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539 Arlington St
D+ Composite 48.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

539 Arlington St · Tamaqua, PA 18252
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 138 Days on market
Built 1900 2,614 sqft lot Est $146k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tamaqua 4 BR single with detached 2 car garage with upper area storage. Vintage features, hardwood floors and original woodwork. With a little TLC this home could be a charmer. Kitchen has a full array of appliances, center peninsula, cozy breakfast nook, a framed out space for a half bath or laundry area. Full basement with walk out to fenced yard. Owner occupied so 24 hour notice appreciated. Motivated Seller. Currently mortgage is assumable.

Key facts

  • Cozy breakfast nook
  • Center peninsula
  • Original woodwork

Tags

DETACHED 2 CAR GARAGEHARDWOOD FLOORSORIGINAL WOODWORKFULL ARRAY OF APPLIANCESCENTER PENINSULACOZY BREAKFAST NOOK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($269/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (0.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#209 in PA, #1,844 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, employment F.
  • Tamaqua Area SD (rural): math 31% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #331 of 539 in PA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Tamaqua El Sch (math 35% / reading 56%, grade D-, #801 of 1,518 statewide, top 53%, 695 students, 68% FRL); Tamaqua Area Ms (math 20% / reading 46%, grade F, #346 of 512 statewide, top 69%, 433 students, 61% FRL); Tamaqua Area Shs (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #99 of 437 statewide, top 23%, 691 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 37% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $130k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $114,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
6.50%
Cash-on-cash
0.74%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$145,920
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
310 Biddle St 0.38mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,492 (-3%) 14mo $107,500 $72 61
514 Arlington St 0.05mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,650 (+7%) 20mo $200,000 $121 60
524 W Willing St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,385 (-10%) 9mo $185,000 $134 60
446 Biddle St 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,306 (-15%) 4mo $110,000 $84 56
306 E Elm St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,636 (+6%) 14mo $170,000 $104 52
111 Lafayette St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,572 (+2%) 16mo $140,000 $89 50
65 S Nescopec St 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,472 (-4%) 13mo $151,000 $103 48
215 Schuylkill Ave 0.45mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,680 (+9%) 19mo $160,000 $95 40
101 Clay St 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,652 (+8%) 9mo $215,000 $130 39
154 W Spruce St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,440 (-6%) 18mo $40,000 $28 38
517 Rolling Mill Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,676 (+9%) 18mo $159,900 $95 35
412 Washington St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,667 (+8%) 21mo $159,000 $95 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-19,537
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-14,834
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18252

Home prices YoY
-15.4%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,296 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$266 /mo · $3,191/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,267
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
234 Mauch Chunk St Unit 2 Tamaqua, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,425 $1.30 23d 1 0.37mi
128 E Broad St Unit 128B Tamaqua, PA 3.0 1.0 1623 $1,450 $0.89 43d 1 0.45mi
128 E Broad St Unit 128C Tamaqua, PA 2.0 1.0 1055 $1,200 $1.14 43d 1 0.45mi
435 E Union St Tamaqua, PA 3.0 1.0 1560 $1,275 $0.82 14d 1 0.45mi
223 Schuylkill Ave Tamaqua, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 43d 1 0.46mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    historical
  2. 2026-04-10
    status Pending
  3. 2025-11-23
    listed $129,900 Active
  4. 2025-11-23
    listed $129,900 Active
  5. 2024-02-07
    historical
  6. 2024-02-07
    historical
  7. 2024-01-02
    price $145,000
  8. 2024-01-02
    price $145,000
  9. 2023-11-11
    listed $149,000 Active
  10. 2023-11-11
    listed $149,000 Active
  11. 2016-09-26
    soldstatus $69,900
  12. 2016-09-26
    soldstatus $69,900
  13. 2016-09-26
    soldstatus $69,900
  14. 2016-07-22
    historical
  15. 2016-05-13
    listed $69,900
  16. 2016-05-13
    listed $69,900
  17. 2016-01-22
    historical
  18. 2012-12-31
    historical
  19. 2012-12-07
    listed $47,942
  20. 2012-12-01
    historical
  21. 2012-05-24
    listed $84,900
  22. 2012-05-24
    listed $84,900
  23. 2007-07-20
    soldstatus $98,000
  24. 2007-07-20
    soldstatus $98,000
  25. 2007-07-20
    soldstatus $98,000
  26. 2006-10-04
    listed $109,500
  27. 2006-10-04
    historical
  28. 2006-10-04
    listed $98,000
  29. 2005-09-19
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,191 · $266/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,191 · $266/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,550
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$3,191
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,244
− Management
−$1,244
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$1,834
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$440
After-tax cash flow
$709/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tamaqua Area SD
NCES district ID
4223220
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,184
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4893
State rank
#331 of 539 in PA

Livability — Tamaqua

Score
80/100
State rank
#209
US rank
#1844

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tamaqua, PA
Population (ZIP)
11,065

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Salvadoran 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Iranian 3% Polish 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.53%
Current HPI
194.8976
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+766.0% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-23 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-23 Listed $129,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-02-07 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2024-02-07 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-01-02 Price Changed $145,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-01-02 Price Changed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-11 Listed $149,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-11 Listed $149,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2016-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
  • 2016-09-26 Sold (MLS) $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-09-26 Sold (MLS) $69,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2016-07-22 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-05-13 Listed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-05-13 Listed $69,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2016-01-22 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-12-31 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2012-12-07 Listed $47,942 GLVRMLS
  • 2012-12-01 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2012-05-24 Listed $84,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2012-05-24 Listed $84,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
  • 2007-07-20 Sold (MLS) $98,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-07-20 Sold (MLS) $98,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2006-10-04 Listed $98,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-10-04 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-10-04 Listed $109,500 GLVRMLS
  • 2005-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,191 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…