211 Stokesay St · Ludlow, KY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Full brick 2story home with 2 car detached garage, fenced yard , located on very convenient street--just 2 blocks to school system and 2 blocks to the Ludlow Bromley Swim Club. 2 bedrooms and 1 bath * Walkout basement * Hardwood floorsin liv, dining, and bedrooms * Home does need updating, rehabbed, Selling AS IS. PENDING WHEN SUBMITTED. .
Key facts
- 3,675 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1924
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; On-street parking; Detached garage with 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Water and sewer available
- Home design: Two-story single family house; Existing structure
- Construction: Built in 1924; Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Aluminum window frames; Garage(s) on property
- Exterior features: Porch; Privacy fencing; Cleared, level corner lot (35 x 105)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary Bedroom (17 x 14); Bedroom 2 (12 x 11)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (Primary Bath 6 x 6)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Natural woodwork
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 2.8% in Ludlow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#36 in KY, #326 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
- Ludlow Independent (suburban): math 26% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #105 of 165 in KY (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mary A. Goetz Elementary School (math 26% / reading 32%, grade F, #424 of 676 statewide, top 63%, 464 students, 65% FRL); Ludlow High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 364 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.19%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,941
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216 Deverill St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 1,292 (+9%) | 2mo | $207,000 | $160 | 80 |
| 535 Laurel St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 1,199 (+1%) | 8mo | $196,000 | $163 | 80 |
| 450 Station Dr Unit 35-302 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,213 (+2%) | 8mo | $270,724 | $223 | 74 |
| 446 Station Dr Unit 35-202 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,213 (+2%) | 8mo | $307,316 | $253 | 74 |
| 12 Boone St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 1,150 (-3%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $70 | 74 |
| 603 Laurel St | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,078 (-9%) | 6mo | $193,500 | $179 | 66 |
| 42 Euclid St | 0.58mi | 2/1.5 | 1,134 (-5%) | 4mo | $172,000 | $152 | 60 |
| 428 Station Dr Unit 34-102 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,326 (+12%) | 8mo | $246,451 | $186 | 59 |
| 25 Kenner St | 0.53mi | 2/1.5 | 1,296 (+9%) | 1mo | $182,500 | $141 | 57 |
| 24 Butler St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 1,072 (-10%) | 2mo | $173,000 | $161 | 56 |
| 472 Station Dr #300 | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,051 (-12%) | 7mo | $238,189 | $227 | 38 |
| 389 Grand Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,364 (+15%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $169 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $9,835
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $43,192
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41016
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,448 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,542/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $421
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $481 | -5% $451 | +0% $421 | +5% $392 | +10% $362 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $307 | -5% $364 | +0% $421 | +5% $478 | +10% $536 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $474 | -0.5pp $448 | base $421 | +0.5pp $394 | +1.0pp $366 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 336 Elm St Unit 4 Ludlow, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 336 Elm St Unit 2 Ludlow, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 239 Forest Ave Ludlow, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,395 | $1.22 | 18d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 47 Ash St Ludlow, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 12d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 464 Grand Ave #1 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2361 Maryland Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1261 Parkway Ave Covington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,375 | $1.62 | 5d | 3 | 1.04mi |
| 633 Hawthorne Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2600 Bushnell St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 937 | $1,295 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 810 Matson Pl Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $2,100 | $1.76 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 22 Swain Ct Covington, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 951 | $1,895 | $1.99 | 2d | 3 | 1.26mi |
| 717 Elberon Ave Unit Elberon 717 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $995 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5 Devou Woods Covington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $890 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 927 Chateau Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1354 | $1,550 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 938 Chateau Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $895 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 944 Chateau Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $895 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 937 Grand Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,395 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3338 Hillside Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $995 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-13remarks 346-char remark
-
2026-06-13$105,000 Pending 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,542 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,542 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,379
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,542
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,390
- − Management
- −$1,390
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $3,595
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$863
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,192/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ludlow Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2103630
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,821
- Composite
- 25.27/100
- National rank
- #7492
- State rank
- #105 of 165 in KY
Livability — Ludlow
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #326
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ludlow, KY
- County
- Kenton County · 142,881 people
- City population
- 5,795
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,795
- Household income
- $71,172
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 95.0
Population outlook (Kenton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,205 people
- By 2030
- 177,897 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 182,671 · +4.9%
- By 2050
- 183,543 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 178,977 · +2.7%
- By 2100
- 159,920 · -8.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kenton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.7) · D 38.2% · R 59.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -21.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.7 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -141.84%
- Current HPI
- 215.1436
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+140.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Pending — NKMLS
- 2026-06-12 Listed $105,000 NKMLS
- 2021-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2000-09-20 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2000-05-22 Listed $92,500 NKMLS
- 1996-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 1990-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 1989-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
- 1985-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $43,750 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,542 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…