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1014 Allardt Hwy
F Composite 34.09
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +1.4/15.0

$199,900

1014 Allardt Hwy · Jamestown, TN 38556
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,006 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1960 0.60 ac lot Est $176k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious and versatile home tucked away from the road, offering privacy and endless possibilities! Whether you're looking for a comfortable primary residence with plenty of room for the whole family or an investment opportunity, this property has the potential to fit your needs. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and 2 kitchens, the layout could easily accommodate multi-generational living or be converted into a duplex for income-producing potential. Enjoy a level yard perfect for outdoor activities, gardening, or pets, along with a storage building for additional space. Recent updates include a newly installed central heat and air system, providing year-round comfort. Conveniently located

Key facts

  • Level yard
  • Storage building
  • Conveniently located

Tags

MULTI-GENERATIONAL LIVINGLEVEL YARDSTORAGE BUILDINGCENTRAL HEAT AND AIR SYSTEMCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property sits on approximately 0.6 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking listed
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single-family residence (site built); Residential property
  • Construction: Frame and brick construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built on site
  • Exterior features: Garden; Patio; Paved road access

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Vaulted ceilings; Double-pane windows; Two gas-log fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; No built-in kitchen appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-202 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (14.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (25.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#250 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D, schools F, crime F.
  • Fentress County (rural): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #91 of 139 in TN (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 325 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fentress County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $149,340 (25.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.08%
Cash-on-cash
-4.32%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$176,050
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1001 Allardt Hwy 0.07mi 3/1.0 911 (-9%) 10mo $159,000 $175 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$96,048
Equity at exit
$180,086
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
6.23×
Total profit
$292,993
Equity at exit
$388,362

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38556

Home prices YoY
13.5%
Active inventory
325
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,493 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax est. 1.5%
$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$-202

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,749
Max offer price $170,717
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-64 -5% $-133 +0% $-202 +5% $-271 +10% $-340
Rent -10% $-320 -5% $-261 +0% $-202 +5% $-143 +10% $-84
Rate -1.0pp $-101 -0.5pp $-151 base $-202 +0.5pp $-253 +1.0pp $-306

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $199,900 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $199,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,921
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,998
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,434
− Management
−$1,434
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$5,957
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,430
After-tax cash flow
$-990/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fentress County
NCES district ID
4701230
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$30,419
Composite
20.6/100
National rank
#8552
State rank
#91 of 139 in TN

Livability — Jamestown

Score
61/100
State rank
#250
US rank
#17976

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing D Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,531

Population outlook (Fentress County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,295 people
By 2030
16,749 · -3.2%
By 2040
15,443 · -10.7%
By 2050
14,077 · -18.6%
By 2075
11,482 · -33.6%
By 2100
9,658 · -44.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fentress

2024 margin
Solid R (+75.8) · D 11.8% · R 87.6%
2008→2024 swing
-31.9pp toward R · 2008: -43.9pp · 2024: -75.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+75.8 2020: R+71.3 2016: R+67.5 2012: R+53.4 2008: R+43.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 44.31%
Current HPI
372.5676
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $199,900 UCMLS

Property tax history

-5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $150 · -39.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…