502 Avenue A · Kingsville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
All offers considered-make one! Much potential for this home that is partially remodeled but needs to be finished/completed. Huge back yard with privacy fence and circular drive in front. Easy access to highway and Texas A & M. May need all cash to purchase or FHA 203K or Conventional home remodeling. Owner has never lived in property and no inspections have been done. Questions? Call or email agent.
Key facts
- Back yard
- Circular drive
- Privacy fence
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 5.4% in Kingsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#364 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Kingsville ISD (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #800 of 826 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 24 units permitted in Kleberg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kleberg County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.66%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $122,281
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -34.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 625 W Richard Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,577 (+4%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $105 | 64 |
| 421 W Alice Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (+0%) | 23mo | $150,000 | $98 | 63 |
| 418 W Lee Ave | 0.41mi | 3/3.0 | 1,614 (+6%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $164 | 63 |
| 207 W Avenue A | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (-14%) | 10mo | $209,900 | $161 | 61 |
| 714 E Avenue C Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (-13%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $56 | 61 |
| 415 W King Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,496 (-2%) | 10mo | $179,000 | $120 | 50 |
| 315 E Alice Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,462 (-4%) | 20mo | $124,800 | $85 | 48 |
| 409 W King Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,565 (+3%) | 14mo | $149,900 | $96 | 47 |
| 726 W Richard Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,692 (+11%) | 21mo | $159,950 | $95 | 44 |
| 425 W King Ave W | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,456 (-4%) | 16mo | $59,000 | $41 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $27,070
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 37.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.38×
- Total profit
- $97,895
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78363
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,604 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$299 /mo · $3,586/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $516
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 W Mesquite Ave Kingsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 629 W Nettie Ave Kingsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1762 | $1,495 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 307 W Alice Ave Kingsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 614 W Alice Ave Kingsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1713 | $1,599 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 710 E C Ave Kingsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1204 W Lee Ave Kingsville, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1970 | $1,825 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1107 E Kenedy Ave Kingsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1526 | $2,300 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 908 E Doddridge Ave Kingsville, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-04-21price $84,900 407-char remark
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
All offers considered-make one! Much potential for this home that is partially remodeled but needs to be finished/completed. Huge back yard with privacy fence and circular drive in front. Easy access to highway and Texas A & M. May need all cash to purchase or FHA 203K or Conventional home remodeling. Owner has never lived in property and no inspections have been done. Questions? Call or email agent.
-
2026-03-18price $94,900 407-char remark
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
All offers considered-make one! Much potential for this home that is partially remodeled but needs to be finished/completed. Huge back yard with privacy fence and circular drive in front. Easy access to highway and Texas A & M. May need all cash to purchase or FHA 203K or Conventional home remodeling. Owner has never lived in property and no inspections have been done. Questions? Call or email agent.
-
2026-02-05$99,900 Active 407-char remark
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
All offers considered-make one! Much potential for this home that is partially remodeled but needs to be finished/completed. Huge back yard with privacy fence and circular drive in front. Easy access to highway and Texas A & M. May need all cash to purchase or FHA 203K or Conventional home remodeling. Owner has never lived in property and no inspections have been done. Questions? Call or email agent.
-
2025-10-14soldstatus
-
2022-09-23soldstatus Closed 779-char remark
Show marketing remark (779 chars)
Great investment opportunity one and a half block walk to Texas A & M University-Kingsville on a large residential lot! Restore this property 3 bedroom 2 bath 1520 sq ft home located on . 28 of an acre that boasts tons of space for your next project! With alley access, a gated backyard and front privacy as well, front ramp for an entrance! FOUR minutes to historical downtown Kingsville, grocery shopping, eateries, banking, etc. Kingsville is home to nearly 30, 000 people, Kingsville Naval Air Station, and remains a vital part of the Texas ranching industry, hunting, and fishing, with a student population of approximately 7000. Worth the restoration for future family home or investment. Location! Location! Lot size! Investors, this is your chance! House sold as is.
-
2022-08-20price $81,500 779-char remark
Show marketing remark (779 chars)
Great investment opportunity one and a half block walk to Texas A & M University-Kingsville on a large residential lot! Restore this property 3 bedroom 2 bath 1520 sq ft home located on . 28 of an acre that boasts tons of space for your next project! With alley access, a gated backyard and front privacy as well, front ramp for an entrance! FOUR minutes to historical downtown Kingsville, grocery shopping, eateries, banking, etc. Kingsville is home to nearly 30, 000 people, Kingsville Naval Air Station, and remains a vital part of the Texas ranching industry, hunting, and fishing, with a student population of approximately 7000. Worth the restoration for future family home or investment. Location! Location! Lot size! Investors, this is your chance! House sold as is.
-
2022-06-08$90,000 Active 779-char remark
Show marketing remark (779 chars)
Great investment opportunity one and a half block walk to Texas A & M University-Kingsville on a large residential lot! Restore this property 3 bedroom 2 bath 1520 sq ft home located on . 28 of an acre that boasts tons of space for your next project! With alley access, a gated backyard and front privacy as well, front ramp for an entrance! FOUR minutes to historical downtown Kingsville, grocery shopping, eateries, banking, etc. Kingsville is home to nearly 30, 000 people, Kingsville Naval Air Station, and remains a vital part of the Texas ranching industry, hunting, and fishing, with a student population of approximately 7000. Worth the restoration for future family home or investment. Location! Location! Lot size! Investors, this is your chance! House sold as is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,586 · $299/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,586 · $299/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,243
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$3,586
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,539
- − Management
- −$1,539
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $5,378
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,291
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,897/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingsville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825680
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,308
- Composite
- 14.5/100
- National rank
- #9425
- State rank
- #800 of 826 in TX
Livability — Kingsville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #364
- US rank
- #7787
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kingsville, TX
- County
- Kleberg County · 28,920 people
- City population
- 28,920
- Metro
- Kingsville, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,920
- Household income
- $60,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1663.0
Population outlook (Kleberg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,615 people
- By 2030
- 32,054 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 33,008 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 34,536 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 40,931 · +29.5%
- By 2100
- 46,001 · +45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 36% White 20% Black 3% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 67%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kleberg
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.3% · R 56.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+1.7 2016: D+3.7 2012: D+7.8 2008: D+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.12%
- Current HPI
- 147.6473
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.18%
- Metro
- Kingsville, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-5.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $84,900 CBMLS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $94,900 CBMLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $99,900 CBMLS
- 2025-10-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-09-23 Sold (MLS) — RGVMLS
- 2022-08-20 Price Changed $81,500 RGVMLS
- 2022-06-08 Listed $90,000 RGVMLS
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,586 · +19.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…