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2616 NW Satinwood St
A- Composite 80.4
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

2616 NW Satinwood St · Corvallis, OR 97330
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1977 $87/sqft · 23% below area Est $162k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Updated home in the center of NW Corvallis. This home is minutes away from the Medical complex, Win-Co shopping Center, N. 9th St businesses! Light and bright, large living room. Built in hutch in the dining room! Bathrooms and kitchen have been updated. Recent exterior paint! Covered front porch catches the morning sun and the enclosed back porch is a wonderful place to spend the evening!

Key facts

  • Built in hutch
  • Updated kitchen
  • Enclosed porch

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENNEW VINYL FLOORINGENCLOSED PORCHBUILT IN HUTCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From 9th St go up Walnut, take a right — house on the left; On the bus route, close to the hospital and shopping; Serial #: 661qs6424d36; Park name: Highland; Make: Statler; Size: Double wide; Possession at COE
  • HOA & community: Located in Highland park (adult park); Buyers must be approved by Highland View park before closing

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Park rent includes water, sewer, garbage, and cable
  • Home design: Double wide mobile home; Built in 1977; Pier foundation
  • Construction: Fiber cement siding; Built-up roof
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Shed; Light blue exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Updated kitchen; Electric range; All appliances stay
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level; Bedroom 2 on the main level; Bedroom 3 on the main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Updated bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring throughout; High-speed communication available; Built-in hutch in the dining room; Enclosed porch for year-round use; Garbage disposal
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $989 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 2.6% in Corvallis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#45 in OR, #1,113 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Corvallis SD 509J (urban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #15 of 183 in OR (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 116 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Benton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $125k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.77%
Cap rate
15.79%
Cash-on-cash
33.92%
DSCR
2.51
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$162,000
List price
$125,000
Delta
-22.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2655 NW Highland Dr #69 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-10%) 1mo $133,000 $102 78
2655 NW Highland Dr #59 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,368 (-5%) 13mo $55,000 $40 70
2655 NW Highland Dr #90 0.11mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,476 (+2%) 17mo $62,000 $42 70
2601 NE Jack London St #71 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-2%) 3mo $162,000 $115 61
2601 NE Jack London St #142 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+5%) 3mo $250,000 $165 56
2601 NE Jack London St #130 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-6%) 2mo $242,000 $179 56
2601 NE Jack London St #135 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,566 (+9%) 5mo $169,900 $108 49
2601 NE Jack London St #103 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-10%) 3mo $192,000 $148 48
2601 NE Jack London St #153 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+5%) 13mo $238,400 $158 48
2601 NE Jack London St #119 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-6%) 12mo $230,000 $170 47
2601 NE Jack London St #33 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 15mo $144,000 $107 44
2601 NE Jack London St #86 0.69mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,309 (-9%) 10mo $159,000 $121 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.1%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$48,983
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
40.6%
Equity multiple
5.31×
Total profit
$150,814
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97330

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
229
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,208 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $571/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$464
Net cashflow
$989

Break-even live

Break-even rent $956
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,060 -5% $1,025 +0% $989 +5% $954 +10% $919
Rent -10% $815 -5% $902 +0% $989 +5% $1,077 +10% $1,164
Rate -1.0pp $1,052 -0.5pp $1,021 base $989 +0.5pp $957 +1.0pp $924

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
720 NW Walnut Blvd Corvallis, OR 3.0 1.5 1304 $2,300 $1.76 44d 1 0.09mi
2418 NW 9th St Unit 2420 Corvallis, OR 3.0 1.5 1050 $1,895 $1.80 44d 1 0.27mi
3424 NW Satinwood St Corvallis, OR 3.0 1.5 1173 $2,395 $2.04 44d 1 0.37mi
2145 NW Highland Dr Apt 2 Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.5 918 $1,795 $1.96 44d 1 0.42mi
991 NW Circle Blvd Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.0 1020 $1,395 $1.37 44d 1 0.46mi
213 NE Conifer Blvd Corvallis, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1020 $1,999 $1.96 44d 7 0.59mi
2232 NW 14th St Corvallis, OR 3.0 1.0 1444 $2,295 $1.59 44d 1 0.63mi
3113 NE Flintlock Pl Corvallis, OR 3.0 1.5 1472 $1,995 $1.36 44d 1 0.64mi
2380 NW Green Cir Corvallis, OR 3.0 1.0 1062 $2,195 $2.07 45d 1 0.65mi
2380 NW Rolling Green Dr Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.0–1.5 746 $1,845 $2.47 44d 8 0.69mi
1445 NW Division St #6 Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.5 900 $1,450 $1.61 44d 1 1.00mi
1126 NE Conser Pl Corvallis, OR 2.0 2.0 1026 $2,200 $2.14 44d 1 1.14mi
1645 NW Kings Blvd Corvallis, OR 3.0 3.0 1500 $2,850 $1.90 44d 1 1.16mi
1215 NW 11th St Corvallis, OR 4.0 1.0 1090 $2,145 $1.97 44d 1 1.22mi
1955 NW Hayes Ave Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.0 950 $1,550 $1.63 45d 1 1.24mi
1230 NW Kings Blvd Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.0 900 $1,745 $1.94 44d 2 1.40mi
3154 NW Shooting Star Dr Corvallis, OR 3.0 2.5 1567 $2,595 $1.66 44d 1 1.42mi
1250 NW 23rd St Apt 14 Corvallis, OR 2.0 1.0 945 $1,750 $1.85 44d 1 1.46mi
2781 NW Huckleberry Dr Corvallis, OR 3.0 2.5 1783 $3,195 $1.79 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $125,000 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 22 DOM
  17. 2026-05-08
    listed $125,000 Active 245-char remark
  18. 2020-01-22
    soldstatus $55,000 Sold 393-char remark
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    Updated home in the center of NW Corvallis. This home is minutes away from the Medical complex, Win-Co shopping Center, N. 9th St businesses! Light and bright, large living room. Built in hutch in the dining room! Bathrooms and kitchen have been updated. Recent exterior paint! Covered front porch catches the morning sun and the enclosed back porch is a wonderful place to spend the evening!

  19. 2019-12-12
    historical Active under Contract 393-char remark
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    Updated home in the center of NW Corvallis. This home is minutes away from the Medical complex, Win-Co shopping Center, N. 9th St businesses! Light and bright, large living room. Built in hutch in the dining room! Bathrooms and kitchen have been updated. Recent exterior paint! Covered front porch catches the morning sun and the enclosed back porch is a wonderful place to spend the evening!

  20. 2019-12-10
    listed $57,000 Active 393-char remark
    Show marketing remark (393 chars)

    Updated home in the center of NW Corvallis. This home is minutes away from the Medical complex, Win-Co shopping Center, N. 9th St businesses! Light and bright, large living room. Built in hutch in the dining room! Bathrooms and kitchen have been updated. Recent exterior paint! Covered front porch catches the morning sun and the enclosed back porch is a wonderful place to spend the evening!

  21. 2015-07-15
    soldstatus $18,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    Cozy affordable living in NW Corvallis! Close to the hospital and shopping! On the bus routes! This home boasts a wonderful sun porch that lets morning light in and is set up for the gardener with water and electricity for you delicate plants! Nice open floor plan with built in hutch is dining room. New flooring in hall bath. Master bedroom has its own attached bath. Ramp for access from parking area is a bonus for those with mobility issues. Must be approved by park management.

  22. 2015-06-26
    historical Active under Contract
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    Cozy affordable living in NW Corvallis! Close to the hospital and shopping! On the bus routes! This home boasts a wonderful sun porch that lets morning light in and is set up for the gardener with water and electricity for you delicate plants! Nice open floor plan with built in hutch is dining room. New flooring in hall bath. Master bedroom has its own attached bath. Ramp for access from parking area is a bonus for those with mobility issues. Must be approved by park management.

  23. 2015-06-17
    price $22,000
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    Cozy affordable living in NW Corvallis! Close to the hospital and shopping! On the bus routes! This home boasts a wonderful sun porch that lets morning light in and is set up for the gardener with water and electricity for you delicate plants! Nice open floor plan with built in hutch is dining room. New flooring in hall bath. Master bedroom has its own attached bath. Ramp for access from parking area is a bonus for those with mobility issues. Must be approved by park management.

  24. 2015-05-27
    price $24,900
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    Cozy affordable living in NW Corvallis! Close to the hospital and shopping! On the bus routes! This home boasts a wonderful sun porch that lets morning light in and is set up for the gardener with water and electricity for you delicate plants! Nice open floor plan with built in hutch is dining room. New flooring in hall bath. Master bedroom has its own attached bath. Ramp for access from parking area is a bonus for those with mobility issues. Must be approved by park management.

  25. 2015-04-30
    listed $29,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    Cozy affordable living in NW Corvallis! Close to the hospital and shopping! On the bus routes! This home boasts a wonderful sun porch that lets morning light in and is set up for the gardener with water and electricity for you delicate plants! Nice open floor plan with built in hutch is dining room. New flooring in hall bath. Master bedroom has its own attached bath. Ramp for access from parking area is a bonus for those with mobility issues. Must be approved by park management.

  26. 2012-08-03
    historical
  27. 2012-08-03
    soldstatus $14,000 Sold
  28. 2012-07-20
    historical Active under Contract
  29. 2012-05-21
    listed $20,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$571 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,212 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$642/yr (+$53/mo · 112.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,500
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$571
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,120
− Management
−$2,120
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$10,426
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,502
After-tax cash flow
$9,371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corvallis SD 509J
NCES district ID
4103480
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,820
Composite
48.62/100
National rank
#4584
State rank
#15 of 183 in OR

Livability — Corvallis

Score
82/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#1113

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment C Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corvallis, OR
County
Benton County · 98,484 people
City population
67,812
Metro
Corvallis, OR
Population (ZIP)
43,878
Household income
$70,742
Rent vs Own
48.4% rent · 51.6% own
Severe rent burden
3416.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
96,963 people
By 2030
101,658 · +4.8%
By 2040
110,157 · +13.6%
By 2050
119,275 · +23.0%
By 2075
145,172 · +49.7%
By 2100
165,349 · +70.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 3% Korean 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Solid D (+39.6) · D 68.1% · R 28.5% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+8.1pp toward D · 2008: 31.5pp · 2024: 39.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+39.6 2020: D+39.7 2016: D+33.8 2012: D+28.8 2008: D+31.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -420.12%
Current HPI
298.7746
Rent YoY
▲ 5.74%
Metro
Corvallis, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+525.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $125,000 WVMLS
  • 2020-01-22 Sold (MLS) $55,000 WVMLS
  • 2019-12-12 Contingent WVMLS
  • 2019-12-10 Listed $57,000 WVMLS
  • 2015-07-15 Sold (MLS) $18,000 WVMLS
  • 2015-06-26 Contingent WVMLS
  • 2015-06-17 Price Changed $22,000 WVMLS
  • 2015-05-27 Price Changed $24,900 WVMLS
  • 2015-04-30 Listed $29,000 WVMLS
  • 2012-08-03 Listing Removed WVMLS
  • 2012-08-03 Sold (MLS) $14,000 WVMLS
  • 2012-07-20 Contingent WVMLS
  • 2012-05-21 Listed $20,000 WVMLS

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $571 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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