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C- Composite 52.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$125,000

302 S C St · Herington, KS 67449
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,832 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1920

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Front porch redone
  • New siding
  • Porch in backyard

Tags

PRIVACY FENCEPORCH IN BACKYARDTWO PORCHESFRONT PORCH REDONENEW SIDINGPLUMBING UPKEPT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#170 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Herington (rural): math 28% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #100 of 169 in KS (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $241 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Dickinson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $3k; list at $125k implies a 4067% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.46%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$3,957
Equity at exit
$37,506
10-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$29,594
Equity at exit
$46,062

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67449

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,267 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,308/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$101

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,139
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    listed $125,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,308 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,308 · $192/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,205
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,308
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,216
− Management
−$1,216
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$800
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$192
After-tax cash flow
$1,404/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Herington
NCES district ID
2007110
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$39,012
Composite
25.55/100
National rank
#7429
State rank
#100 of 169 in KS

Livability — Herington

Score
70/100
State rank
#170
US rank
#8052

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Herington, KS
Population (ZIP)
2,756

Population outlook (Dickinson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,727 people
By 2030
18,312 · -2.2%
By 2040
17,433 · -6.9%
By 2050
16,493 · -11.9%
By 2075
14,441 · -22.9%
By 2100
11,707 · -37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Dickinson

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.0) · D 21.8% · R 76.7% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.8pp toward R · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -55.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.0 2020: R+54.1 2016: R+54.0 2012: R+47.7 2008: R+42.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.19%
Current HPI
146.5368
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+4066.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $125,000 FSBO.com
  • 2004-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $3,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $3,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,308 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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