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395 Linnet St
B- Composite 69.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$749,999

395 Linnet St · Greenport West, NY 11944
5 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,800 sqft · SingleFamily · 189 Days on market
Built 2000 5,227 sqft lot $268/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

An exceptional opportunity to own in the highly sought-after Greenport / North Fork region, where lifestyle, flexibility, and long-term value come together. Whether you are seeking a year-round residence, weekend retreat, or property with extended living possibilities, this well-maintained ranch offers outstanding versatility in one of Long Island’s most desirable coastal destinations. Welcome to 395 Linnet Street, also known as 806 Linnet Street, Southold. Designed for today’s casual lifestyle, the home features an open-concept layout, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths on the main level, along with an updated eat-in kitchen showcasing quartz countertops. The expansive backyard creates the perfect setting for entertaining, outdoor dining, or simply enjoying the peaceful North Fork atmosphere. The fully finished lower level with outside entrance (OSE) offers additional bedrooms and baths (all on Certificate of Occupancy), creating exceptional flexibility for extended living, guests, private work-from-home space, recreation, or separate accommodations. Located just minutes from bay beaches, marinas, parks, vineyards, farm stands, acclaimed restaurants, boutique shopping, the historic Greenport waterfront village, LIRR, and Hampton Jitney, this property places you in the center of the North Fork lifestyle that continues to attract homeowners and weekend visitors alike.

Key facts

  • Expansive backyard
  • Open-concept layout
  • 5,227 sq ft lot

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTEXPANSIVE BACKYARDUPDATED EAT-IN-KITCHENFULLY FINISHED BASEMENTCLOSE PROXIMITY TO BAY BEACHESCLOSE PROXIMITY TO LOCAL PARKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $750k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $16k ($193k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($26k rent vs $750k).
  • Recommended offer: $660k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 32.0% vs local median 8.0% in Greenport West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,073 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Greenport Union Free School District (town): math 55% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #450 of 755 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 86% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $210k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($660k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $340k; list at $750k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $659,999 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.53%
Cap rate
31.99%
Cash-on-cash
91.76%
DSCR
5.08
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,660,019
List price
$749,999
Delta
-54.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
133 6th St 0.22mi 6/3.5 (+1) 3,000 (+7%) 12mo $2,875,000 $958 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
92.5%
Equity multiple
5.29×
Total profit
$901,397
Equity at exit
$111,827
10-year hold
IRR
95.3%
Equity multiple
11.01×
Total profit
$2,102,642
Equity at exit
$64,846

Cash invested: $210,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11944

Home prices YoY
-23.7%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$26,462 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,933
Tax from tax record
$602 /mo · $7,222/yr
Insurance
$312
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$5,557
Net cashflow
$16,058

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,136
Max offer price $749,999
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$187,500
Closing costs
$22,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
64230 North Rd Greenport, NY 4.0 3.0 2800 $6,500 $2.32 44d 1 0.90mi
63615 North Rd Greenport, NY 4.0 4.5 3500 $7,000 $2.00 44d 1 1.01mi
485 Sutton Pl Greenport, NY 4.0 2.5 2026 $20,000 $9.87 44d 1 1.23mi
750 Kerwin Blvd Greenport, NY 4.0 4.0 3200 $11,200 $3.50 24d 1 1.31mi
2700 Sound Dr Greenport, NY 5.0 3.0 3700 $25,000 $6.76 44d 1 1.38mi
950 Tasker Ln Greenport, NY 4.0 3.5 3500 $36,000 $10.29 44d 1 1.41mi
1000 Sound Dr Greenport, NY 5.0 4.5 3700 $45,000 $12.16 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $749,999 Active 189 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $749,999 Active 188 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $749,999 Active 187 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $749,999 Active 186 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $749,999 Active 184 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $749,999 Active 183 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $749,999 Active 180 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $749,999 Active 179 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $749,999 Active 178 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $749,999 Active 176 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $749,999 Active 174 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $749,999 Active 173 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $749,999 Active 172 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $749,999 Active 171 DOM
  15. 2026-04-14
    status Active 1398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1398 chars)

    An exceptional opportunity to own in the highly sought-after Greenport / North Fork region, where lifestyle, flexibility, and long-term value come together. Whether you are seeking a year-round residence, weekend retreat, or property with extended living possibilities, this well-maintained ranch offers outstanding versatility in one of Long Island’s most desirable coastal destinations. Welcome to 395 Linnet Street, also known as 806 Linnet Street, Southold. Designed for today’s casual lifestyle, the home features an open-concept layout, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths on the main level, along with an updated eat-in kitchen showcasing quartz countertops. The expansive backyard creates the perfect setting for entertaining, outdoor dining, or simply enjoying the peaceful North Fork atmosphere. The fully finished lower level with outside entrance (OSE) offers additional bedrooms and baths (all on Certificate of Occupancy), creating exceptional flexibility for extended living, guests, private work-from-home space, recreation, or separate accommodations. Located just minutes from bay beaches, marinas, parks, vineyards, farm stands, acclaimed restaurants, boutique shopping, the historic Greenport waterfront village, LIRR, and Hampton Jitney, this property places you in the center of the North Fork lifestyle that continues to attract homeowners and weekend visitors alike.

  16. 2026-04-13
    price $749,999 1398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1398 chars)

    An exceptional opportunity to own in the highly sought-after Greenport / North Fork region, where lifestyle, flexibility, and long-term value come together. Whether you are seeking a year-round residence, weekend retreat, or property with extended living possibilities, this well-maintained ranch offers outstanding versatility in one of Long Island’s most desirable coastal destinations. Welcome to 395 Linnet Street, also known as 806 Linnet Street, Southold. Designed for today’s casual lifestyle, the home features an open-concept layout, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths on the main level, along with an updated eat-in kitchen showcasing quartz countertops. The expansive backyard creates the perfect setting for entertaining, outdoor dining, or simply enjoying the peaceful North Fork atmosphere. The fully finished lower level with outside entrance (OSE) offers additional bedrooms and baths (all on Certificate of Occupancy), creating exceptional flexibility for extended living, guests, private work-from-home space, recreation, or separate accommodations. Located just minutes from bay beaches, marinas, parks, vineyards, farm stands, acclaimed restaurants, boutique shopping, the historic Greenport waterfront village, LIRR, and Hampton Jitney, this property places you in the center of the North Fork lifestyle that continues to attract homeowners and weekend visitors alike.

  17. 2025-08-06
    listed $790,000 Active 1398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1398 chars)

    An exceptional opportunity to own in the highly sought-after Greenport / North Fork region, where lifestyle, flexibility, and long-term value come together. Whether you are seeking a year-round residence, weekend retreat, or property with extended living possibilities, this well-maintained ranch offers outstanding versatility in one of Long Island’s most desirable coastal destinations. Welcome to 395 Linnet Street, also known as 806 Linnet Street, Southold. Designed for today’s casual lifestyle, the home features an open-concept layout, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths on the main level, along with an updated eat-in kitchen showcasing quartz countertops. The expansive backyard creates the perfect setting for entertaining, outdoor dining, or simply enjoying the peaceful North Fork atmosphere. The fully finished lower level with outside entrance (OSE) offers additional bedrooms and baths (all on Certificate of Occupancy), creating exceptional flexibility for extended living, guests, private work-from-home space, recreation, or separate accommodations. Located just minutes from bay beaches, marinas, parks, vineyards, farm stands, acclaimed restaurants, boutique shopping, the historic Greenport waterfront village, LIRR, and Hampton Jitney, this property places you in the center of the North Fork lifestyle that continues to attract homeowners and weekend visitors alike.

  18. 2005-04-12
    soldstatus $340,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,222 · $602/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,948 · $829/mo
Expected delta
+$2,727/yr (+$227/mo · 37.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$317,549
− Mortgage interest
−$42,012
− Property taxes
−$7,222
− Insurance
−$3,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$25,404
− Management
−$25,404
− Depreciation
−$21,818
Taxable income
$191,939
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$46,065
After-tax cash flow
$146,629/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greenport Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3612840
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$54,490
Composite
45.25/100
National rank
#5759
State rank
#450 of 755 in NY

Livability — Greenport West

Score
58/100
State rank
#1073
US rank
#21520

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greenport West, NY
Population (ZIP)
4,744

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 22% German/W. Germanic 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.97%
Current HPI
462.3431
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $749,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-06 Listed $790,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $340,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,222 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…