $5k; list at $69k implies a 1280% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.48%
- DSCR
- 2.31
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $74,195
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15421 Westbrook St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 815 (+4%) | 5mo | $31,000 | $38 | 65 |
| 15366 Patton St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 809 (+4%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $105 | 62 |
| 11747 W Outer Dr | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 736 (-6%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $95 | 61 |
| 15363 Plainview Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+2%) | 5mo | $27,000 | $34 | 61 |
| 14305 Stout St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 850 (+9%) | 9mo | $99,000 | $116 | 53 |
| 20511 Lyndon St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 896 (+15%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $45 | 51 |
| 19826 Lyndon St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 866 (+11%) | 1mo | $21,000 | $24 | 51 |
| 14437 Dacosta St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 707 (-10%) | 2mo | $66,995 | $95 | 48 |
| 15703 Fielding St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 871 (+12%) | 9mo | $40,000 | $46 | 39 |
| 15717 Fielding St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 867 (+11%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $110 | 38 |
| 14889 Dacosta St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 665 (-15%) | 8mo | $24,999 | $38 | 35 |
| 15044 Dacosta St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 890 (+14%) | 11mo | $87,000 | $98 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $19,024
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $55,394
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48223
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,121 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $240/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $475
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14541 Kentfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,300 | $1.63 | 16d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 15340 Braile St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 883 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 15318 Kentfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 15143 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 653 | $875 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 15143 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 653 | $875 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 14258 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,200 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 22241 Lyndon St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 19431 Lyndon St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 15519 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,396 | $1.55 | 16d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 15712 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 14347 Westwood St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,200 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 13500 Heyden St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 12867 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,050 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 14280 Bramell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 12880 Dolson St Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 43d | 6 | 1.03mi |
| 16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1101 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 12850 Dolphin St Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 746 | $999 | $1.34 | 4d | 4 | 1.10mi |
| 15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,325 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 19050 W Davison St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 16854 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $885 | $1.30 | 12d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 13514 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 16885 Lahser Rd Apt 3A Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $750 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 16885 Lahser Rd Unit 1A Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 14228 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 14226 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 14234 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 14230 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 14238 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 14218 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 14214 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 14206 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 14216 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 14212 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 14202 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 14210 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 14208 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $985 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 14204 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 14200 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-03-05status Pending
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!
-
2026-03-05status Pending 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!
-
2026-01-25price $69,000 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!
-
2026-01-24price $69,000
-
2025-12-09price $74,900 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!
-
2025-12-09price $74,900
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!
-
2025-11-18$79,000 Active
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!
-
2025-11-18$79,000 Active 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home thats perfect for the first-time homebuyer or investor looking to add a solid property to their portfolio! This cozy gem offers comfortable living with great potential. Conveniently located near major freeways, commuting and travel are a breeze. Whether you're ready to make it your own or searching for your next investment opportunity, this home is a must-see!
-
1994-12-01soldstatus $5,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $240 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $651 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- +$411/yr (+$34/mo · 171.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,446
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$240
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,076
- − Management
- −$1,076
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $4,838
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,161
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,534/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,622
- Household income
- $44,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1151.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -303.41%
- Current HPI
- 138.2779
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+1280.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-05 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-25 Price Changed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-24 Price Changed $69,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $74,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-18 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $79,000 REALCOMP
- 1994-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-54.7%/yrLatest (2016): $240 · -79.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…