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1545 Cynthia Ave
D+ Composite 47.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,900

1545 Cynthia Ave · Madison Heights, MI 48071
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,060 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1957 5,663 sqft lot Est $297k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Some houses feel bigger than the square footage says. This is one of them. Step inside 1545 Cynthia and you'll immediately notice the vaulted ceilings, recessed lighting, and gorgeous hardwood floors that make the living room feel bright and inviting. The kitchen has a warm, welcoming feel with butcher block countertops, stainless appliances, and plenty of space for everything from weeknight dinners to holiday baking marathons. The primary suite gives you something that's surprisingly hard to find in this price range: your own private full bath. Add two more bedrooms, a second full bath, and a finished basement that's ready for movie nights, game days, a home gym, or that hobby you've been telling yourself you'll start someday. Outside, the large backyard and concrete patio create the perfect setting for summer cookouts, morning coffee, or letting the dog wear itself out while you pretend you're supervising. If you're looking for a home with character, usable space, and a location that puts you close to everything Madison Heights has to offer, this one deserves a spot at the top of your list.

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Finished basement
  • Concrete patio

Tags

FINISHED BASEMENTLARGE BACKYARDCONCRETE PATIOMADISON HEIGHTS LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Paved access/road
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level (entry at ground level with steps); Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick exterior; One story
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Fenced backyard

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Finished basement with sump pump; Basement present
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6 ($68/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (10.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $232k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#62 in MI, #1,347 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D.
  • Lamphere Public Schools (suburban): math 28% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #235 of 540 in MI (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $134k; list at $260k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $231,633 (10.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.09%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$296,640
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1421 Beaupre Ave 0.12mi 3/2.0 2,101 (+2%) 2mo $303,000 $144 85
29242 Shirley Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,826 (-11%) 1mo $265,000 $145 74
2123 Common Rd 0.45mi 3/2.0 2,132 (+4%) 1mo $290,000 $136 69
28419 Park Ct 0.52mi 3/2.0 2,100 (+2%) 0mo $260,000 $124 68
28146 Park Ct 0.67mi 3/1.0 2,100 (+2%) 1mo $235,000 $112 65
1274 Fontaine Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,812 (-12%) 0mo $321,000 $177 63
28686 Herbert St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,914 (-7%) 3mo $275,000 $144 58
28800 Tawas Ct 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,876 (-9%) 2mo $225,000 $120 57
1594 Harvard Dr 0.46mi 3/2.5 1,847 (-10%) 0mo $415,000 $225 55
2509 Edwin Dr 0.54mi 3/1.5 2,290 (+11%) 2mo $338,000 $148 52
2237 Cromie Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 2,308 (+12%) 1mo $285,000 $123 48
30110 Manor Dr 0.43mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,764 (-14%) 1mo $356,000 $202 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-42,146
Equity at exit
$38,752
10-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-37,832
Equity at exit
$22,471

Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48071

Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,316 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$353 /mo · $4,236/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$486
Net cashflow
$6

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,309
Max offer price $259,900
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,975
Closing costs
$7,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1322 Elliott Ave Madison Heights, MI 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,100 $1.40 18d 1 0.14mi
1045 E 12 Mile Rd Madison Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1700 $4,000 $2.35 1d 1 0.36mi
29607 Howard Ave Madison Heights, MI 3.0 2.5 1956 $1,950 $1.00 43d 1 0.49mi
740 Sheffield Dr Madison Heights, MI 3.0 1.5 2303 $2,000 $0.87 43d 1 0.52mi
28222 Saint Louise Dr Warren, MI 3.0 2.0 1600 $5,500 $3.44 1d 1 0.80mi
3441 Winterfield Dr Warren, MI 4.0 3.0 2300 $2,381 $1.04 2d 1 1.02mi
3458 Common Rd Warren, MI 4.0 1.5 2416 $2,400 $0.99 10d 1 1.05mi
317 E Irving Ave Madison Heights, MI 2.0 2.5 1560 $2,700 $1.73 1d 1 1.26mi
642 Bellaire Ave Madison Heights, MI 3.0 2.5 1750 $2,423 $1.38 21d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $259,900 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $259,900 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $259,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $259,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $259,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,236 · $353/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,236 · $353/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,796
− Mortgage interest
−$14,558
− Property taxes
−$4,236
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,224
− Management
−$2,224
− Depreciation
−$7,561
Taxable loss
−$4,306
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,034
After-tax cash flow
$1,101/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lamphere Public Schools
NCES district ID
2621120
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$44,993
Composite
32.69/100
National rank
#5649
State rank
#235 of 540 in MI

Livability — Madison Heights

Score
81/100
State rank
#62
US rank
#1347

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison Heights, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
28,419
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
28,419
Household income
$69,503
Rent vs Own
35.2% rent · 64.8% own
Severe rent burden
786.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 7% Asian 7% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -275.69%
Current HPI
243.4861
Rent YoY
▲ 2.81%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $259,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $259,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-11 Coming Soon $259,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records
  • 1997-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 1997-08-19 Sold (MLS) $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-07-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-06-26 Listed $129,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,236 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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