395 Linnet St · Greenport West, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$749,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
An exceptional opportunity to own in the highly sought-after Greenport / North Fork region, where lifestyle, flexibility, and long-term value come together. Whether you are seeking a year-round residence, weekend retreat, or property with extended living possibilities, this well-maintained ranch offers outstanding versatility in one of Long Island’s most desirable coastal destinations. Welcome to 395 Linnet Street, also known as 806 Linnet Street, Southold. Designed for today’s casual lifestyle, the home features an open-concept layout, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths on the main level, along with an updated eat-in kitchen showcasing quartz countertops. The expansive backyard creates the perfect setting for entertaining, outdoor dining, or simply enjoying the peaceful North Fork atmosphere. The fully finished lower level with outside entrance (OSE) offers additional bedrooms and baths (all on Certificate of Occupancy), creating exceptional flexibility for extended living, guests, private work-from-home space, recreation, or separate accommodations. Located just minutes from bay beaches, marinas, parks, vineyards, farm stands, acclaimed restaurants, boutique shopping, the historic Greenport waterfront village, LIRR, and Hampton Jitney, this property places you in the center of the North Fork lifestyle that continues to attract homeowners and weekend visitors alike.
Key facts
- Expansive backyard
- Open-concept layout
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $750k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $14k ($163k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($23k rent vs $750k).
- Recommended offer: $660k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.0% vs local median 8.0% in Greenport West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,073 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Greenport Union Free School District (town): math 55% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #450 of 755 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Greenport Elementary School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #908 of 2,108 statewide, top 46%, 339 students, 61% FRL); Greenport High School (math 52% / reading 54%, grade C-, #934 of 1,100 statewide, top 86%, 356 students, 63% FRL).
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 88% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $23,279/mo this rent would consume 350% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 21% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $210k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 238 days — a 12% lower offer ($660k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $340k; list at $750k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 238 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 77.39%
- DSCR
- 4.44
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,404,309
- List price
- $749,999
- Delta
- -46.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 6th St | 0.22mi | 6/3.5 (+1) | 3,000 (+7%) | 14mo | $2,875,000 | $958 | 60 |
| 3200 Bay Shore Rd | 1.11mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,600 (-7%) | 9mo | $2,025,000 | $779 | 38 |
| 155 Bridge St | 1.01mi | 5/3.5 | 2,400 (-14%) | 3mo | $1,470,000 | $613 | 36 |
| 675 Champlin Pl | 1.11mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,650 (-5%) | 12mo | $2,200,000 | $830 | 35 |
| 2055 Bay Shore Rd | 1.04mi | 5/2.5 | 2,500 (-11%) | 10mo | $2,150,000 | $860 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 77.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.53×
- Total profit
- $741,170
- Equity at exit
- $111,827
- IRR
- 81.0%
- Equity multiple
- 9.37×
- Total profit
- $1,756,668
- Equity at exit
- $64,846
Cash invested: $210,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 1 under contract
- Median asking
- $1,974,500 ($720/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 390 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -30.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 11944
- Home prices YoY
- -23.7%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $23,279 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,933
- Tax from tax record
- −$602 /mo · $7,222/yr
- Insurance
- −$312
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,889
- Net cashflow
- $13,543
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $13,968 | -5% $13,755 | +0% $13,543 | +5% $13,331 | +10% $13,118 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $11,704 | -5% $12,623 | +0% $13,543 | +5% $14,462 | +10% $15,382 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $13,921 | -0.5pp $13,734 | base $13,543 | +0.5pp $13,349 | +1.0pp $13,151 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $187,500
- Closing costs
- $22,500
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64230 North Rd Greenport, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2800 | $6,500 | $2.32 | 93d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 63615 North Rd Greenport, NY | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3500 | $7,000 | $2.00 | 93d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 485 Sutton Pl Greenport, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2026 | $20,000 | $9.87 | 93d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 185 Inlet Ln Greenport, NY | 6.0 | 4.5 | 2800 | $12,000 | $4.29 | 18d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 750 Kerwin Blvd Greenport, NY | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3200 | $11,200 | $3.50 | 73d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2700 Sound Dr Greenport, NY | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3700 | $25,000 | $6.76 | 93d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 950 Tasker Ln Greenport, NY | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3500 | $36,000 | $10.29 | 93d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1000 Sound Dr Greenport, NY | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3700 | $45,000 | $12.16 | 93d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-06days on market $749,999 Active 238 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $749,999 Active 237 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $749,999 Active 236 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $749,999 Active 235 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $749,999 Active 232 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $749,999 Active 230 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $749,999 Active 228 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $749,999 Active 226 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $749,999 Active 225 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $749,999 Active 224 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $749,999 Active 223 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $749,999 Active 222 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $749,999 Active 221 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $749,999 Active 219 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $749,999 Active 217 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $749,999 Active 216 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $749,999 Active 215 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $749,999 Active 214 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $749,999 Active 213 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $749,999 Active 212 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $749,999 Active 211 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $749,999 Active 210 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $749,999 Active 208 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $749,999 Active 207 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $749,999 Active 206 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $749,999 Active 205 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $749,999 Active 204 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $749,999 Active 203 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $749,999 Active 202 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $749,999 Active 201 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $749,999 Active 200 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $749,999 Active 199 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $749,999 Active 198 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $749,999 Active 197 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $749,999 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $749,999 Active 192 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $749,999 Active 191 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $749,999 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $749,999 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $749,999 Active 187 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $749,999 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $749,999 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $749,999 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $749,999 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $749,999 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $749,999 Active 178 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $749,999 Active 176 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $749,999 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $749,999 Active 173 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $749,999 Active 172 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,222 · $602/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,948 · $829/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,727/yr (+$227/mo · 37.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $279,347
- − Mortgage interest
- −$42,012
- − Property taxes
- −$7,222
- − Insurance
- −$3,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$22,348
- − Management
- −$22,348
- − Depreciation
- −$21,818
- Taxable income
- $159,850
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$38,364
- After-tax cash flow
- $124,151/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This property requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including painting and landscaping, to improve its curb appeal and overall value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Paint — Chipped and peeling in multiple areas
- Moderate Siding — Weathered and showing signs of wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and repainting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping and trimming — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
- Both Reconditioning the siding — Extends the life of the exterior and improves curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenport Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612840
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,490
- Composite
- 45.25/100
- National rank
- #5759
- State rank
- #450 of 755 in NY
Livability — Greenport West
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1073
- US rank
- #21520
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenport West, NY
- County
- Suffolk · 1,505,262 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,744
- Household income
- $79,917
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 21% of renters
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 22% German/W. Germanic 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.97%
- Current HPI
- 462.3431
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+120.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $749,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-06 Listed $790,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $340,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $7,222 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…